This is the question: At what rate could DUCs be fracked during first six weeks of next turnaroud?
These are a few parameters and miscellaneous comments:
- right now the "average" number of wells coming on line each day: about one new well and three DUCs / day -- 4 / day or about 28 wells/week (I may be way off on that)
- there may be no turnaround for several years (though I bet the industry looks a lot better in 2017 than it does in 2015)
- a turnaround in fracking won't occur during the winter months regardless of the price of oil
- the earliest we might see any turnaround in fracking would be early next spring / next summer (2016)
- I don't think anyone has any good handle on "capacity" of fracking in the Bakken right now (fracking companies have disappeared, cut back, in the middle of mergers)
- the effect of high volume proppant on the rate of fracking
So, I'll throw it out there just for "grins."
I suppose there's a corollary, but I won't ask for now: if/when there is a turnaround, will DUCs or newly-drilled wells take precedent in fracking? This may be a no-brainer; I don't know.
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