Covid-19 Graphics With Comment -- September 26, 2023

Locator: 45585COVID.

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COVID Update

Link here.

This is the last week -- maybe one more week after this -- before "seasonal flu" begins to take off. The calm before the storm. The weekly CDC graphs are updated weekly, near the end of the week.

This is where we stand.

With snarky comments.

Graphic #1. In the next week or two, "seasonal flu" should surge. If it doesn't, we need to ask, "why?"

Graphic #2. What happened to "seasonal flu" during the year of the plague, 2020 - 2021? Why has "seasonal flu" plateaued for the past two weeks? Calm before the storm or something else going on? Before we get too excited, the y-axis only goes to eight percent and this is simply the percentage of outpatient visits for influenza-like illness -- you know, fever, cough, general malaise, I-don't-want-to-go-to work-today symptoms. These are not deaths -- for Covid, deaths as a percentage of overall deaths was trending toward 30% even after the peak moderated.

Graphic #3. Whenever I look at this graph, I get the feeling that the ivermectin crowd can't read graphs. 

Forget about the first year of Covid-19 reporting -- "every" death was somehow related to Covid.

But after that, the data was much, much better.

These are deaths due to PIC -- pneumonia, influenza, covid.

Look at the minuscule yellow blog -- that's "season flu." Not only is this truly minuscule, "seasonal flu" disappeared completely in the year of the plague -- no yellow blob in 2021.

But this is why I question whether Tucker can read a graph: look at the percentage of deaths in the US due to seasonal flu -- during seasonal flu season -- maybe 1% -- the rest of the year -- 0%.

Now, the percent of deaths due to Covid in the US -- peaks trended toward 35% -- quick, name anything, anything at all in the US that runs to 30% of deaths -- one can start here -- and although there is some seasonality, it was pretty much throughout the year -- from week 10, 2020, to week 10, 2021. 

For 2022, the percent of overall deaths due to Covid was pretty much 4% throughout the year -- 4x "seasonal flu" and "seasonal flu" is for only a few weeks -- week 48, 2022, through week 2, 2023 -- four weeks and again, "seasonal flu" peaked at 1%.

Most amazing, even without the use of ivermectin, the percent of deaths due to Covid has plummeted. As noted, the percent of deaths due to Covid was running 20 to 35 percent -- that is absolutely earthshaking for those actually paying attention and who can read graphs. I've long forgotten the stats for Spanish flu but my hunch Covid-19 in the early days was looking to lap Spanish flu. And it probably did in several European countries.

Most remarkable is the fact that the percentage of deaths due to Covid dropped to 4% in 2022, and now, in 2023, the percentage is no worse than "seasonal flu" at one percent except for the fact that seasonal flu mortality of 1% lasts four weeks while Covid's death rate of 1% is pretty much without any let up.

So the answer to the "question" that I eagerly await this year is whether the "yellow blog" will be higher than the grey curve in weeks two through four in 2024?