Monday, April 10, 2017

Oil Glut To Continue Or Scarcity Looming? Depends Upon Whom You Ask -- Rigzone -- April 10, 2017

Nice article over at Rigzone. Archived.

Two arguments.
  • Spending cuts for large oil projects will result in supply crunch in the next two years
    • investment banks, many of which finance new projects
    • majors, including Total and Eni
    • Wood Mackenzie
    • Morgan Stanley
  • Looming recovery in US output with an avalanche of new conventional projects on the back of high oil prices will create a substantial surplus by 2019
    • Goldman Sachs
      • predicts the coming two years will see a huge burst of development
      • the huge burst of development will complicate OPEC's efforts to rebalance the market 
      • will result in material oversupply in 2018 - 19
      • warns that new projects and rising shale output could add 1 million bopd by 2018-19
Much more at the link. It will be interesting to re-look at this article two years from now. Or maybe as early as next year.

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