- after the final figures came in, North Dakota set a new all-time production record in November, 2019;
- crude oil: 1,519,037 (but just barely; beating the previous all-time high, the previous month, by 1,101 bopd)
- natural gas: 3,165,585 MCF/day
- boe: 1,985,573 boepd
- note: these were all preliminary figures; final figures will be released in the March, 2020, Director's Cut;
- crude oil production in December was one of the bigger month-over-month decreases in quite some time; this was all about a) managing their assets; and, b) taking wells off line for operational reasons
- the number of producing wells dropped below 16,000, the first time that has happened since September, 2019, when it hit another all-time high at 16,115 producing wells; current all-time high for producing wells: October, 2019, at 16,169 producing wells;
- price of oil was trending down; coronavirus scare was crushing demand
- continued pad drilling and new fracking
- number of wells coming off-line month-over-month (December/November) was 233 or an increase of 8.8%
- there are now 2,878 wells off line
- the actual number of wells off line any given month remains in a narrow range, probably about 2,500
- it appears, in raw numbers, September, 2019, hit an all-time high for the number of wells off line: 3,020; September, 2019, was a record-setting month for rain; it was a "disaster" in the oil patch; production fells 2.5% month-over-month;
- this is about twice as many as the number of new wells that will be drilled in 2020
- in fact, there were 111 completions in December, 2019, which is about average for the Bakken, but it means a lot of neighboring wells are taken off-line during fracking operations
- takeaway capacity is not an issue
- gas capture is trending, albeit slowly, in the right direction
- about a month ago there were any number of stories in the mainstream media about E&P companies, feeling the stress of low oil prices, were slowing their new drilling and focusing on completing DUCs;
- I posted at the time that this was most likely (if accurate) occurring in the Permian
- anecdotally I was not seeing it in the Bakken
- and there, it was, in the December data, the number of DUCs in the Bakken increased by 39 wells, from 919 to 958 (preliminary)
- 958 is a high number but not the highest; the record was 985 in May, 2019;
- I haven't done the percentages; but on a raw number basis, the number of DUCs is increasing in the Bakken, not decreasing
- supports my "thesis" that when the mainstream media talks about trends in US shale, they are focusing on the Permian, not the Bakken
Sunday, February 16, 2020
Key Data Points From The December, 2019, Oil And Natural Gas Production, North Dakota (Bakken) -- February 16, 2020
Key data points from the December, 2019, production data coming out of North Dakota:
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