Tuesday, January 14, 2020

Notes From All Over, Part 1 -- January 14, 2020

A new national poll, The Hill, 1/13 - 1/14, just released today, released just before the last debate (tonight) before the Iowa caucuses.

The national poll, The Hill:
  • Biden, placeholder for Clinton/Kerry: 29% (in last five polls, including this one) Biden has not polled higher than 29%;
  • Bernie: 19%; he has polled as high 23% but 20% is probably the most accurate
  • Pocahontas: 11%; this is the lowest she has polled in the most recent five polls
  • Buttigieg: 4%; for all the buzz on Buttigieg -- 4%? Are you kidding?
  • The others are irrelevant but for the record:
    • Yang: 2%; Bloomberg: 7%; Klobuchar, a legend in her own mind, 3%; Steyer, 3%
As a reminder, the other state polls:
  • Iowa: Pocahontas, polling last among the top four, but in a statistical tie with Sanders and Buttigieg
  • New Hampshire: Buttigieg polling last among the top four at only 7%; in other words, irrelevant in New Hampshire; Pocahontas dead last among the top three
  • South Carolina: Pocahontas, at 10%, polls behind Steyer at 15%; Biden, 36%; Sanders, 14%
    • Steyer is the only candidate that has focused his resources/energy in South Carolina 
    • Bloomberg: 2%
The Debate

In early "voting" over at Drudge, Klobuchar (25%), Sanders (22%), and Steyer (19%) were voted #1, #2, and #3 in the debate.

Dead last, Pocahontas at 7%.

In the middle, Buttigieg (15%) and Biden (14%).

If the DNC is hoping for a Biden miracle, this has to be very, very concerning. 


  1. I hadn’t realized Yang didn’t make this debate cut. He’s the only one I’ve donated to since 2008. $1 just to help him get the donor numbers needed to make that first debate. I really want long-term focused and basic technology knowledge as part of the debate.

    That said I haven’t watched a single debate. Clearly the whole process is a circus. No one can actually learn anything from the format. Imagine if we sat down for hours with each candidate and had a in-depth conversations.

    I’d LOVE to see the current POTUS have to talk for more than three minutes outside a Fox host, twitter, or yelling 20 feet away from Marine One’s motor.

    1. With regard to long-term focused and basic technology, if one really wants that, the best way to make that happen is for the government to get out of the way (cut back on all the regulations). T-Mobile and Sprint merger at risk because states' attorneys general fighting; US government would approve. I would think the telecom industry knows best how to improve things. The AGs are worried that we may go from four to three US telecoms -- thus less competition. Without the merger, Sprint might end up in real trouble and be gone any way.

  2. I agree 100% with regard to the debates -- a circus and completely irrelevant.

    Having said that, we will get to hear POTUS (unless he's removed from office) speak for more three minutes when he debates Sanders in the presidential debates later this year.

  3. If Trump's tweets are to believed, he'll sit the debates out. It would be unprecedented, but it wouldn't surprise me if he thought participating would hurt his numbers.

    There's also a chance Biden will be doing the debating. Can't wait to hear two guys with early stage alzheimer's slurring words, stuttering, and failing to find the words they are thinking of. Ha. The power of name recognition is unreasonably high.

    1. Agree with you 100% about "name recognition." Much could be said.

      I think Trump will be forced to do one debate.

      If nothing else, I have a better understand why the Iowa caucuses favor candidates like Sanders.