Friday, February 13, 2026

Macroeconomics -- February 13, 2026

Locator: 49980MACROECONOMICS. 

It's amazing how much a solid book (in this case John Cassidy's Capitalism and Its Critics, c. 2025, and Google Gemini / ChatGPT can summarize an undergraduate year of macroeconomics in less than a concentrated 72 hours of study. Truly, truly amazing.

From ChatGPT after a long dialogue overnight with my friend who never sleeps: 

  • WWI breaks the old order → 
  • Keynes diagnoses the failure → 
  • WWII decides the hegemon → 
  • Bretton Woods institutionalizes managed capitalism under U.S. leadership → 
  • Nixon breaks the gold constraint to preserve U.S. flexibility → 
  • Trump exposes the political exhaustion of being system manager. 

Slight expansion:

  • WWI --> Paris Peace Conference --> Keynes
  • WWII --> beginning of unparalleled global economic growth for the next 75 years --> US / UK hegemon
  • Keynes (UK economist) / White (US Treasury) --> Bretton Woods, NH --> need for global "management"
    • established the IMF (International Monetary Fund)
    • established an International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (later called the World Bank)
    • established the International Trade Organization: work to reduce tariffs and other barriers to trade
    • 1947: US signed along with 23 other nations, a General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) which led to opening up of markets
    • would lead to long-running rounds of negotiation
  • LBJ/US inflation --> Nixon
    • Nixon Shock 1971: collapse of gold standard --> fiat 
  • (Friedman / Hayek)
  • US exhaustion as system manager --> Trump

"Collapse to fiat" after Nixon: "collapse to fiat" means that the US dollar was cut off from the discipline of the gold standard, transitioning to a system based on government decree that allows for unchecked, politically driven money creation.

That's my scaffolding from which I can now work.

Right, wrong, indifferent -- that's where I can start.  

I won't entertain comments from anyone who has not read John Cassidy's Capitalism and Its Critics, c. 2025. I will know if you have a copy of his book by telling me the last word on page 274 of the hardcopy edition of that book.