Sunday, October 14, 2012

File Under: Thank Goodness For The Internet -- Global Warming Stopped Sixteen (16) Years Ago; Ocean Levels Are Rising At The Rate of 3 Millimeters/Year -- Really?

Updates

February 17, 2013: For archival purposes. Faux environmentalist are worried about the world's oceans rising 3 - 5 mm/year (see below). Putting that 3 - 5 mm/year, look at the tidal range of the Bay of Fundy:

The Bay of Fundy is known for its high tidal range. The quest for world tidal dominance has led to a rivalry between the Minas Basin in the Bay of Fundy and the Leaf Basin in Ungava Bay, over which body of water lays claim to the highest tides in the world, with supporters in each region claiming the record.
The Canadian Hydrographic Service finally declared it a statistical tie, with measurements of a 16.8 metre (55.1 feet) tidal range in Leaf Basin for Ungava Bay and 17 meters (55.8 feet) at Burntcoat Head for the Bay of Fundy.The highest water level ever recorded in the Bay of Fundy system occurred at the head of the Minas Basin on the night of October 4–5, 1869 during a tropical cyclone named the “Saxby Gale”. The water level of 21.6 meters (70.9 feet) resulted from the combination of high winds, abnormally low atmospheric pressure, and a spring tide.
November 3, 2012: For archival purposes:
Hurricane Sandy barely qualified as a Category 1 storm when it made landfall in the New York area. Irene, which landed a year earlier, had been downgraded to a tropical storm by the time it touched the city.
For comparison, the 1821 Norfolk and Long Island hurricane by current metrics when it laid waste to Lower Manhattan. The 1938 New England hurricane was a Category 3 when it flooded parts of the city and battered Long Island. Hurricane Donna in 1960 was considered a strong Category I when it produced an 11-foot storm surge in New York harbor.
I understand that, at most, the ocean's rise along the east coast is measured in tenths of inches, if not hundredths of inches. From wiki:
Sea levels around the world are rising. Current sea-level rise potentially impacts human populations (e.g., those living in coastal regions and on islands and the natural environment (e.g., marine ecosystems). Global average sea level rose at an average rate of around 1.7 ± 0.3 mm per year from 1950 to 2009 and at a satellite-measured average rate of about 3.3 ± 0.4 mm per year from 1993 to 2009.
3 mm/year -- measurable, reproducible, statistically significant? 3 mm/year. A decade --> 3 cm rise -- measurable, reproducible, statistically significant? There are 2.54 cm in an inch, so we are talking about an inch rise in the ocean over the next decade, assuming the models are even correct. Twelve inches in a foot, 11-foot storm surge, .... for archival purposes only. 

Original Post
Not yet printed by US mainstream media.
The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released last week. 
The figures, which have triggered debate among climate scientists, reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures
This means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. Before that, temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years.
Published by the UK mainstream media. We now know why the Antarctic is growing, I suppose.

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