Updates
August 7, 2019: production data update; otherwise no changes; there appears to be no change in the map at the NDIC.
July 25, 2016: these wells were updated this date; note that SI/NC wells have now become TATD. Screenshot as of this date:
November 26, 2015: in addition to the four wells (two 2-well pads) noted in the original post, there are now eight more wells, all short laterals in this section:
- 25319, 1,969, Oasis, Christa 5393 12-9B, ICO, t7/13; cum 138K 6/19; down to 800 bopm;
- 25320, 2,009, Oasis, Kray 5393 12-9T, ICO, t7/13; cum 231K 6/19; nice well; 2,000 bopm;
- 29342, SI/NC-->TATD, Oasis, Helix 5393 41-4 3B, 2/15; 12/16;
- 29343, SI/NC, Oasis, Helix 5393 41-4 4T2, 2/15; 12/16;
- 29344, TATD, Oasis, Helix 5393 41-4 5T, 7/16; 12/16;
- 29345, SI/NC-->TATD, Oasis, Helix 5393 41-4 6T3, 1/15; 12/16;
- 29346, SI/NC-->TATD, Oasis, Helix 5393 41-4 7B, 1/15; 12/16;
- 29347, SI/NC-->TATD, Oasis, Helix 5393 41-4 8T2, 1/15; 12/16;
Original Post
Disclaimer: this post has not been edited or thought about much. It is not ready for "prime time" but regular readers know the routine. I assume there are errors that will need corrections, and, of course, most of it is opinion.
This should get some folks talking, from the February NDIC hearing docket:
- 21849, Oasis, Sanish-Bakken, 21 horizontal wells on a 640-acre unit, 4-153-93, Mountrail,
This section (4-153-93) and the section directly south (9-153-93) are the only two sections still spaced as 640-acre drilling units in this immediate area: "everything else" in the immediate area is 1280-acre unit spacing.
Currently in section 4-153-93 (two two-well pads)
- 24760, 1,654, Oasis, Knox 5393 44-4T, t7/13; cum 141K 6/19; down to 600 bopm;
- 24761, 1,957, Oasis, Gloria 5393 44-4B, t7/13; cum 163K 6/19; down to 800 bopm;
- 21767, 1,246, Oasis, Helix 5393 43-4H, t2/12; cum 200K 6/19; down to around 500 bopm;
- 25025, 1,164, Oasis, Folda 5393 43-4T, t7/13; cum 153K 6/19; down to less than 1,000 bopm;
Some random comments follow:
- Four Bakken formations: middle Bakken, TF1, TF2, TF3 = 6 wells in MB; 5 wells in each of the other three.
- Except that it sounds incredible (21 wells in 640-acre spacing), the density is the same as being tested by CLR and KOG on 1280-acre spacing units.
- Regardless of how many wells one drills in a specific area (aka "well density), the fact is, operators are not going to drill wells if they are not economical. My hunch is that operators in the Bakken won't drill a well if they don't expect a EUR of at least 450,000 bbls.
- EOR is about the only "thing" left to do when one gets to 30-acre spacing (20 wells/640 acres).
- 21 wells x 450,000 bbls x $50 / 640 acres = $740,000 / acre; and that's just primary production. That does not include EOR.
- The jury is still out, but there are operators suggesting that fracking a new well near an existing well improves the production from the existing well. I said that from the beginning. So, we'll see.
- By the time they get to these 17 new wells, the operator will have had several years of experience; by the time they get to these 17 new wells, the operator will have had the opportunity to study "best completion methods" available.
- Think of the cost savings.
- One rig, 17 wells; about 17 months. Full-time employment for a lot of folks for almost two years, and if it works, then do the same thing in the 640-acre drilling unit to the immediate south.
- 17 wells x $8 million = $140 million.
- This section is two miles west of the incredible Whiting Sanish.
This comment is based on your sixth bullet point. The darwin lodgepole well a 640 acre spacing unit will be producing about 2000 barrels a month from its old production of about 300 barrels a month. The Data will be present once the december numbers post. The wells near this well have been fracked and this is flow from these recent fracking jobs. This portion of the Murphy field is well known for its high gas spikes when drilling through the bottom of the lodgepole. It seems there is some communication between the Bakken into the Lodgepole. Just one more data point to show in some cases there is natural communication in the wells. The well is found in 145 96 if you decide to look it. There original spacing report suggest this well would have only produced 80,000 barrels in its life time, I suspect that will change some over time. Perhaps with the newer style fracks the lodgepole may yet become an important part in capturing the most oil possible.
ReplyDeleteIncredible. What a great post. And the December production numbers are out. See this post:
Deletehttp://themilliondollarway.blogspot.com/2014/02/story-of-week-fracking-new-well.html