Saturday, June 6, 2020

ERCOT Texas -- Random Update -- June 6, 2020

We're flirting with 100-degree highs in north Texas this weekend and the forecast is for 100-degree weather through a week from tomorrow.

So, how is ERCOT Texas holding up under all that a/c demand?

Here's the ERCOT Texas forecast, as of May 13, 2020:
ERCOT adjusted its peak load forecast to 75,200 MW to account for economic impacts related to COVID-19. The new forecast is 1,496 MW less than what was reported in the preliminary summer SARA and increases the summer 2020 reserve margin to 12.6%, up from 10.6%.
However, the new forecast is still higher than ERCOT’s all-time peak demand record of 74,820 MW set on Aug. 12, 2019.
The grid operator anticipates there will be sufficient generation to meet the expected demand under normal/expected operating conditions.
Most interesting: despite the lockdown / meltdown-2020 / COVID-19 -- whatever you want to call it -- the new forecast is still higher than ERCOT’s all-time peak demand record of 74,820 MW set on Aug. 12, 2019

Wow! 

Today, from this link:


Long term:


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Comment

It's my impression that Texas is pro-growth and is preparing for increased grid requirements compared to the northeast US which seems, to me, to be anti-growth and not preparing for increased grid requirements.

It will be interesting to look at the grid five years from now across the US. I hardly have a dog in this fight -- I use so little energy -- but it will be interesting to follow.

By the way, ISO New England costs today, link here:



So, how's all that renewable energy working out? Natural gas still accounts for 63%:


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