First things first: US Army Corps of Engineers: status report on DAPL -- https://earthjustice.org/sites/default/files/press/2020/3154-USACE-Status-Report-8.31.20.pdf. From a reader:
If you want to read the current correspondence, skip to page 2310. The first several thousand pages of attachment are Corps' boilerplate manuals.The correspondence is so very indicative of the parties' positions. Hasselman just can't help himself - he has to take a swat at the proposed expansion.
- lots of advertising; NBC desperately needs the revenue;
- lots of video clips of Tiger Woods: about the only think that will keep "fair-weather fans" tuned in
DAPL, DAPL, who needs the DAPL? All for DAPL stand up and holler. ET adds takeaway capacity in the Permian. Link here.
Energy Transfer reported Tuesday that it has completed its Lone Star Express Pipeline expansion project on budget and ahead of schedule.
The new 352-mile (566-kilometer), 24-inch-diameter pipeline adds more than 400,000 barrels per day of natural gas liquids (NGL) capacity to the Lone Star NGL pipeline system, Energy Transfer noted in a written statement. The company added the expansion runs from Winkler County, Texas, to the existing Lone Star Express 30-inch pipeline at the Morgan Junction in Bosque County, Texas, south of Fort Worth.
Now we know. WTI fell yesterday despite a huge decline in inventories. '
That didn't make sense ... until one looked at refining runs. Wow. Refiners dropped well below their operating capacity; again, below 80%. Of course, this was somewhat of a one-off, due to the much-hyped Hurricane Laura. But WTI continues to fall. Approaching the $40-support level.
Ouch. OPEC basket drops again, link here: $45.03.
Saudi Foreign Exchange Reserve: pending.
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Back to the Bakken
Active rigs:
$40.68 | 9/3/2020 | 09/03/2019 | 09/03/2018 | 09/03/2017 | 09/03/2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Active Rigs | 11 | 60 | 63 | 56 | 33 |
One well coming off the confidential list -- Thursday, September 3, 2020:
- 36002, drl/A, Hess, AN-Mogen Trust-153-94-2932H-5, Antelope-Sanish, t--; cum 85K 7/20;
Pool Date Days BBLS Oil Runs BBLS Water MCF Prod MCF Sold Vent/Flare SANISH 7-2020 21 12033 11944 3807 0 0 0 SANISH 6-2020 30 14031 14038 3827 26808 24908 1850 SANISH 5-2020 31 19637 19635 7721 27261 10787 16427 SANISH 4-2020 30 17539 17593 4986 26477 16277 10149 SANISH 3-2020 29 21716 21538 318 34531 21026 13440
RBN Energy: potential recontracting dilemma for gas supply-push pipelines.
The U.S. natural gas pipeline sector is entering a challenging period for recontracting a major chunk of its capacity. The numerous pipeline systems built during the early years of the Shale Era’s midstream boom were anchored by 10-year, firm shipper contracts, mostly with producers, making them so-called “supply-push” pipelines. Many of those initial contract periods have begun to roll off, exposing pipelines to producer-shippers’ renewal decisions based on current fundamentals. Shippers typically expect substantially lower rates for a renewal contract, because much of the pipeline has been paid off through depreciation.
But there’s another issue that is becoming more important: shipper recontracting may not happen for market reasons. For pipeline owners, this is happening at the worst possible time. The market is in turmoil and facing ongoing uncertainty. Gas production is down, demand from LNG export facilities is in flux, and regional supply-demand dynamics are shifting. As if that weren’t enough, new, large-diameter pipelines out of the Permian now nearing completion will reshuffle gas flows around the country. And other transportation corridors that not long ago were bursting at the seams and feverishly expanding to ease constraints are now at risk of being underutilized. Today, we discuss the factors that together may present significant risk for pipelines approaching the proverbial recontracting “cliff.”
If WTI stays above 39.80 then it beats the last low support, it will potentially springboard from here into a 45 to 49 range if the fundamentals keep improving, time will tell of course. Still not seeing a huge activity in drilling yet, thinking that if they miss the start up there will be spike coming, and everyone is preaching cash discipline now so they will drill, but at safer pace.
ReplyDeleteI’ll be surprised if we see sustained $46 by the end of the year.
ReplyDelete