This graphic is in line with about almost everything else I see.
Observations:
- energy: all the above -- everything is represented here
- the graph goes out to 2040
- this is global energy demand
- coal: the amount actually increased significantly from 2000 to 2015, and really doesn't decrease all that much (if it does, its almost imperceptible)
- natural gas: the huge winner -- compare 2040 with 2015 (or 2000, for that matter)
- oil: even oil shows a huge increase
- nuclear: increases some (China? India? where?)
- other renewables (wind/solar): although there's a relative increase, it looks like about 25 quadrillion BTUs/700 quadrillion BTUs = 3.57%. I.N.C.O.N.S.E.Q.U.E.N.T.I.A.L. A rounding error at best.
- 2015: 575 quadrillion BTUs
- 2040: 700 quadrillion BTUs
- (700 - 575) / 575 = 22% increase in global energy demand over the next 25 years.
There is no question that solar has some niches (wind has none, absolutely zero) but as a real global player, unreliable, expensive, non-dispatchable energy is irrelevant.
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