If You Can Handle Roller-Coaster Rides -- January 6, 2019

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, career, travel, job, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

Harold Hamm: prognostication. Think about that when looking at note below. 

• predicts 19% jump in US oil prices within six months
• regardless of what happens in the Mideast
• only says "tightening supplies"
• he didn't mention "right kind of oil"
• he didn't mention recent stories about global demand for US light, sweet oil

WPX acquires Felix Energy, announced December 16, 2019. I missed this one.

• WPX, Oklahoma-based, focuses on the Bakken and the Permian
• Felix Energy, Denver-based
• WPX specifically interested in Felix's acreage in Texas' Loving, Winkler, and Ward counties in Texas near the New Mexico border; part of the core region of the Permian, Delaware Basin
• price: $900 million in cash; $1.6 billion in WPX stock;
• Other deals possible:
• buyers: 
• EOG, COP, Pioneer Natural Resources, Noble Energy, Devon Enery, FANG
• maybe XOM, Chevron, Shell
• lesser extent: BP, Total
• could be acquired:
• WPX
• Callon Petroleum, which just merged with Carrizo
• Parsley Energy (part of the 2019 deal scene -- all stock merger between Parsley and Jagged Peak Energy Inc)
• Cimarex Energy
• Centennial Resource Development
• Laredo Petroleum 
• Lots of talk: 
• XOM - EOG ($51 billion, $88.80)
• EOG - Laredo
• Barron's suggests seven potential 2020 targets (market cap, recent share price):
• Laredo Petroleum
• Centennial Resource Development
• Matador Resources
• QEP Resources ($1.1 billion, $4.70)
• SM Energy ($1.4 billion, $12.10, recent jump in price)
  
• WPX Energy ($5.9 billion , $14.14)
  
• Halcon Resources (privately held)

• Four I didn't see mentioned:  
• Whiting ($730 million, $8.00)
  
• Oasis ($1.2 billion, $3.60)
• Enerplus ($1.6 billion, $7.25)
• Encana($6.4 billion, $4.90)

I can't speak to the Permian, don't know it well enough but it certainly seems the Bakken is ripe for a lot of M&A activity this year. My hunch is we see more written about M&A activity in the Permian simply because the Permian is getting the most attention in general. 

Again, the disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, career, travel, job, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.