Wednesday, September 15, 2021

EIA Weekly Petroleum Report -- September 15, 2021

WTI:

  • prior to this report, WTI was trading just below $73/bbl
  • after this report was released, WTI moved slightly ahead of $73
  • WTI is now up almost 4% for the day (actual: 3.66%)
  • up $.258/bbl
  • trading at $73.04
  • Resident Biden asking for telephone number for AARP (he meant to ask for telephone number for OPEC but was making a small joke for benefit of his staff who are exempt from any vaccine mandate). Another joke.
  • not to worry: surge in price of oil is only transitory; will "go away" when Joe Biden goes away.

EIA weekly report, link here.

  • US crude oil inventories decreased by a whopping 6.5 million bbls of oil (Hurricane Ida about two weeks ago)
  • US crude oil inventories now stand at 417.4 million bbls, 7% below the five-year average
  • refiners are operating at 82.1% of their operable capacity (considering all the stories about refineries being down after Hurricane Ida, I thought it would be worse)
  • US crude oil imports averaged 5.8 million bpd last week, yawn; down 48,000 bbls per day -- isn't that interesting? --
  • US crude oil imports are currently averaging 6.0 million bbls per day, 13.3% more than the same four-week period last year; last year was the year of the plague, if I recall correctly
  • total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 1.9 million bbls last week and are 45 below the five-year average
  • distillate fuel inventories decreased by 1.7 million bbls last week; distillate fuel inventories are now down an incredible 13% below the five-year average; this all has to do with the Keystone XL being killed
  • jet fuel product supplies was up 59.1% compare with same period last year; we need to see comparison to 2019 to put this in proper context

Crude oil imports:

Crude Oil Imports





Week (week-over-week)

Date of Report

Raw Data, millions of bbls

Change (millions of bbls)

Four-week period comparison

Week 17

July 8, 2020

7.4

1.400

-8.500%

Week 18

July 15, 2020

7.5

-1.800

-10.200%

Week 19

July 22, 2020

5.9

0.373

-13.500%

Week 20

July 29, 2020

5.1

-0.800

-13.600%

Week 21

August 5, 2020

6.0

0.900

-18.100%

Week 67

June 23, 2021

6.9

0.197

-1.00%

Week 68

June 30, 2021

6.4

-0.500

2.80%

Week 69

July 8, 2021

5.9

-0.500

-2.20%

Week 70

July 14, 2021

6.2

0.347

-0.10%

Week 71

July 21, 2021

7.1

0.900

2.90%

Week 72

July 28, 2021

6.5

-0.600

6.90%

Week 73

August 4, 2021

6.4

-0.075

15.80%

Week 74

August 11, 2021

6.5

-0.036

16.30%

Week 75

August 18, 2021

6.4

-0.064

14.10%

Week 76

August 25, 2021

6.2

-0.193

8.80%

Week 77

September 1, 2021

6.3

-0.183

13.90%

Week 78

September 8, 2021

5.8

-0.500

12.20%

Week 79

September 15, 2021

5.8

-0.048

13.30%

 Distillate fuel inventories:

Distillate Fuel Inventories




Week

Date of Report

Change in Millions

Relative to 5-Yr Avg

Week 42

June 10, 2021

4.40

-5.0%

Week 43

June 16, 2021

-1.00

-6.0%

Week 44

June 23, 2021

1.80

-4.0%

Week 45 

June 30, 2021

0.90

-5.0%

Week 46

July 8, 2021

1.60

-6.0%

Week 47

July 14, 2021

3.70

-4.0%

Week 48

July 21, 2021

-1.30

-4.0%

Week 49

July 28, 2021

-3.10

-7.0%

Week 50

August 4, 2021

0.80

-6.0%

Week 51

August 11, 2021

1.80

-6.0%

Week 52

August 18, 2021

-2.70

-8.0%

Week 53

August 25, 2021

0.60

-8.0%

Week 54

September 1, 2021

-1.70

-9.0%

Week 55

September 9, 2021

-3.10

-12.0%

Week 56

September 15, 2021

-1.70

-13.0%

4 comments:

  1. check out Total "U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil and Petroleum Products"; they're at a 42 month low, and seem likely to fall to a 6 1/2 year low next week..
    https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WTTSTUS1&f=W

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I had not seen that table before. Thank you. I just don't get it. Price per bbl of crude oil doesn't seem to make sense with a) record low inventories; and, b) no evidence that "we" can catch up any time soon.

      Delete
    2. oil traders don't get any deeper into the data than the two year low for crude stocks, which they probably figure is a blip due to Ida...

      Delete
    3. That certainly seems to be the case.

      Delete

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