Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Looks Like Russia Can't Make It On $40-Oil, Either -- July 21, 2020

Link here. Russia, hit by coronavirus crisis, considers military spending cuts -- Reuters.
The Russian finance ministry has proposed the government cut state spending on the military by 5% between 2021 and 2023. The proposal, published on Monday, also includes budget spending cuts of 10% for the court system, the servicing of Russia’s debt and wages for civil servants
Russia, which flexed its military muscle with its 2014 annexation of Crimea from Ukraine and intervention in the Syrian conflict, dropped out of the list of the top five biggest military spenders in 2018 after its spending fell 3.5%.
Dropped out of the top five?

US, China .....

The Moscow Times said Russia returned to the "top 5" in 2019 after "briefly" falling tinto sixth place the previous year. If accurate, the top five for 2019, global share in parentheses:
  • the US (38%)
  • China (14%)
  • India (3.7%)
  • Russia (3.4%)
  • Saudi Arabia (3.2%)
Knowing the US spent $732 billion in 2019, one can work backwards from that. 

Or knowing that global military spending totaled $1.917 trillion in 2019 -- about what the market cap of Apple, Inc, is forecast to hit within the next year or so.

Russia: 4% of $2 trillion: $80 billion.

Market cap of EOG: $30 billion.

2 comments:

  1. market cap represents future value of all earnings. It's a summary, an integral. That's what EOG is.

    Russia spend is a yearly number.

    Apples and oranges, Air Force.

    A perpetuity value for Russian military spend would be on the order of 800 billion.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, but I can't get my head around $80 billion or $40 billion or $2 trillion, but comparing it to something else, whether its apples or oranges or pineapples helps me put it in perspective.

      What really puts this into perspective is that Russia is having trouble paying its bills on current price of oil and competes for #4, or #5, or #6 with Saudi Arabia in military expenditures, both below that of India.

      I never would have guessed.

      Delete

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