Wednesday, April 27, 2011

SeekingAlpha: Oil on Track to Hit $200 By End of 2012

Link here.

The author has a long discussion supporting his $200/bbl thesis.

One of his points: policies by governments around the world suggest the trend will continue, and provides three examples:
  • UK recently increased its punitive tax on oil producers to 32% from 20%. This is in addition to the "normal income tax," thereby making it punitive
  • New oil production from Canada and North Dakota is bottled up by refusal of the US government to permit a trans-national pipeline improving oil supply to rest of the US
  • The permitorium in the Gulf continues 
The author failed to add another:
  • The EPA has shut down drilling in Alaska