Monday, October 14, 2019

The WPX Nancy Dancing Bull Wells And The Immediate Area -- Octoer 14, 2019

Eight wells in the Elk - Dancing Bull section, section 16-150-92:
  • 31014, 702, WPX, Elk 17-20HE, Van Hook, t10/15; cum 284K 8/19; a very strong, consistent well; producing 4,500 bbls/month, 8/19;
  • 25245, 838, WPX, Elk 16-21HW, Van Hook, t11/13; cum 412K 8/19; a steady performer; about 3,000 bbls/month, 8/19;
  • 25246, 838, WPX, Elk 16-21HW, Van Hook, t11/13; cum 265K 8/19; no jump in production when it came back on line 4/19;
  • 18794, 262, WPX, Elk 16-21H, Van Hook, t5/11; cum 664K 8/19; a very strong, consistent well; producing about 3,000 bbls/month, 8/19;

  • 23451, 1,435, WPX, Dancing Bull 16-21HC, Van Hook, t4/13; cum 468K 8/19; a very similar production profile to the others in this group;
  • 23452, 2,187, WPX, Dancing Bull 16-21HZ, Van Hook, t4/13; cum 394K 8/19; same as above;
  • 23453,1,479, WPX, Danicng Bull 16-21HD, Van Hook, t4/13; cum 433K 8/19; same as above;

  • 30637, 96 (no typo), WPX, Juniper 15-22HE, Van Hook, t11/15; cum 296K 8/19; same as above; producing 4,000 bbls/month, 8/19;

Wells south of the Nancy Dancing Bull section, section 13-140-93:
  • the following eight are still confidential; some will run north; some will run south --
  • 36397, conf, RimRock, Two Shields ... 1HU, Mandaree,
  • 36398, conf, RimRock, Two Shields ... 4H3U, Mandaree,
  • 36399, conf, RimRock, Two Shields ... 4H3, Mandaree,
  • 36400, conf, RimRock, Two Shields ... 3H, Mandaree,
  • 36401, conf, RimRock, Skunk Creek ... 16HU, Mandaree,
  • 36402, conf, RimRock, Skunk Creek ... 13H3U, Mandaree,
  • 36403, conf, RimRock, Skunk Creek ... 13H, Mandaree,
  • 36404, conf, RimRock, Skunk Creek ... 13H3, Mandaree,

  • 18518, 2,736, RimRock, Two Shields Butte 3-24-12-4H, Mandaree, t4/14; cum 461K 8/19;
  • 20257, 2,475, RimRock, Two Shields Butte 3-24-12-3H3, Mandaree, t4/14; cum 393K 8/19;

The following eight are still confidential; some will run north; some will run south --
  • 36288, conf (ros), RimRock, Two Shields ... 3HA, Mandaree,
  • 36289, conf, RimRock, Two Shields ... 3H3A, Mandaree,
  • 36290, conf, RimRock, Two Shields ... 2H, Mandaree,
  • 36291, conf, RimRock, Two Shields ... 2H3, Mandaree,
  • 36292, conf, RimRock, Skunk Creek .. 14HA, Mandaree,
  • 36293, conf, RimRock, Skunk Creek .. 14H3A, Mandaree,
  • 36294, conf, RimRock, Skunk Creek .. 14HB, Mandaree,
  • 36295, conf, RimRock, Skunk Creek .. 15H3, Mandaree,

  • 18517, 1,595, RimRock, Two Shields Butte 2-24-12-2H, Mandaree, t9/11; cum 560K 8/19;
  • 19826, 2,845, Rim Rock, Two Shields Butte 2-24-12-1H3, Mandaree, t9/11; cum 510K 8/19;
  • 30929, 1,989, RimRock, Two Shields Butte 1-24-12-1H, Mandaree, t1/17; cum 491K 8/19 ; huge well; a very different production profile than the others in this group

The wells in the Nancy Dancing Bull section, section 12-149-93:
  • 35713, 1,450, WPX, Nancy Dancing Bull 1-36HQL, Mandaree, t7/19; cum 28K in 27 days;
  • 35714, 2,798, WPX, Nancy Dancing Bull 1-36HE, Mandaree, t8/19; cum 55K in first full months; cum 63K 8/19; two months of production, 8/19; the best well of the bunch so far;
  • 35715, SI/NC, WPX, Nancy Dancing Bull 1-36HW, Mandaree, no production data, yet, 8/19;
The wells to the north of the Nancy Dancing Bull section, section 1-149-93:
  • 18396, IA/981, WPX, TAT 15-1H, Mandaree, t8/10; cum 282K 5/19; a short one section well; TD - 15,440 feet; off line as of 5/19; fracking in the neighborhood?
  • 20508, 257, WPX. Buffalo 1-36HC, Mandaree, t5/12; cum 493K 8/19; off line as of 6/19, then back online as of 8/19; fracking in the neighborhood;
  • 21609, 138, WPX, Corral 1-36HD, Mandaree, t5/12; cum 556K 8/19; off line as of 6/19; back on line as of 8/19; fracking in the neighborhood?
For newbies, let's go through the exercise.
  • I posted the "Nancy Dancing Bull" wells because one is coming off the confidential list today, and one of the three Nancy Dancing Bulls that has been reported, produced 55K+ in the first full month of production; a huge well
  • eager to see what the other Nancy Dancing Bull wells will do and the status of the rest of the wells in the immediate area
  • in that long list, there is one DUC (SI/NC);
  • the question is whether that well, #35715, has been fracked
  • going through the production profiles of the other wells, three wells were taken off line; one remains off line;
  • good wells in the Bakken that are taken off line often suggests fracking activity in the area
  • my hunch: that DUC, #35715, has been fracked
  • let's see what FracFocus has to say; NDIC has not yet posted any frack data; 
    • FracFocus: according to FracFocus, the well, #35715, has been fracked; it was a one day, frack the day after July 4th, 2019, earlier this summer; no well in the Bakken is fully fracked in one day;
    • July 5, 2019 - July 5, 2019
    • 106,562 gallons of water
    • 93.4% water by mass
    • 4.7% sand by mass
    • obviously something went wrong, or that was some kind of initial test/completion and WPX will come back to do a full frack; but the neighboring wells are coming back on line suggesting that for the time being, this well, #35715, is "done"

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