Tuesday, April 1, 2014

Flashback: Government's Prediction For 2013 - 2014 Winter -- Yeah, That One

Link to NOAA (no, not Noah, that's the movie), published November 21, 2013, before winter:
Winter 2013-2014 may be a cold one for some in the Midwest, but relatively mild in other parts of the nation, according to the winter outlook released Thursday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
Did the Farmers' Almanac do any better? The Washington Post said this about the Farmers' Almanac prediction (note, this was back in August, 2013):
The Farmers’ Almanac is generating a tremendous amount of buzz around a “C-O-L-D” winter forecast.  And it’s ratcheting up the hype by forecasting a “Super Storm” for Super Bowl XLVIII at the Meadowlands in New Jersey.  But its forecast is baseless and lacks credibility.
One word for the Washington Post: really?

A Note to the Granddaughters

From Sylvia Nasar's Grand Pursuit, p. 174:
Middle-class, multiethnic, and determinedly monoculturally German, Vienna was the destination of choice for refugees from the rest of the empire -- especially after 1867, when liberals in the cabinet promoted Jewish emancipation along with economic modernization. Many of the recent immigrants became peddlers or small shopkeepers. Their sons mostly went into professions such as law or medicine that didn't require attendance at an elite prep school, or banking, journalism, or the arts where a university degree was not needed. The preponderance of Jews in law, medicine, banking, journalism, and the arts stoked resentment, especially in bad times.

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