Updates
September 9, 2014: From the DNR message board today:
I looked at an interesting report on natural gas supply/demand to 2020.
New England supply has gone from 5bcf/d in 2012 to projected 32bcf/d in 2020. Pipes don't catch up with supply until 2017.
But project 90bcf/d supply in 2020 and 5bcf/d potential shortage.
The rest of the country demand is growing 3x the supply growth in the New England.Be sure to the NG_Fill_Rate tag at the bottom of the blog.
Original Post
With Canadian NG storage hovering just above 120 Bcf after consuming nearly 500 Bcf this past winter, average injection season additions will have to be at least 30% greater than last year to reach 5 year average end of injection season storage.
I don't see the Canadians exporting much NG to the USA this year . If Canadian storage doesn't fill at record pace and we have another cold winter in 2014-15 Canada would be in negative storage territory come late winter.It is just very possible that a profound shortage of natural gas next winter in North America could be "the" big story.
I track "big stories" here.
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