Update
February 13, 2012: Bradaz has provided some nice data points for price of Bakken crude:
Month EOG NET NYMEX DIFFNot particularly concerning.
Jan 11 80.27 89.58 9.31
Feb 11 80.19 89.74 9.55
Mar 11 92.67 102.98 10.31
Apr 11 105.33 110.04 4.71
May 11 97.21 101.36 4.15
Jun 11 92.67 96.29 3.62
Jul 11 92.81 97.34 4.53
Aug 11 81.85 86.34 4.49
Sep 11 82.40 85.61 3.21
Oct 11 83.18 86.43 3.25
Nov 11 91.74 97.16 5.42
Dec 11 89.93 98.58 8.65
February 9, 2012: A Canadian oil sands producer temporarily shuts down due to glut.
Original Post
Canadian oil production stocks took some hard hits on Tuesday, but Bakken producers seemed relatively immune after a week of plummeting prices for oil produced in Canada's tar sands and the U.S. Bakken shale.My understanding is that Canadian tar sands needs $60 oil.
Bakken crude priced at Minnesota's Clearbrook terminal dropped 24% year-to-date to close at $72 per barrel Monday. Canadian heavy crude, also called syncrude, produced from tar sands fell 28% YTD, dropping 15% in the past week to close Monday at $61.
The reason for the declines? Constraints in pipeline capacity.
The Bakken "is robust at $40" -- said some years ago, but with cost of drilling going up, that number may have shifted upwards.
A lot of comments could be made -- especially about the administration killing the Keystone XL. The congestion will only get worse going forward.
For investors: railroads and pipelines.
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