The First 24 -- 1H2010
Since January 25, 2010, I have recorded every well that has been reported in North Dakota. The list starts here (1H10) (click on "the list starts here").
For the past couple of days, I've been updating the very first wells, the wells that were reported in 2010, which correctly or incorrectly I list as 1H10 (which is linked above).
It takes a lot of time to do this manually, but I do it because it gives me a "feel" for the Bakken. I haven't completely finished the list but I've done a lot of it, updating the total amount produced by each well as of 4/14 or 5/15, which at the time of updating was the most recent data available from the NDIC.
If one scrolls through the list, it is incredibly interesting all the things one can note. Randomly, in no particular order or importance attached to any of the data points. These are some things that jump out at me:
1. How incredibly young the Bakken boom is. These wells were all tested (which means they were spud not too much earlier -- 6 months or so) in 2009 or 2010.
2. How incredibly few permits, once issued, were cancelled.
3. How few -- as in almost "none" -- wells were DRY. As I said from the beginning: there are "no" dry Bakken wells.
4. The incredible difference in production among Bakken wells compared to Spearfish wells, compared to Madison wells, compared to wells from other formations.
5. They may not be dry, but are they economical. I've discussed that before also. Even low-producing wells serve a purpose, and in the "old" days any producer "held a lease by production." Not how few -- none -- of the wells are abandoned or plugged. They are all active.
6. Many of the early wells were short laterals; now the standard is long laterals, twice as long. I don't necessarily buy into it, but some folks suggest that a horizontal well twice as long will produce twice as much oil as a horizontal half the length, all things being equal. Again, these are mostly short lateral wells. I think most of these wells, based on the operator (except for EOG) were long laterals.
7. These wells were drilled when time was of the essence, to save the leases before they expired.
8. The technology back in 2009 and 2010 was definitely much different than the technology in 2014. Regular readers know how much better the technology has become. In the beginning of the boom, we talked about one-stage fracks. Then 8 stages; then 12 stages; now up to 24, and 36, and 60 stages.
9. The decline rates are atrocious, but they are improving over time, as the technology gets better.
10. When these wells were being drilled, the companies were barely into delineating the Bakken. To some extent, these were all "wildcats," although not in the strict definition, but operators were still sorting things out.
11. I have data that goes all the way back to 2006 but that data is on Excel spreadsheets and not posted on the blog; maybe someday I will update data from the beginning of the boom, but manually it takes a long, long time.
12. I don't think it's a stretch to say that every one of these wells might have had three times the production by now had they all been long laterals (and maybe they all were long laterals; I haven't checked); and using all the new technology and better completion methods.
So, scroll through the wells at the link (1H10, above) to get a feeling of what went on back then and the total production to date.
Here are the very first wells I ever recorded at the blog as they were being reported. The names of the wells do not matter. The third column is the oil field; the fourth column is month/year when the well was tested; the fifth column was the month/year when I updated total production; the last column, in 1000's of bbls, is total production to date (fifth column).
These happen to be all Bakken wells. By this point in the Bakken boom, they were not drilling much else. But look at those cumulative production numbers (last column).
18369 | BEXP | Rosebud | 1/10 | 5/14 | 187 |
18324 | BEXP | Painted Woods | 1/10 | 5/14 | 213 |
18232 | Hunt | Ross | 1/10 | 4/14 | 337 |
18014 | Zavanna | Stony Creek | 1/10 | 4/14 | 145 |
18082 | WLL | Alger | 7/9 | 4/14 | 110 |
17996 | EOG | Burke | 7/9 | 5/14 | 20 |
17972 | EOG | Parshall | 8/9 | 5/14 | 297 |
17933 | EOG | Parshall | 8/9 | 4/14 | 250 |
17828 | EOG | Parshall | 8/9 | 4/14 | 132 |
17727 | EOG | Sanish | 8/9 | 4/14 | 149 |
17984 | OXY USA | Simon Butte | 8/9 | 4/14 | 56 |
18188 | Slawson | Van Hook | 9/9 | 4/14 | 222 |
18153 | MRO | Big Bend | 9/9 | 4/14 | 290 |
18298 | Whiting | Sanish | 10/9 | 4/14 | 565 |
17080 | Whiting | Sanish | 10/9 | 4/14 | 369 |
18209 | Murex | Sanish | 11/9 | 4/14 | 443 |
18233 | Whiting | Sanish | 11/9 | 4/14 | 216 |
17881 | Tracker | Little Knife | 12/9 | 5/14 | 189 |
18214 | EOG | Ross | 12/9 | 4/14 | 175 |
18301 | EOG | Parshall | 12/9 | 4/14 | 108 |
18262 | Hess | Manitou | 12/9 | 4/14 | 213 |
18238 | Murex | Sanish | 12/9 | 5/14 | 377 |
18213 | Whiting | Sanish | 12/9 | 4/14 | 446 |
I consider, right or wrong, that the wells paid for themselves when they hit 100K bbls total production.
You know, seriously, take a look at those wells. They were not cherry-picked. They were the first 23 or 24 wells that were reported at that time (some were reported by the operator and are "out of order" -- in other words, the sequence will not agree with NDIC's database).
But there is nothing cherry-picked; just as I got them and recorded them.
Look at those total production numbers. Remember, the consensus is that Bakken wells will go on producing for 39 years. The oldest well in that list (07/2009) is less than five years old.
A long, long time ago I talked about initial production (the first year or so) and the EURs. I will talk about that in a later post.
But again, these are the very first wells I ever posted as they came off the confidential list back in 2010. Now that the Bakken boom is seven years old in North Dakota, we can start looking at total production and EURs.
Over time, I will continue to post updates, the next 24, the next 24 after that, etc.
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The First 30 Permits -- 2006
Now compare the wells above with the first 30 permits in 2006. (Remember: the Bakken boom began in 2007 in North Dakota):
16054 | XTO/Headington | St Demetrius | 10/6 | 5/14 | 32 | |
16055 | XTO/Headington | Capa | 9/6 | 5/14 | 246 | |
16056 | Whiting | PNC | Duperow | |||
16057 | Whiting | Red River | 4/7 | 5/14 | 7 | |
16058 | CLR | Tyler | 7/6 | 5/14 | 23 | |
16059 | Petro-Hunt | Charlson | 10/6 | 5/14 | 1444 | |
16060 | Whiting | PNC | Red River | |||
16061 | Berenergy | Madison | 3/6 | 5/14 | 69 | |
16062 | Sinclair | TA | Red River | 2/7 | 5/14 | 0.9 |
16063 | Whiting | Birdbear | 5/6 | 5/14 | 117 | |
16064 | CLR | Red River | 8/10 | 5/14 | 42 | |
16065 | Onxy Oil | Dry | Madison | |||
16066 | Ballantyne | Dry | Madison | |||
16067 | Petro Harvester | Madison | 8/8 | 5/14 | 60 | |
16068 | Whiting | Sanish | 5/6 | 5/14 | 169 | |
16069 | Zenergy | Dry | Madison | |||
16070 | Oasis | Madison | 4/6 | 5/14 | 57 | |
16071 | Armstrong | Duperow | 1/6 | 5/14 | 93 | |
16072 | CLR | Midale/Nesson | 3/6 | 5/14 | 85 | |
16073 | Kaiser-Francis | PNC | Duperow | |||
16074 | Jed Oil | PNC | Juno | |||
16075 | XTO | Bullsnake | 6/6 | 5/14 | 62 | |
16076 | XTO | Mondak | 6/6 | 5/14 | 66 | |
16077 | Slawson | Loc | Madison | |||
16078 | Kaiser-Francis | Duperow | 5/6 | 5/14 | 28 | |
16079 | Kaiser-Francis | PNC | Duperow | |||
16080 | Hess | Beaver Lodge | 6/6 | 5/14 | 28 | |
16081 | Whiting | PNC | Sanish | |||
16082 | Petro Harvester | Madison | 2/6 | 5/14 | 166 | |
16083 | Hess | Capa | 2/7 | 5/14 | 198 |
Comments:
Of the 30 wells listed above, 20 were non-Bakken wells.
Note how many non-Bakken wells were dry. There are "no" dry wells in the Bakken.
Note how poor most of the non-Bakken wells turned out to be.
Note the Charlson Bakken well that has produced almost 1.5 million bbls of oil to date.
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The First 30 Permits -- 2007
The North Dakota Bakken boom began in 2007. These are the first 30 permits (but again, not all drilled/completed in this order):
Whiting | TAO | Madison | 6/7 | 5/14 | 0.1 |
Eagle | Madison | 3/7 | 5/14 | 118 | |
CLR | Red River | 6/7 | 5/14 | 82 | |
CLR | Chimney Butte | 6/7 | 5/14 | 123 | |
CLR | Corral Creek | 4/7 | 5/14 | 277 | |
Fidelity | IA | Pierre | 8/7 | 0 | |
Fidelity | NG | Pierre | 8/7 | 5/14 | 0 |
Fidelity | NG | Pierre | 8/7 | 5/14 | 0 |
Fidelity | NG | Pierre | 8/7 | 5/14 | 0 |
Fidelity | NG | Pierre | 8/7 | 5/14 | 0 |
CLR | Red River | 4/7 | 5/14 | 84 | |
CLR | Red River | 6/1 | 5/14 | 118 | |
Whiting | Dry | Red River | |||
Panamerican | Madison | 4/7 | 5/14 | 28 | |
PDC | EXP | Madison | |||
OXY/Ansbro | Willmen | 5/7 | 5/14 | 48 | |
OXY/Ansbro | Madison | 6/7 | 5/14 | 38 | |
Hess | Red River | 10/7 | 5/14 | 2 | |
Whiting | PNC | Madison | |||
Upton | PNC | Tyler | |||
Upton | TA | Tyler | 0.3 | ||
CLR | Red River | 7/7 | 5/14 | 185 | |
CLR | Red River | 7/7 | 5/14 | 222 | |
CLR | IA | Red River | 8/7 | 5/14 | 386 |
Zenergy | PNC | Madison | |||
BR | Blue Buttes | 6/7 | 5/14 | 180 | |
EOG | Parshall | 7/7 | 5/14 | 445 | |
CLR | Red River | 6/7 | 5/14 | 318 | |
EOG | Parshall | 5/8 | 5/14 | 366 | |
Nance | Dry | Madison |
Comments:
1. 24 of the 30 were non-Bakken wells.
2. The Red River has some incredibly good wells, and they are much less expensive to drill.
3. EOG is starting to hit on some huge Bakken wells.
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The First 30 Permits -- 2008
17000 | CLR | Red River | 12/9 | 5/14 | 254 | |
17001 | CLR | Red River | 11/8 | 5/14 | 85 | |
17002 | CLR | Red River | 12/8 | 5/14 | 34 | |
17003 | Kodiak | Twin Buttes | 12/9 | 5/14 | 20 | |
17004 | CLR | Red River | 6/8 | 5/14 | 94 | |
17005 | EOG | Parshall | 7/8 | 5/14 | 369 | |
17006 | Samson | PNC | Baukol N | |||
17007 | Hess | Ross | 5/8 | 5/14 | 130 | |
17008 | Marathon | Sanish | 8/8 | 5/14 | 40 | |
17009 | Peak | McGregory Buttes | 6/8 | 5/14 | 163 | |
17010 | Hess | Ross | 5/8 | 5/14 | 132 | |
17011 | EOG | Parshall | 8/8 | 5/14 | 415 | |
17012 | Hunt | Parshall | 6/8 | 5/14 | 286 | |
17013 | Prima | IA | Midale/Nesson | 7/8 | 47 | |
17014 | Hess | TA/ND | Wildcat | |||
17015 | XTO | IA | Manitou | 7/8 | ||
17016 | Armstrong | Dry | Madison | |||
17017 | XTO | Manitou | 5/8 | 5/14 | 25 | |
17018 | Brigham | Alger | 6/8 | 5/14 | 92 | |
17019 | EOG | Parshall | 6/9 | 5/14 | 410 | |
17020 | Hess | Hawkeye | 5/8 | 5/14 | 315 | |
17021 | Tracker | Murphy Creek | 6/8 | 5/14 | 128 | |
17022 | Murex | Sanish | 5/8 | 5/14 | 247 | |
17023 | Whiting | Sanish | 5/8 | 5/14 | 683 | |
17024 | Peak | Mandaree | 5/8 | 5/14 | 155 | |
17025 | PDC | PNC | Madison | |||
17026 | EOG | Parshall | 10/9 | 5/14 | 50 | |
17027 | EOG | PNC | Wildcat | |||
17028 | EOG | Parshall | 10/8 | 5/14 | 499 |
Comments:
1. We are now well into the Bakken boom which is just beginning.
2. Even so, 7 of 30 wells were non-Bakken wells.
3. Several of the Bakken wells have done very, very well (286K, 315K, 410K, 415K, 683K).
4. These wells are about 6 years old (as of 7/14).
5. Note again: almost every early Bakken well is still active; if nothing else, even these poorly performing wells hold the lease by production. I am told the rule of thumb in the Bakken is about $20,000/acre lease. If the company holds the lease, they are saving a ton of money.
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The First 30 Permits -- 2009
17946 | Newfield | Fertile Valley | 9/9 | 5/14 | 34 | |
17947 | Timberline | Dry | Madison | |||
17948 | Encore | PNC | Birdbear | |||
17949 | EOG | Stanley | 7/9 | 5/14 | 51 | |
17950 | EOG | Alger | 7/9 | 5/14 | 111 | |
17951 | EOG | Parshall | 6/10 | 5/14 | 50 | |
17952 | SM Energy | Siverston | 6/9 | 5/14 | 149 | |
17953 | XTO/Encore | Killdeer | 4/10 | 5/14 | 265 | |
17954 | Hess | Manitou | 7/9 | 5/14 | 84 | |
17955 | CLR | PNC | Wildcat | |||
17956 | Hess | Big Butte | 8/9 | 5/14 | 169 | |
17957 | PDC | EXP | Madison | |||
17958 | PDC | EXP | Wildcat | |||
17959 | PDC | Lostwood | 7/10 | 5/14 | 26 | |
17960 | Williston Hunter/Eagle | WI | Madison | |||
17961 | OXY/Anschutz | Simon Butte | 2/10 | 5/14 | 100 | |
17962 | Hess | Ross | 6/9 | 5/14 | 126 | |
17963 | Hess | Manitou | 5/9 | 5/14 | 102 | |
17964 | Whiting | Sanish | 6/9 | 5/14 | 124 | |
17965 | CLR | Mary | 6/10 | 5/14 | 92 | |
17966 | Marathon | Reunion Bay | 6/9 | 5/14 | 121 | |
17967 | Marathon | Dry | Murphy Creek | |||
17968 | Zenergy | PNC | Elidah | |||
17969 | Baytex (formerly Samson) | PNC | Ambrose | |||
17970 | BR | TF | Keene | 4/9 | 5/14 | 146 |
17971 | Marathon | Murphy Creek | 9/9 | 5/14 | 118 | |
17972 | EOG | Parshall | 8/9 | 5/14 | 297 | |
17973 | BR | IA | Camel Butte | 11/9 | 5/14 | 160 |
17974 | BR | TF | Keene | 6/9 | 5/14 | 393 |
17975 | Zenergy | Eagle Nest | 7/9 | 5/14 | 77 |
Comments:
1. Although they have been drilling the Bakken for about two years, there is no dramatic change yet.
2. Even so, 4 of 30 wells were non-Bakken wells.
3. Only a couple of the wells are interesting; it shows the tenacity of the operators to keep spending huge amounts of money to figure out the Bakken.
4. These wells are still about 6 years old (as of 7/14).
5. We now see an occasional Three Forks well; surprisingly there was a dry Bakken well.
6. Note again: almost every early Bakken well is still active; if nothing else, even these poorly performing wells hold the lease by production. I am told the rule of thumb in the Bakken is about $20,000/acre lease. If the company holds the lease, they are saving a ton of money.
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The First 30 Permits -- 2010
18571 | EOG | Clear Water | 8/10 | 4/15 | 82 | |
18572 | Tracker | PNC | Little Knife | |||
18573 | XTO | Midway | 7/10 | 4/15 | 115 | |
18574 | Slawson | Big Bend | 12/10 | 4/15 | 172 | |
18575 | Slawson | Big Bend | 6/11 | 4/15 | 298 | |
18576 | BR/Tracker | Little Knife | 2/11 | 4/15 | 139 | |
18577 | Hunt | Ross | 8/10 | 4/15 | 253 | |
18578 | Eagle | Madison | 7/10 | 4/15 | 32 | |
18579 | SM Energy | Bear Den | 12/10 | 4/15 | 363 | |
18580 | SM Energy | Dimmick | 5/10 | 4/15 | 89 | |
18581 | Newfield | East Fork | 4/11 | 4/15 | 75 | |
18582 | BR | Conf | Corral Creek | |||
18583 | XTO | EXP | Corral Creek | |||
18584 | CLR | Wildcat | 7/10 | 4/15 | 90 | |
18585 | EOG | Ross | 10/10 | 4/15 | 69 | |
18586 | CLR | Dolphin | 7/10 | 4/15 | 134 | |
18587 | BEXP | Briar Creek | 7/10 | 4/15 | 169 | |
18588 | Marathon | Bailey | 6/10 | 5/14 | 111 | |
18589 | Slawson | Big Bend | 5/10 | 5/14 | 407 | |
18590 | Slawson | IA | Big Bend | 8/10 | 5/14 | 236 |
18591 | Marathon | Murphy Creek | 7/10 | 5/14 | 105 | |
18592 | EOG | PNC | Clear Water | |||
18593 | Oasis | Cottonwood | 6/12 | 5/14 | 119 | |
18594 | EOG | Squaw Creek | 9/10 | 5/14 | 128 | |
18595 | Slawson | Van Hook | 7/10 | 5/14 | 318 | |
18596 | EOG | PNC | Clear Water | |||
18597 | EOG | PNC | Clear Water | |||
18598 | CLR | Hamlet | 4/10 | 5/14 | 97 | |
18599 | Anschutz | Crooked Creek | 1/11 | 5/14 | 105 | |
18600 | Cirque | EXP | Dimond |
Comments:
1. Although they have been drilling the Bakken for about three years, there is no dramatic change yet.
2. However, now operators are drilling the Bakken almost exclusively; only one of the first 30 permits in 2010 was for a non-Bakken well.
3. Like 2009, only a couple of the wells are interesting, and then just barely; it shows the tenacity of the operators to keep spending huge amounts of money to figure out the Bakken.
4. These wells are still about 5 years old (as of 7/14).
5. The operators must be watching their permitted locations more closely; several Bakken permits were canceled.
6. Note again: every drilled Bakken well is still active. If nothing else, these performing wells hold the lease by production. I am told the rule of thumb in the Bakken is about $20,000/acre lease. If the company holds the lease, they are saving a ton of money.
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The First 30 Permits -- 2011
20247 | Newfield | PNC | Fertile Valley | |||
20248 | Murex | West Bank | 10/11 | 5/14 | 87 | |
20249 | Murex | Madison | Madison | 8/11 | 5/14 | 7 |
20250 | XTO | West Capa | 3/13 | 5/14 | 127 | |
20251 | CLR/Samson Resources | Kinberly | 12/11 | 5/14 | 67 | |
20252 | HRC/Petro-Hunt | Eagle Nest | 6/12 | 5/14 | 80 | |
20253 | Petro-Hunt | Eagle Nest | 6/12 | 5/14 | 243 | |
20254 | EOG | Parshall | 12/11 | 5/14 | 215 | |
20255 | EOG | Parshall | 4/12 | 5/14 | 221 | |
20256 | CLR | Little Knife | 7/11 | 5/14 | 135 | |
20257 | KOG | Mandaree | 4/14 | 5/14 | 35 | |
20258 | KOG | Mandaree | 4/14 | 5/14 | 39 | |
20259 | KOG | Mandaree | 4/14 | 5/14 | 16 | |
20260 | EOG | Ross | 1/12 | 5/14 | 295 | |
20261 | CLR | Little Knife | 8/11 | 5/14 | 60 | |
20262 | Hunt | Parshall | 7/11 | 5/14 | 131 | |
20263 | Newfield | Fertile Valley | 9/11 | 5/14 | 68 | |
20264 | Newfield | PNC | Bar Butte | |||
20265 | CLR | Jim Creek | 9/11 | 5/14 | 78 | |
20266 | SM | Banks | 3/12 | 5/14 | 82 | |
20267 | Slawson | Van Hook | 9/11 | 5/14 | 279 | |
20268 | Prima | Rennie Lake | 11/11 | 5/14 | 44 | |
20269 | Petro-Hunt | Four Bears | 6/11 | 5/14 | 241 | |
20270 | Petro-Hunt | Pronghorn | 8/11 | 5/14 | 118 | |
20271 | QEP | DWCB | 12/11 | 5/14 | 130 | |
20272 | Hess/Tracker | Truax | 10/11 | 5/14 | 166 | |
20273 | XTO | Heart Butte | 9/12 | 5/14 | 153 | |
20274 | MRO | DWCB | 11/11 | 5/14 | 191 | |
20275 | Oasis | Wildcat | 7/11 | 5/14 | 186 | |
20276 | Enduro/Sequel | Flat Top Butte | 4/12 | 5/14 | 29 |
Comments:
1. Although they have been drilling the Bakken for about four years now, maybe, just maybe we are starting to see a trend: consistently good wells, in the 150K - 200K range after three to four years of production. .
2. Operators are drilling the Bakken almost exclusively; one one of the first 30 permits in 2011 was for a non-Bakken well.
3. Be very careful in looking at the total production; this is the first year in which there is a wide disparity when the wells were completed/tested. Two of the wells were completed just a month ago (4/14).
5. DWCB: Deep Water Creek Bay.
6. Note again: every drilled Bakken well is still active. If nothing else, these performing wells hold the lease by production. I am told the rule of thumb in the Bakken is about $20,000/acre lease. If the company holds the lease, they are saving a ton of money.
Wells with permits issued in 2012 are too new to be added to this group yet.
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