Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Fool's Errand To Try To Predict Price Of Oil -- March 23, 2021

Link here.

Is this the top story for the week?

Saudi Arabia is in deep doo-doo.

4 comments:

  1. If I have to choose between consumers and producers, it is a no brainer to me. Hope that prices stay low. I like shale because it MODERATES OPEC, not because it benefits from it.

    This makes me different than producers, permalongs, etc. But puts me square in the middle of the anti peak oilers.

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    1. Can't disagree. US Goldilocks economy? US coming out of lockdown; and energy prices will remain lower for longer?

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  2. I was just reading through the 2014 Drilling Deeper report by the most uber serious and data oriented peak oiler. He thought 2014 shale gas production would be peak in 2016 and we'd be at ~30BCF/d from shale in 2020.

    https://www.scribd.com/document/244062986/Drilling-Deeper-A-Reality-Check-on-U-S-Government-Forecasts-for-a-Lasting-Tight-Oil-Shale-Gas-Boom#fullscreen&from_embed (page 21)

    Instead we are now doing 70-75 BCF/d from shale. More than double. And in the face of Corona.

    https://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/weekly/img/202102_monthly_dry_shale.png

    What a fucking idiot. Peak oilers suck butt.

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    Replies
    1. Pretty amazing, isn't it? Someone did not understand free market capitalism. And drill, drill, drill.

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