The Warmists Can't Handle The Truth -- August 23, 2015

Updates

August 23, 2015: Calgary, Alberta, with surprise snowfall in August, the middle of summer -- just a day's drive from the Bakken to the Rodeo Stampede. 

Fifteen miles south of Baker, MT -- yes, in the Williston Basin -- local folks have reported frost overnight.

Yes, I know this is weather. But 19 years of weather starts to look like climate. Nineteen years of no evidence of any global warming. And that is despite the warmists fudging the figures. Previously reported, and see below.

Last year I was about ready to quit posting notes on global warming / climate change, but then decided (probably due to my obsessiveness/compulsiveness) to go one more year with posts on global warming. However, with the stories coming out now, and particularly the stories about the Obama administration fudging the data (previously reported and now another story, below), I will probably post even more vigorously this year the global warming stories. Remember, the Farmer's Almanac projects a very cold winter coming this year, and apparently it's already started. By the way, in both cases, the Obama administration does not dispute they fudged the data, though they use different words, excuses, and phrases to explain their actions.

Original Post

RealClearPolicy is reporting:

Earlier this month, [Patrick Michaels] sent [his] findings to Jason Samenow, a terrific forecaster who runs the Washington Post's weather blog, Capital Weather Gang. He and his crew verified what [Michaels] found and wrote up their version, giving due credit and adding other evidence that something was very wrong at National. And, in remarkably quick action for a government agency, the National Weather Service swapped out the sensor within a week and found that the old one was reading 1.7 degrees too high. Close enough to 2.1, the observed difference.

But the National Weather Service told the Capital Weather Gang that there will be no corrections, despite the fact that the disparity suddenly began 19 months ago and varied little once it began. It said correcting for the error wouldn't be "scientifically defensible."

Therefore, people can and will cite the May record as evidence for dreaded global warming with impunity. Only a few weather nerds will know the truth. Over a third of this year's 37 90-degree-plus days, which gives us a remote chance of breaking the all time record, should also be eliminated, putting this summer rightly back into normal territory.

It is really politically unwise not to do a simple adjustment on these obviously-too-hot data. With all of the claims that federal science is being biased in service of the president's global-warming agenda, the agency should bend over backwards to expunge erroneous record-high readings.

In July, by contrast, NOAA had no problem adjusting the global temperature history. In that case, the method they used guaranteed that a growing warming trend would substitute for "the pause." They reported in Science that they had replaced the pause (which shows up in every analysis of satellite and weather balloon data) with a significant warming trend.

Normative science says a trend is "statistically significant" if there's less than a 5 percent probability that it would happen by chance. NOAA claimed significance at the 10 percent level, something no graduate student could ever get away with. There were several other major problems with the paper. As Judy Curry, a noted climate scientist at Georgia Tech, wrote, "color me 'unconvinced.'"

Unfortunately, following this with the kerfuffle over the Reagan temperature records is only going to "convince" even more people that our government is blowing hot air on global warming.