Monday, April 17, 2023

Themes -- 2024

Locator: 442024C.

Link here.

The 2024 Presidential Race

Tracked here.

The Over-Riding Themes

Global energy: the 21st century is America's century.

Information: it's all about AI.

De-globalization: transition accelerates

Energy transition is dead: we may or may not realize it for years;

  • China has never bought into energy transition; India? Not sure.
  • the first to fall: Norway -- though "they" won't admit it 
  • "fell" in 2023: Germany; has industrialized their country.

EVs: have lost their luster

  • update on EVs, February, 2024.
  • 2024 was to have been the break-out year for EVs
  • high interest rates and the long UAW strike will push this transition out at least another three years (2027)
  • it's obvious that EVs are luxury cars, and Americans are subsidizing rich folks to buy luxury cars
  • state governments will realize that lost gasoline tax revenue is a huge problem for highway maintenance, much less new highways

NATO expansion:

  • Finland and Sweden will be part of NATO by 2024; probably 2023 [Sweden officially a member on March 1, 2024]. Finland became a member on April 4, 2023. 
    • Finland has a 830-mile border with Russia, which upon accession more than doubled NATO's pre-existing border with Russia.
  • Ukraine: once war is over
Themes Posted in 2023 for 2024.
With updates.
 
Vision Pro.

AI / AV / AR:

  • OpenAI --> ChatGPT

EVs

  • transition continues  
  • "holy grail" -- a universal supercharger: Ford and GM both partner with Tesla for superchargers (June, 2023)

Fourth Industrial Revolution

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