Note: if the numbers are correct, on a per capita basis, ND has more corona-related deaths than Texas. I will re-check that later.
Dr Fauci might be walking with a big of a swagger this next week after seeing the new corona virus numbers for the US. He and his team can honestly say they predicted this.
New cases, yesterday:
- FL: almost 10,000
- TX: 6,000
- CA: 4,000
- NY: less than a 1,000
- ND: 37
- AZ: 44
- TX: 39
- NJ: 34
- CA: 32
- NY: 31
- ND: 0
- #1: NY: 21,000
- #2: NJ: 20,000
- #3: MA: 16,000
- #7: CA: 5,400
- #33: TX: 5,000
- #36: ND: 4,500
- #1: NY: 1,700
- #2: NJ: 1,600
- #3: MA: 1,200
- #29: CA: 149
- #37: ND: 102
- #42: TX: 83
- CA: 210,849 / 3,839,711 = 5.5%
- NY: 416,018 / 3,754,722 = 11.1%
- TX: 148,845 / 1,959,617 = 7.6%
- FL: 132,545 / 1,830,791 = 7.2%
- ND: 3,458 / 102,519 = 3.4%
- assumption: any individual tested will average three tests (we can discuss that later, if necessary)
- CA: 3,839,711 / 3 / 40 million = 3.2%
- NY: 3,754,722 / 3/ 20 million = 6.3%
- TX: 1,959,617 / 3 / 30 million = 2.2%
- FL: 1,830,791 / 3 / 22 million = 2.8%
- ND: 102,519 / 3 / 0.75 million = 4.5%
- in other words, perhaps two percent of residents in each of those five states have been tested
- NY is an outlier (over 6% vs 3% for the other states):
- due to
- multiple testing of suspect patients'
- multiple testing of healthcare providers and first responders
- start testing earlier
Back in the US, it is interesting that no one is talking about herd immunity any more.
Gonna be a rough month, July.
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