WTI:
- prior to this report, WTI was trading just below $73/bbl
- after this report was released, WTI moved slightly ahead of $73
- WTI is now up almost 4% for the day (actual: 3.66%)
- up $.258/bbl
- trading at $73.04
- Resident Biden asking for telephone number for AARP (he meant to ask for telephone number for OPEC but was making a small joke for benefit of his staff who are exempt from any vaccine mandate). Another joke.
- not to worry: surge in price of oil is only transitory; will "go away" when Joe Biden goes away.
EIA weekly report, link here.
- US crude oil inventories decreased by a whopping 6.5 million bbls of oil (Hurricane Ida about two weeks ago)
- US crude oil inventories now stand at 417.4 million bbls, 7% below the five-year average
- refiners are operating at 82.1% of their operable capacity (considering all the stories about refineries being down after Hurricane Ida, I thought it would be worse)
- US crude oil imports averaged 5.8 million bpd last week, yawn; down 48,000 bbls per day -- isn't that interesting? --
- US crude oil imports are currently averaging 6.0 million bbls per day, 13.3% more than the same four-week period last year; last year was the year of the plague, if I recall correctly
- total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 1.9 million bbls last week and are 45 below the five-year average
- distillate fuel inventories decreased by 1.7 million bbls last week; distillate fuel inventories are now down an incredible 13% below the five-year average; this all has to do with the Keystone XL being killed
- jet fuel product supplies was up 59.1% compare with same period last year; we need to see comparison to 2019 to put this in proper context
Crude oil imports:
Crude Oil Imports |
|
|
|
|
Week (week-over-week) |
Date of Report |
Raw Data, millions of bbls |
Change (millions of bbls) |
Four-week period comparison |
Week 17 |
July 8, 2020 |
7.4 |
1.400 |
-8.500% |
Week 18 |
July 15, 2020 |
7.5 |
-1.800 |
-10.200% |
Week 19 |
July 22, 2020 |
5.9 |
0.373 |
-13.500% |
Week 20 |
July 29, 2020 |
5.1 |
-0.800 |
-13.600% |
Week 21 |
August 5, 2020 |
6.0 |
0.900 |
-18.100% |
Week 67 |
June 23, 2021 |
6.9 |
0.197 |
-1.00% |
Week 68 |
June 30, 2021 |
6.4 |
-0.500 |
2.80% |
Week 69 |
July 8, 2021 |
5.9 |
-0.500 |
-2.20% |
Week 70 |
July 14, 2021 |
6.2 |
0.347 |
-0.10% |
Week 71 |
July 21, 2021 |
7.1 |
0.900 |
2.90% |
Week 72 |
July 28, 2021 |
6.5 |
-0.600 |
6.90% |
Week 73 |
August 4, 2021 |
6.4 |
-0.075 |
15.80% |
Week 74 |
August 11, 2021 |
6.5 |
-0.036 |
16.30% |
Week 75 |
August 18, 2021 |
6.4 |
-0.064 |
14.10% |
Week 76 |
August 25, 2021 |
6.2 |
-0.193 |
8.80% |
Week 77 |
September 1, 2021 |
6.3 |
-0.183 |
13.90% |
Week 78 |
September 8, 2021 |
5.8 |
-0.500 |
12.20% |
Week 79 |
September 15, 2021 |
5.8 |
-0.048 |
13.30% |
Distillate fuel inventories:
Distillate Fuel Inventories |
|
|
|
Week |
Date of Report |
Change in Millions |
Relative to 5-Yr Avg |
Week 42 |
June 10, 2021 |
4.40 |
-5.0% |
Week 43 |
June 16, 2021 |
-1.00 |
-6.0% |
Week 44 |
June 23, 2021 |
1.80 |
-4.0% |
Week 45 |
June 30, 2021 |
0.90 |
-5.0% |
Week 46 |
July 8, 2021 |
1.60 |
-6.0% |
Week 47 |
July 14, 2021 |
3.70 |
-4.0% |
Week 48 |
July 21, 2021 |
-1.30 |
-4.0% |
Week 49 |
July 28, 2021 |
-3.10 |
-7.0% |
Week 50 |
August 4, 2021 |
0.80 |
-6.0% |
Week 51 |
August 11, 2021 |
1.80 |
-6.0% |
Week 52 |
August 18, 2021 |
-2.70 |
-8.0% |
Week 53 |
August 25, 2021 |
0.60 |
-8.0% |
Week 54 |
September 1, 2021 |
-1.70 |
-9.0% |
Week 55 |
September 9, 2021 |
-3.10 |
-12.0% |
Week 56 |
September 15, 2021 |
-1.70 |
-13.0% |
check out Total "U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil and Petroleum Products"; they're at a 42 month low, and seem likely to fall to a 6 1/2 year low next week..
ReplyDeletehttps://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WTTSTUS1&f=W
I had not seen that table before. Thank you. I just don't get it. Price per bbl of crude oil doesn't seem to make sense with a) record low inventories; and, b) no evidence that "we" can catch up any time soon.
Deleteoil traders don't get any deeper into the data than the two year low for crude stocks, which they probably figure is a blip due to Ida...
DeleteThat certainly seems to be the case.
Delete