Sunday, November 15, 2020

Notes From All Over -- Augusta Master's Edition -- November 15, 2020

Chinese flu: say what you want, but this doesn't give me a lot of positive vibes about the Pfizer vaccine. From "90% effective" to "maybe" a reduction of 50% transmission between humans. Link here. Yes, I understand "effectiveness" vs "transmission" is measuring two different things, comparing apples with oranges, but the American public and the editors of The New York Times won't be able to sort t out. At the end of the day: two weeks ago, we had a vaccine that was 90% effective; yesterday, we are being told, loudly and clearly, "maybe 50%." 

On another note: The creepiest commercial ever? This is exactly what the Germans did when Hitler was gassing people in concentration camps: the Germans ignored it, sat at home, on their couches. Link here. Maybe I'm missing something. 

On another note: I might have mentioned earlier on the blog that I recently brought home the largest Apple desktop iMac currently available. Wow, impressed. I'm sitting here typing on my workhorse, an old MacBook Air, with an iPhone monitoring our oldest granddaughter's water polo tournament, while watching the Masters on a huge Apple screen.

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A Musical Bio

Link here: Hedy West. From the bio:

In the autumn of 1970, she moved from Great Britain to Stony Brook. She picked her elderly grandparents' brains for scraps of musical memory. 

From The WSJ, yesterday, by Ann Podd: "My Family Tree -- and How I Found The Stories Behind the Names."

Interesting to read but not particularly noteworthy.

The three steps when compiling the family story:

  • establish the scaffolding: the family tree itself;
  • map geographic locations;
  • capture interesting stories.

That was the takeaway from the article.

This was perhaps the most helpful advice Ms Podd provided:

I stopped and gave myself a two-year deadline and two goals. First, I would preserve and share the most important documents and photos so they weren’t lost with me. And second, I would limit my research to direct ancestry lines starting with our four sets of grandparents, determining: where their original hometowns were, and in what countries; why the original immigrants left; and what happened to them and their children when they got to the U.S.

It seems so obvious now: Once you focus on a smaller number of names, and know what you’re looking for, you have a task you can get your arms around. You can see the beginning, middle and end.

Most interesting: what Ms Podd did not tell us (unless I missed it or it was implied): how she presented her finished project. I had the impression her final project consisted of the following:

  • numerous Rubbermaid bins with archival material that she did not catalogue;
  • numerous 3-ring binders with document-protected memorabilia;
  • a single 3-ring binder with the various family trees

If so, they Rubbermaid bins will end up in her attic or basement; her 3-ring binders will end up on shelves in her house. To which no one will have easy access.

Maybe she did this but simply did not tell us: use the web. Blogs or websites are perfect for family genealogy projects. Send the links to family and friends and invariably you get corrections and additions. 

The second thing: scan / photograph everything. The more you have, the more challenging it is, but in the end it is well worth the effort.

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Another Musical Interlude and Bio

Rosanne Cash.

500 Miles, Rosanne Cash, Hedy West

Completion Strategy For Hess In The Tioga Oil Field -- November 15, 2020

Updates

November 16, 2020: a reader who follows this much more closely than I do and who understands this much better than I do had this to say about this well:

It is very good to see you tracking the particulars of this drilling and completion stuff as these ongoing improvements will continue to play big roles in lowering the cost of producing US hydrocarbons.

Combining the reduced  cost/time to D&C wells with the ever increasing recovery rate is actually greatly expanding the footprint for economically  viable development.

For some  comparison, Range Resources - I believe - drilled about a 10,500 foot lateral in under 24 hours and Antero did a now-record 11,300+ foot in a 24 hour time span. 
Truly remarkable performances ... especially when one realizes that they are staying in zone about 100% of the time.

Original Post

This well is coming off the confidential list this next week:

  • 7211, conf, Hess, TI-Nelson-157-94-3031H-1, Tioga,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
9-20201489419554
8-20201334812288
7-20202039020727
6-20202741936751
5-2020965312674

**************************************
Completion strategies tracked here.
 
FracFocus
  • fracked 4/6/20 - 4/17/20: 10.8 million gallons of water, a large frack for the Bakken these days; 89.3% water by mass;
NDIC file report:
  • spud: January 20, 2020
  • cease drilling: January 29, 2020; 2:57 p.m. CT
  • TD: 20,478' MD
  • middle Bakken target
  • vertical: drilled in two runs with a planned bit trip occurring at 7,642' MD
  • KOP reached at 9,480' MD, 1:45 p.m. CT, January 24th, 2020
  • curve: drilling commenced at 10:51 p.m. CT January 24, 2020; completed curve at 10,302' MD at 10:11 a.m. January 25, 2020 (again, the standard for drilling the curve in the middle Bakken is about twelve hours; I've seen it done in as few as three hours;
  • upper Bakken: gas ranged as high as 2,234 units
  • middle Bakken: gas ranged as high as only 808 units
  • lateral:
    • 20' target window was centered 26" below the top of the middle Bakken, so a seam about 52' thick?
    • began: January 26, 2020; 11:02 p.m. CT -- just before midnight
    • completed: January 29, 2020: 2:57 p.m -- just after noon
    • so, is that about 2.5 days to drill the lateral?

Hess: Remarkable Operator In The Bakken In 2020

Of the six wells coming off confidential list this next week, starting Monday, November 15, 2020, Hess is reporting five wells (I have to go back and check this; this almost seems impossible but right now):

  • Monday, November 23, 2020: 25 for the month; 49 for the quarter, 714 for the year
    • 37211, conf, Hess, TI-Nelson-157-94-3031H-1, Tioga,
  • Sunday, November 22, 2020: 24 for the month; 48 for the quarter, 713 for the year
    • 36460, conf, Hess, EN-Ruland-156-94-3328H-2, Manitou,
  • Friday, November 20, 2020: 23 for the month; 47 for the quarter, 712 for the year
    • 35711, conf, Whiting, Renbarger 24-34-1H, Grinnell,
  • Wednesday, November 18, 2020: 23 for the month; 47 for the quarter, 712 for the year
    • 36462, conf, Hess, EN-Ruland-156-94-3328H-5, Manitou,
  • Tuesday, November 17 2020: 22 for the month; 46 for the quarter, 711 for the year
    • 36532, conf, Hess, EN-Sorenson B-LW-155-94-3526H-1, Alkali Creek,
    • 36510, conf, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-6, Banks,

For newbies:

  • I've been seeing this all year -- Hess is still reporting a lot of wells; very, very consistent;
  • in the early days of the boom, Hess was not noted for its middle Bakken wells; in the last couple of years, Hess wells are as good as any in the Bakken
  • Hess is drilling, in many cases, many oil fields that are not particularly known for good wells in the middle Bakken
  • Hess is reporting wells from many different fields; this next week, the five wells that Hess is reporting were drilled in four different fields (Banks, Alkali Creek, Manitou, Tioga)

Initial Production Data For Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- November 15, 2020

The wells:

  • 37211, conf, Hess, TI-Nelson-157-94-3031H-1, Tioga,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
9-20201489419554
8-20201334812288
7-20202039020727
6-20202741936751
5-2020965312674
  • 36460, conf, Hess, EN-Ruland-156-94-3328H-2, Manitou,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
9-202047955859
8-20201188914375
7-20201601416697
6-20202171225468
5-2020115349120
  • 35711, conf, Whiting, Renbarger 24-34-1H, Grinnell, fracked 3/27/20 - 4/7/20; 5.98 million gallons of water (a small frack); 86.9% water by mass (typical); completion strategies tracked here;
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
9-20203633399592
8-202013111157
  • 36462, conf, Hess, EN-Ruland-156-94-3328H-5, Manitou,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
9-20201271010353
8-20201089712701
7-20201891122808
6-202089549059
5-20201309213451
  • 36532, conf, Hess, EN-Sorenson B-LW-155-94-3526H-1, Alkali Creek,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
9-202045387415
8-20203290339222
7-20203195646685
6-20203025241920
5-2020392413707
  • 36510, conf, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-6, Banks,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
9-202029264750
8-20201528834
7-20203131362117
6-20203315357454
5-20202187933317

Wells Coming Off The Confidential List This Next Week -- November 15, 2020

Six months ago: national lockdown -- Chinese flu. 

Monday, November 23, 2020: 25 for the month; 49 for the quarter, 714 for the year
37211, conf, Hess, TI-Nelson-157-94-3031H-1,

Sunday, November 22, 2020: 24 for the month; 48 for the quarter, 713 for the year
36460, conf, Hess, EN-Ruland-156-94-3328H-2,

Saturday, November 21, 2020: 23 for the month; 47 for the quarter, 712 for the year
None.

Friday, November 20, 2020: 23 for the month; 47 for the quarter, 712 for the year
35711, conf, Whiting, Renbarger 24-34-1H,

Thursday, November 19, 2020: 23 for the month; 47 for the quarter, 712 for the year
None.

Wednesday, November 18, 2020: 23 for the month; 47 for the quarter, 712 for the year
36462, conf, Hess, EN-Ruland-156-94-3328H-5,

Tuesday, November 17 2020: 22 for the month; 46 for the quarter, 711 for the year
36532, conf, Hess, EN-Sorenson B-LW-155-94-3526H-1,
36510, conf, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-6,

Monday, November 16, 2020: 20 for the month; 44 for the quarter, 709 for the year
None.

Sunday, November 15, 2020: 20 for the month; 44 for the quarter, 709 for the year
None.

Saturday, November 14, 2020: 20 for the month; 44 for the quarter, 709 for the year
37380, conf,  Minnkota Power Cooperative, Inc, J-LOC 1,
36005, conf, BR, Kermit 3-8-32UTFH, Pershing, Rink/Kermit wells are tracked here;