Friday, March 27, 2020

Daily Note, Early Morning Edition -- March 27, 2020

Breaking news: Boris says he has tested positive for Wuhan flu. 

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Global Warming Wrap-up

Cold:


Lake Mead, link here:



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EVs

Inside EVs.
Tesla slashes 75% of workforce at US gigafactory; Panasonic temporarily suspends work at the gigafactory (until April 14, 2020)


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SEAFLU

Link here

Not that anyone cares or is even following it.

Perhaps one of the worse, if not the worst, year for pediatric deaths due to "seasonal flu" -- you know the one -- the one that is not "novel" or called something scary like COVID-19.

CDC unable to provide exact numbers like it does with COVID-19; only provides broad estimates; annual flu cases are estimated, and "rounded off" in millions. In other words, we don't know if there have been 38 million cases in the US this year or 37 million cases.
We are well into this season; the season should be wrapping up, but here it is, from the CDC: the overall cumulative hospitalization rate for the season increased to 65.1 per 100,000. It had been running 57 to 59 per 100,000.
We are well into this season; the season should be wrapping up, but here it is, from the CDC:
the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza is 7.1%, below the epidemic threshold of 7.3%. 
Ventilators: think of the number of ventilators required for pneumonia/influenza hospitalizations at a rate of 65.1/100,000 -- seasonal flu and compare that to COVID-19 hospitalizations so far in the US -- 8,000 hospitalizations or 2.4/100,000. The numbers that Governor Cuomo says needed for NYC don't add up.
  • COVID-19 hospitalizations, US, cumulative: 8,000
  • SEAFLU hospitalizations, US, cumulative: 214,830 
  • We are well into this season; the season should be wrapping up, but here it is, from the CDC: five more pediatric deaths due to SEAFLU reported this past week, bringing the total for the season to 149, one of the worse, if not the wrose record in modern history 
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Italy 

Another attempt to explain Italy's experience with Wuhan flu. Over at aljazeera. Virginia Pietromarchi does provide another interesting data point.

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Great Britain

Forecast of British deaths due to Wuhan flu have been revised ... downward ... and revised significantly downward. Link here.

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