Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Whiting: Update Based On Scanning Recent Easily Accessible Information -- December 3, 2019

Disclaimer: I often make typographical and/or factual errors. If this is important to you go to the source. 

Note
: in a long note like this, there will be factual and typographical errors. If this is important to you, go to the source. 

Whiting: most of us are locked out of stories regarding WLL due to paywalls. Headlines help. Observations:
  • Whiting is canceling permits in the Bakken; another seventeen Whiting permits were reported canceled yesterday; unlike the first seventeen canceled permits, the newest batch of canceled permits included permits in some really good locations; canceled permits tracked here;
  • a report that Whiting was in a deal to buy Abraxas was a "top story" back in mid-October, 2019;  
  • almost all investment articles on Whiting have one thing in common: "high debt load"
  • one fairly recent article suggested takeaway capacity was really hurting Whiting; meanwhile North Dakota regulators have not yet announced decision on DAPL expansion;
  • I didn't look at many, but it was surprising, one might think, that share prices for many shale oil companies rose yesterday, including Whiting -- rose almost 8%; rose 41 cents to $5.60
  • corporate presentations posted here (company's website);
    • Whiting has third largest position in the Bakken; third largest producer
    • 471,000 net acres
    • currently running four rigs, one frac crew
    • looks like it is concentrating on infill development of the Sanish
    • Foreman Butte moving to full-field development
    • full slide devoted to "Williston Basin infrastructure outlook improving"
      • again, Sanish and Foreman Butte highlighted on this slide
    • full slide: "taking action to strengthen the balance sheet"
      • "continue to evaluate non-core asset sales"
  • full year, 2019, guidance, high end:
    • lease operating expense per BOE: $7.55
    • transportation, gathering, compression per BOE: $1.05
    • general and administrative expense per BOE: $2.85
    • interest expense per BOE: $4.40
      • on those four items: $15.85
    • oil price differential to NYMEX, per bbl: $7.75
      • $50 - $8 = $42 
General financial guidance:


Tracked: at this site --
  • note increase in acreage position in the Bakken since 2018
What next: what next to watch for --
  • update on Abraxas
  • asset sale
  • share price relative to price of WTI
Key: most important observation from my point of view --
  • remains committed to strategic plan -- CAPEX and maintaining four rigs as planned

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

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