Friday, May 15, 2026

WTI Surges After Trump Talks With Number 11 -- May 15, 2026

Locator: 50816B.

China says it will start buying US oil. Traders responded. WTI up $4.27.

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Back to the Bakken 

WTI: $105.50.

New wells reporting:

  • Sunday, May 17, 2026: 44 for the month, 144 for the quarter, 301 for the year, 
    • 41955, conf, Kraken Dwyer EAst 26-35 7H, 
    • 41858, conf, Devon Energy, Finn 13-25F XW 1H, 
    • 41497, conf, Hess, BW-Wilson-149-99-3625H-6, 
    • 41496, conf, Hess, BW-Wilson-149-99-6325H-5, 
    • 41495, conf, Hess, BW-Wilson-149-99-3625H-4, 
    • 41452, conf, Devon Energy, Wagenman 32-29 6H, 
  • Saturday, May 16, 2026: 38 for the month, 138 for the quarter, 295 for the year, 
    • 41957, conf, Kraken, McCabe 24-13 5H, 
    • 41751, conf, KODA Resources, Stout 1301 2BH, 
  • Friday, May 15, 2026: 36 for the month, 136 for the quarter, 293 for the year, 
    • 41958, conf, Kraken, McCabe 24-13 6H, 
    • 41843, conf, Hunt Oil, Kandiyohi 159-90-5-17H-1, 

RBN Energy: fuel waiver may lower costs, boost gasoline supplies. Link here. Archived

By mid-May, the U.S. would typically be a couple of weeks into “summer refining season,” a monthslong period when refineries and refined product terminals are required to supply gasoline with lower Reid vapor pressure (RVP) — and a lot less butane. However, an emergency fuel waiver by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is allowing them to market gasoline with an RVP of up to 10 pounds per square inch (psi) for E10 and E15 gasoline. In addition, the waiver streamlines compliance, making it easier for midstream operators to blend butane up to the RVP limit. As we discuss in today’s RBN blog, the waiver — temporary but likely to be extended — may well increase summertime gasoline supply and improve refinery and blender economics.

We’ll begin with a two-part warning, not to scare anyone off, but just to prepare you. First, producing and blending gasoline is complicated; second, government regulation of gasoline specifications only adds to that complexity. 

As we said a couple of years ago in Wasting Away in Butane Blendingville, gasoline is among the most complex hydrocarbon products out there, with as many as a dozen specs — each with its own characteristics, such as octane, RVP, distillation points, aromatics, olefins, etc. — that when combined need to meet the exacting standards of regulators and, at the same time, turn as big a financial return as possible. And, to keep things interesting, federal and state regulations ratchet down the allowable RVP levels each spring and ratchet them up in late summer (often to different levels in different markets, and even at different dates).

Because of varying summer temperatures across the country and because certain parts of the U.S. face more serious challenges regarding smog than others, the EPA over the years has designated areas where even stricter summertime limits are enforced. Some states, like California, New York and Illinois — established even lower RVP caps of their own (with the EPA’s blessing) to address specific pollution concerns.

Figure 1. EPA’s Long-Standing Summer Requirements for RVP Levels in Gasoline. Source: EIA

 

Thursday, May 14, 2026

Cuba Has Run Out Of Diesel And Oil -- May 14, 2026

Locator: 50815CUBA.

Maybe more tomorrow. Time for a US-Cuba deal.

Honda: a disaster. Who saw this coming? Honda reports its first annual loss since 1957.  

Meanwhile, WTI "jumps" a bit when Trump says China / Xi will buy crude oil from the US. Message to the Mideast: if you don't open the Strait of Hormuz, we've got options. Every day the strait remains closes, the more irrelevant it becomes. Currently trading at $102.60. Market futures drop accordingly. 

US refiners: expect to see significant supply issues ... soooooon. 

PEMEX CEO resigns: Mexican president makes the announcement.  

Shale: people are talking about increased production coming from the Permian; lessons learned will be applied elsewhere. "Permian and DJ oil recovery successes are moving to the Bakken." -- Dan Tsubouchi. 

China-US: a picture is worth a trillion words -- it's even worse than Geiger says it is -- 


Xi
 (or as Ilhan Omar likes to say, "Number 11") likely to visit the US before end of this year. US-Chinese relations a lot better than the legacy / mainstream media would like to admit.

Mideast: US pilots getting a lot of flight time. The golden age to be an aviator? 


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Thursday Night -- Music

Headphones on. Loud.  

Link here.  

Oliver Baroni reminds me of Dick Dale. I would love to hear more of Baroni.

There are times I swear I hear Blondie (Debbie Henry) in Emanuela Hutter.

Link here


Link here. Boyzone.


Over on social media, in response to Joan Osborne singing this song,

Somehow Joan simultaneously channelled Jimmy Ruffin and Janis Joplin for an awesome interpretation of this classic tear jerker. When I first heard this as kid in the 1960’s I thought it was about losing your girlfriend. But now as 60-some year old married man of 35 years I realize it is about losing the love of your life; a loss tinged by anger. Thank God she is still with me. 

If Virginia Woolf were still alive, she would be going through comments on YouTube to get "phrases" for the books she would be writing.

I'm sure we've all been through this, breaking up with the love of your life during your coming of age years. That happened to me, 1974. I was devastated. I didn't contemplate suicide at that time -- I was so overwhelmed with grief, I had no energy to think about suicide, much less have the energy to do something to harm myself. I could never articulate the emotion(s) I felt at the time. I thought it was profound sadness -- I don't think there's an adequate synonym -- maybe Virginia Woolf would know -- God knows she experienced profound depression.

And then look at that quote above -- "... I thought it was about losing your girlfriend. But now as 60-some year old married man of 35 years I realize it was about losing the love of your life; a loss tinged by anger. Thank God she is still with me."

"A loss tinged by anger." 

I don't recall a bit of anger then and I don't recall any anger since or now. But there was something more than just profound depression / more profound than simply a loss. 

It seems "everyone" has covered this song, but Joan Osborne has set the standard. Linked above.

"Standing In The Shadows Of Motown: The Funk Brothers." Link here

Link here. "Walk, Don't Run." General George Babbitt. 



Link here
.

AI generated.

"Misirlu." So, you think you know "Misirlu"? Link here. Link here.


 

Exurbs -- Five Fastest Growing Cities In The US Are In Texas -- Four In The DFW Area; The Other Near Houston -- May 14, 2026

Locator: 50814TEXAS.

And this is why Texas has nice things. 

May 14, 2026 -- same story, different slant, from The WSJ -- link here -- 

The future of American cities is in the exurbs.

The latest Census Bureau data show that some of the fastest-growing cities are often sitting in the distant orbit of a larger city and centered on booming master-planned communities.

Take Fulshear, Texas, an affluent community about 35 miles west of downtown Houston. By mid-2025 it had an estimated 64,630 people, the Census Bureau said Thursday, rocketing up from around 17,000 in 2020. No other American city with more than 50,000 people has grown faster in that span.

Here are some other hot spots and trends from the latest census data, focusing on city populations for the 12 months running through June 2025.

The Dallas area is sprinkled with fast-growing exurbs, even as the city itself—as well as some closer suburbs—lost population in the last measured year.

The biggest standout is Celina, Texas, a boomtown on the metro area’s far northern fringes that features master-planned communities. It added nearly 13,000 people in the year through mid-2025, boosting its population to more than 64,400. Houston, population 2.4 million, added fewer people.

Other fast growers in the region include Fort Worth, the nation’s 10th-largest city.

Dallas, meanwhile, was among the top 10 largest cities that shrank slightly in the most recent census-measured year, joining New York City and Los Angeles. The overall U.S. population grew 0.5% in that span, about half the prior year’s growth, reflecting tighter immigration restrictions under both the Biden and Trump administrations. 

Phoenix, AZ? Similar.

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Reposting from this morning: 

Locator: 50807TEXAS.

CitiesLink here.

Across the entire US, across all sizes, the top five cities ranked by growth are in Texas:

  • four of them are in the DFW area;
    • the fifth is in the Houston area, Fulshear.
    • well west of Houston; an extension of Katy, Texas 
  • Celina: is in the high growth area north of DFW
  • Plano, Allen, Frisco, McKinney, Prosper, Celina, MelissaAnna (farthest north)
  • essentially, Dallas already too congested; too expensive; too many homeless -- folks moving north
  • Princeton: northeast of DFW; east of McKinney

Nine out of 10 of the largest population gainers in pure numbers were cities in the South because of a healthy job market and its comparative affordability. The biggest numeric gainers were Charlotte, North Carolina; Fort Worth, Texas; San Antonio, Texas; and Celina.

Fort Worth leaped over Jacksonville last year as the 10th most populous U.S. city, putting four Texas cities in the nation's top 10 most populous, with the other cities being Houston, Dallas and San Antonio.

Silicon Valley South and Silicon Valley West: Austin skipped over San Jose for the 12th most populous spot, as Texas’ capital city surpassed 1 million residents for the first time. It is now one of a dozen U.S. cities with 1 million residents or more. 

End-Of-Day Report -- May 14, 2026

Locator: 50813B.

WTI: $101.20.

Active rigs: 26.

Four new permits, #42938 - #42941, inclusive;

  • Operator: Devon Energy;
  • Field: Camp (McKenzie County)
  • Comments: 
    • Devon Energy has permits for four more Lindvig North wells, SENE 14-152-101; to be sited 
      • 2628 FNL and 1264 FEL;
      • 2630 FSL and 1239 FEL;
      • 2614 FSL and 1213 FEL;
      • 2599 FSL and 1187 FEL.

Sixteen permits canceled:

  • SOGC (13): permits for one Nelson permit, six Lizzie Rae permits, and six Dry Creek Federal permits;
  • Enerplus (3): three Magnum permits, lot 7, section 4-152-10.

Speaking Of Lawsuits, Did Elon Musk Ever Sue Anthropic? May 14, 2026

Locator: 50812MUSK.

Tag: Anthropic Memphis SpaceX xAI SpaceXAI Colossus  

Query: Wow, this gets confusing. Musk owns the LDC in Memphis; Anthropic will use computing resources from Musk's Memphis LDC. Who is supplying the blades (CPUs, GPUs, HBM)?


The energy / power source: