Wednesday, March 11, 2020

Breaking News: Italy Has Released Its Daily Figures -- Off The Charts -- Out Of Control -- March 11, 2020

Italy released their figures for the past 24 hours at 12:00 noon CT, March 22, 2020:
  • Italy: 2,313 new cases; 196 new deaths;
  • China: 36 new cases with 22 new deaths;
  • Iran: 958 with 63 new deaths;
  • Spain: 493 with 13 new deaths;
  • Germany: 288 with 1 new death;
  • South Korea: 242 with no new deaths;
A reminder: there was a report that the Italian numbers were artificially low yesterday because a major northern province -- Lombardy -- had failed to reports its numbers. If so, those numbers were aggregated into today's numbers.

Today's numbers as of mid-day, US:



The fatality rate in selected countries:
  • Italy's fatality rate has been running about 5.9% or greater;
    • the current fatality rate for Italy is 827 / 12,461 = 66%
  • South Korea: 60 / 7,733 = 0.8%
  • USA: 3%
From March 10, 2020:
  • United States
    • 4,856 coronavirus tests have been run in public health labs, said CDC Director Dr. Robert Redfield. “We've got a new reporting system that has CDC, public health labs. We're going to get direct dumps from LabCorp and Quest so people are going to see all the tests done, where they are done. We will have a surveillance system that does that” Redfield said. [Comment: tectonic change for a government-run bureaucracy -- releasing unfiltered data.]
  • Michigan: first two cases identified; governor declares emergency
  • New York City, Westchester County: interesting time line:
    • March 7, 2020: not on MSM radar scope
    • March 8: 16 new cases in New York (state)
    • March 9: no new cases posted, but CDC said there were now over 100 cases in New York state;
    • March 9: about this time, Westchester County area; some areas placed in regional quarantine;
    • March 10: no new cases posted
    • March 11: as of 12:16 p.m CT, no new cases posted;
Although I was wrong about the public response to coronavirus, I am in agreement with the sentiment posited below:
 

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