Wednesday, October 13, 2021

Notes From All Over -- The Global Oil Inventory Edition -- October 13, 2021

Jim Cramer's chartist: crude oil has peaked this week. Currently, WTI trading at $79.70, about a dollar lower than yesterday. 

Global crude oil supplies, OECD:

  • down by almost 20 million bbls month/month
  • inventory at 2.88 billion bbls
  • 363 million bbls lower than same time one year ago
  • 183 million bbls lower than latest five-year average

EIA short-term energy outlook, link here:

  • globally, 98.4 million bopd consumed in August, 2021
  • = 4.0 million bopd less than August, 2019 (good comparison, finally)
  • forecast:
    • petroleum / liquid fuels will average 97.4 million bopd for all of 2021;
    • = 5.0 million bopd increase from 2020
    • and, by an additional 3.6 million bopd in 2022 to average 101.0 million bopd, almost even with 2019 levels

China coal, from a Chinese state planner --

  • "We will compel closed coal mines in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia to repair and restart operations as quickly as possible.

Russian gas, from Putin --

  • "We will deliver all the natural gas Europe needs."
  • So far? Lowest since September, 2016.

AAPL: drops below $140-support level. 

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Flathead Lake, Montana