Tuesday, February 21, 2012

CLR, WLL, OAS, NFX Report Later Today? CLR's Most Recent Corporate Presentation

I don't know for sure, but that's what my calendar shows.

CLR's February, 2012, corporate presentation, data points (some numbers rounded):
  • 901,098 net acres; down slightly from 2Q11 data -- 901,370 net acres
  • 22 rigs in North Dakota; down 1 from previously announced 23
  • EUR: 603K boe per well
  • 4Q11: 75,219 boepd production
  • early January: 80,000+ boepd
  • proved reserves: 40% growth yoy; 500 million boe proved reserves
  • three Bakken formations: payzone -- generally the middle Bakken
  • four Nisku (Three Forks) formations; Charlotte 2-22H; 1st successful test of a deeper TF bench; 1,496 boepd in 1-day test
  • 2nd test of this deeper TF bench: Sunline 11-1TF-2SH; 1,023 boepd
  • Huge footnote on slide 9: "CLR estimate of recoverable oil and gas (24 billion boe) includes only Middle Bakken and upper Three Forks. Lower TF benches should be additive."
  • Montana Bakken: 2-rig program
Well cost:
  • Single well: $8 million, 603K EUR
  • ECO-Pad well: $7.2 million, 603K EUR
Rate of return:
  • $50 oil: 15 - 20 percent
  • $70 oil: 25 - 30 percent
  • $90 oil: 40 - 45 percent
ECO-Pad: examples (IP per well average for 4 wells)
  • Dvirnak-Pletan: 1,838 boepd 
  • Bailey-Wiley: 1,105 boepd
  • Hamlet-Salo: 811 boepd
Bakken Development Plan
  • Original dual-zone plan: 8 wells per 1,280-acre unit; 4 middle Bakken; 4 TF; 603K boe EUR per well
  • Additional Three Forks potential: total TF 180 to 270 feet thick
  • Words don't do the graphic justice; if serious about the Bakken or CLR, you need to look at this slide yourself
For newbies, a thickness of 250 feet is huge in the "Bakken"

Total cash cost/boe (slide 18)
  • 2008: $17.20
  • 2009: $15.01
  • 2010: $17.12
  • 2011 (first 9 months): $19.73 (Newfield is right: it's gotten a lot more expensive to drill in the Bakken)
Remember EOG saying $40 oil is robust in the Bakken some years ago?

Swaps and Collars (oil)
  • 4Q11: $80 - $97
  • 2012: $80 - $97
  • 2013: $80/$95 - $92/$110
Swaps (natural gas)
  • 4Q11: $5.40
  • 2012: $5.07