I haven't looked at it but the Quinnipiac is much more credible than the Economist poll, the previous poll.
Now, we'll look at the new polls.
Quinnipiac, 1/8 - 1/12 (2020), national:
- Biden still in the "20s", but for the front-runner, pretty lousy numbers: 25% nationally;
- Sanders: 19%; pretty much unchanged from where he's been all along
- Warren: 16%; she remains interesting only because she is still in third place, but 16% is pretty much "done"; at a brokered convention, she will release her delegates to support Sanders, with a quid pro quo for her support
- The rest are all irrelevant, but for the record:
- Buttigieg: 8%; for all the press he gets, he hasn't moved a bit in the polls
- Bloomberg: 6% - about where he was in the Harris poll in late December; his comments in the past 48 hours already suggest he is ready to concede that he's not going to get the nomination;
- Klobuchar, a legend in her own mind, 4% and will be stuck in the US Senate when Articles of Impeachment come up;
- Steyer: 1%; which is better than 0%;
- Biden at 24% and should improve when his competition is listening to Articles of Impeachment up in the US Senate starting next week;
- Sanders (18%), Buttigieg (17%) and Pocahontas (15%) all in a statistical tie for second place;
- Klobuchar, a legend in her own mind, at 8%;
- Steyer, 4% -- this speaks volumes about how the Iowa caucuses work;
- Biden (26%) and Sanders (22%) pretty much tied;
- Pocahontas: 18% in her own region; she's not going anywhere;
- Klobuchar, a legend in her own own mind, at 2% tied with Steyer
- Buttigieg? Almost forget: 7%
- Pocahontas (23%) and Sanders (26%) combined, out-poll Biden by 49% to 19%
- again, that suggests to me that Pocahontas will throw her support to Sanders on the second vote
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More Politics
I'm getting a kick out of watching Nancy Pelosi defend her decision to delay the Articles of Impeachment.
Had this been a Republican speaker of the house, the mainstream media would have skewered the Republican. But this being Pelosi and a Democrat, the mainstream media buys into her explanations.
She didn't gain a thing. Worse, with all that happened in the couple of weeks, the Articles of Impeachment seem really, really weak and irrelevant.
But Nancy's correct: Trump will go down in history as an impeached president and no one can ever take that away from him. LOL.
A reader opined, and others have said the same thing, she did this to "help" Biden. At first I agreed, but on further reflection, I don't think Pelosi is that smart. But it will be interesting to watch. Senators Biden, Sanders, and Klobuchar, a legend in her own mind, will hope for a quick acquittal so they can get back to campaigning.
Regardless, world events have certainly altered things. Since this whole thing began a few months ago, Trump has simply gotten stronger:
- the economy remains on a tear; getting better if anything
- the market remains on a tear; all-time records for major indices
- China - US relations seem much better than six months ago
- takes out the world's #1 terrorist
- mainstream media immediately tried to sow seeds of doubt in American public regarding timing, legality
- then: Iran shoots down a commercial airliner; lies about it; and then finally admits it
- all of a sudden, the #1 global terrorist becomes the face of the mullahs, and Trump gets a twofer
Yang media blackout, now Yang blog blackout. ;)
ReplyDeleteFor the record: in the Hill poll released today, Yang is polling 2% nationally. In the most recent Iowa poll, 3%. New Hampshire, 2%. California, 4%; and, Massachusetts, 1%.
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