Friday, July 31, 2015

Active Rigs Increase By One After Days Of No Movement; Also, Break-Even Prices In The Bakken; California Reliance On Foreign Oil, Bakken Oil -- July 31, 2015

Active rigs:


7/31/201507/31/201407/31/201307/31/201207/31/2011
Active Rigs74193180208184

So, what's the breakeven price for drilling for crude oil in North Dakota? NDIC has this to say about that with link herehttps://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/BreakevenHistorical.pdf.

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Exhibit A: Why Feds Won't Stop CBR
90% Of California's CBR Comes From The Bakken

Exhibit A is at this EIA link.
Bakken crude oil production from the Midwest (PADD 2, Cushing) is the major source of rail shipments to the West Coast (PADD 5), accounting for nearly 90% of West Coast crude-by-rail receipts in 2014. Relatively small shipments from other domestic regions have also increased. Shipments from the Gulf Coast (PADD 3, Texas-Louisiana) tripled from 2013 to 2014, and Rocky Mountain (PADD 4) shipments quintupled. These increases in crude-by-rail movements occurred only after West Coast crude-by-rail unloading infrastructure was significantly expanded.
And there's more, look at this headline, from June, 9, 2015: Crude by rail provides the West Coast with supply as regional crude oil production falls --
While total U.S. crude oil production increased by nearly 3.2 million barrels per day (b/d) from 2010 to 2014, production in the West Coast region (PADD 5) decreased by 0.1 million b/d, continuing a long-term decline. With no major crude oil pipelines connecting the West Coast to other parts of the country, refineries on the West Coast adjusted to the declining in-region production by increasing imports of foreign crude oil, reaching an average of 1.1 million b/d over the past five years. Shipments of domestic crude by rail (CBR) to the West Coast have also increased, from an average of 23,000 b/d in 2012 to 157,000 b/d in 2014. In the first quarter of 2015, West Coast CBR movements averaged 191,000 b/d.
There's a nice graph of PADD crude oil capacity at this link

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