Locator: 50051LNG.
Weather: wow, in the background, CNBC this a.m. -- it's still snowing hard in NYC!
LNG: link here.
Locator: 50051LNG.
Weather: wow, in the background, CNBC this a.m. -- it's still snowing hard in NYC!
LNG: link here.
Locator: 48659LNG.
Venture Global is on track to surpass Cheniere Energy to become the biggest U.S. LNG company by liquefaction capacity if regulators approve the CP2 export project.
Venture Global is urging the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) to greenlight its third liquefaction plant, CP2 in Louisiana, by the middle of the year.
The CP2 LNG facility will be located adjacent to Venture Global’s Calcasieu Pass LNG facility in Cameron Parish, Louisiana.
CP2 LNG was initially proposed to be a facility with a capacity of 20 million metric tons per annum (mtpa), but Venture Global has raised the maximum capacity to 28 mtpa.
Venture Global’s two operational LNG export terminals, Calcasieu Pass and Plaquemines, have a combined capacity of 38.5 mtpa. CP2 would add another 28 mtpa and raise the company’s total export capacity to 66.5 mtpa, above Cheniere’s 60 mtpa.
Venture Global more than doubled its first-quarter revenue from a year earlier as its Plaquemines and Calcasieu Pass plants have launched operations and exports in recent months.
Last month, Venture Global started contractual deliveries from its first LNG export project, Calcasieu Pass, to its long-term customers amid an ongoing dispute with major oil and gas firms over the delays to the official commercial operations date at the export project.
Much more at the link.
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LNG Termainals
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North American LNG Project Tracker
Flashback: from November 6, 2023.
Locator: 45962LNG.
I'm blown away by all the natural gas, all the LNG stories, right now.
There's probably a handful of non-Bakken energy companies I really enjoy following. It's a long, long story. Earlier today, I posted a short note on that company, Sempra.
A reader happened to catch that and sent me this note:
With all the news flying about, it can be daunting to try and keep track.
Just to be clear, the proposed LNG plant that you referred to today - Vista Pacifico at Topolobampo - is their second project. The Energia Costa Azul is under construction and should be online in about 24 months.
There is a third Mexican west coast project at Puerto Libertad that should receive FID shortly.All the gas will be US sourced, mainly Permian and possibly Piceance.
The distance from West Texas to these plants is about the same as to the Gulf coast and pipes, storage and berths are already in place as they were originally designed to be import terminals.
Two liquefied natural gas (LNG) export projects planned for Mexico’s Pacific Coast have reached significant milestones in recent days.The map:
The projects comprise Sempra Infrastructure’s Vista Pacífico LNG terminal planned for Topolobampo, Sinaloa, and Mexico Pacific Ltd.’s (MPL) liquefaction project envisioned for Puerto Libertad, Sonora.
Sempra Infrastructure and TotalEnergies SE are expanding their “strategic alliance” in North American energy with two agreements, one involving LNG exports and the other for offshore wind.
In the memoranda of understanding (MOU) announced Thursday, the San Diego-based unit of Sempra and the French major TotalEnergies outlined partnerships that intertwine their interests in gas exports and renewables in Mexico and California.
In one MOU, TotalEnergies is considering contracting about one-third of the capacity from a proposed LNG site in Mexico. Vista Pacífico LNG would be sited near Sempra’s refined products terminal in Topolobampo, Sinaloa. If the project is sanctioned, TotalEnergies could obtain around 1.3 million metric tons/year (mmty) of the terminal’s planned 4 mmty capacity. The energy major could also take a minority equity stake in the project, as it has with other projects.
US LNG export terminals are tracked here.
Sempra Energy: expects FID on new Cameron LNG train in 2023. Link here.
Sempra Energy earnings call transcript.
Lots of Sempra Energy news in 1Q22 earnings report:
Sempra Energy said Thursday -- May 5, 2022, that the venture that owns the Cameron liquefied natural gas plant in Louisiana remains on track to make a final investment decision in 2023 to build a new liquefaction train at the plant, Reuters reports.
Sempra said in its Q1 earnings report that Cameron LNG plans to complete development work on the fourth liquefaction train in the summer 2023, with the company "in a position to make a final investment decision thereafter."
Separately, Sempra said its infrastructure unit entered into a non-binding agreement with TotalEnergies for Sempra's Vista Pacífico LNG project under development in Mexico.
TotalEnergies would contract for roughly one-third of the long-term export production, and it would participate as a minority equity investor in the project.
Sempra also said it expects to close the sale of a 10% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners to a subsidiary of Abu Dhabi Investment Authority for $1.79B in cash during Q2; upon closing, Sempra will own a 70% controlling interest in Sempra Infrastructure.
Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.
Data I'm most interested in today: CDC Covid-19 vaccine data.
Biggest story yesterday: Biden's cash-to-kids program, monthly check starting July 15, 2021, through the end of the year:
Story of the day: Walmart
The market:
ATT:
They're reading the blog:
EVs: "While you were distracted by Elon vs Bitcoin the last few days, Nikola quietly manufactured another 0 vehicles." -- Chadford Whitmore VI. Link here.
Other:
LNG:
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Back to the Bakken
Active rigs:
| $66.58 | 5/18/2021 | 05/18/2020 | 05/18/2019 | 05/18/2018 | 05/18/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active Rigs | 19 | 14 | 66 | 61 | 52 |
Three wells coming off the confidential list -- Tuesday, May 18, 2021:
RBN Energy: the impact of decarbonization efforts on the LNG industry.
On the surface, it may seem that the LNG market has normalized after the past year’s tumult, and it’s true that many of the day-to-day disruptions that plagued LNG offtakers and operators have subsided. Mass cargo cancellations are a distant memory, and U.S. LNG exports have been flowing at record levels. Global demand has recovered, and buyers are back to worrying more about what they normally worry about: storage refill and securing enough supply for the next winter. However, in other ways, the pandemic and the more decisive shift toward decarbonization measures in many ways have fundamentally changed how deals for future LNG development will get done. Today, we look at what the global initiative to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will mean for LNG project financing.
The LNG industry has been impacted by three major events in the last 18 months, all of which have implications for the future of the industry in the short-, medium-, and long-term. Firstly, the initial wave of U.S. LNG projects, centered on the U.S. Gulf Coast, has now reached full production capacity, running at rates equivalent to about 10.5 Bcf/d (80 Mtpa), or approximately 20% of global LNG demand in 2020, with the first of the early second-wave projects due to begin exporting later this year. The second major event was brought on by the pandemic and the resulting demand destruction. U.S. LNG suffered from cargo cancellations as a result of COVID-19, which limited exports from the Lower 48 last year to an annual average of 6.5 Bcf/d (49 Mtpa). So far in 2021, there is no sign that there will be a repeat of last year’s cargo cancellations as LNG prices in global markets have been robust, notwithstanding the boost in supply. However, 2020’s global LNG market was essentially unchanged from 2019, growing by less than 1%, versus original market expectations of 4-5%. As such, the demand curve for LNG has shifted to the right by at least one and, more likely, two years, before the anticipated growth trajectory resumes. During this period, sponsors of renewable energy projects havemaintained much of their momentum, and that growth in renewable energy will serve to reduce the plateau or peak demand for LNG as the world pursues decarbonization strategies — which is the third factor that will impact LNG, and the focus of our discussion today. In particular, the current market environment and push for decarbonization are upending traditional approaches to funding and capacity commitments for new developments.
On the 8th of October, the LNG carrier Golar Penguin loaded a cargo for RWE at the Freeport LNG terminal in Texas. Five days later, on October 13, the vessel was sitting just north of Panama. But then, the ship abruptly changed direction on the 14th and headed towards the Cape of Good Hope to deliver to the Far East. The reason for the diversion was that the vessel did not have a passage booked in the new locks of the Panama Canal and would have had to wait approximately nine days for its turn to transit, before heading across the Pacific Ocean to Asia. Since then, as queues of LNGCs for Panama Canal transits, both northbound (ballast) and southbound (laden) have developed, more ships have opted for the longer route. In today’s blog, we look at the delays that have developed surrounding the Panama Canal and the implications that its operations hold for global LNG trade.
The 2016 expansion of the Panama Canal to accommodate larger vessels with larger beams and greater drafts was a big deal for LNG shippers looking to lower the per-unit costs of delivering to Asia (more on the economics in a bit). But as increasing shipments seek to traverse the canal, wait times have increased and led to a bottleneck that not only affects existing traffic but presents a challenge for future projects hoping to minimize costs in a highly competitive global LNG market. The delays currently being experienced for voyages to Asia via the Panama Canal route were much less of a problem over the summer when shut-ins of U.S. LNG production reduced the waiting time for LNG carriers wishing to pass in either direction. However, all first-wave LNG production facilities, with the exception of Corpus Christi Train 3, are now operational, resulting in nameplate production capacity of over 60 MMtpa from the Lower 48 states, or roughly a sixth of the current world production capacity. In November, the U.S. sent out a record number of cargoes — and that number will likely be surpassed this month. Given the determination of project sponsors aiming to develop a second wave of U.S. Gulf Coast LNG export schemes, what constraints and costs will the Panama Canal impose on these projects, and just as importantly, what advantage might the projects under development on the west coast of North America enjoy over their rivals? We’ll get to answering that shortly, but first some historical background on the Canal usage and scheduling.
Earlier, over at ZeroHedge:
Back on June 24, 2016, the NY Times dissed the Panamanians over their widening of the canal. Link here.
This is one of the reasons I find SRE so exciting. They saw this coming and made the decision to build a huge LNG export terminal on the west coast of California. Baja California, that is. Previously posted.
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SRE: Coasta Azul
Sempra's Baja California LNG export terminal -- biggest LNG story of the year?
Locator: 10010COSTAAZUL.
Updates
April 14, 2024: to come on line in 2025 if "Biden's pause" doesn't affect it.
December 10, 2020: RBN Energy update.
December 9, 2020: Total takes stake.
Later, 9:53 p.m. CT: from a reader --
This particular project is intriguing on so many levels.
The initial Phase 1 will produce a modest ~3 mtpa (million tonnes per annum), but the total project - which includes Phase 2 - will produce almost 15 mtpa when completed.The 'clock' will start with today's FID and it will be instructive to the entire LNG industry at just how quickly this plant will start producing.
They are employing the same modular concept that Calcasieu Pass is using with great effect.
Unlike Calcasieu Pass, this ECA project already has berthing and storage facilities as it has been an LNG import terminal for years.
While pipelines already exist, some midstream outfit embarked upon huge capacity upgrades out of West Texas to the Mexican (Baja) border several months ago. [Comment from blog author: this I find most interesting.]Biggest attribute of ECA is its location, being on the Pacific coast. [Comment: because of its location, I almost consider this an American LNG export terminal. My hunch is that SRE knew it would be close to impossible to get a greenfield LNG export terminal off the coast of US-California. Baja-California works out just fine. LOL.]
Not only will this bypass the need for using the Panama Canal and its fees, the trip to Asia will be very short.This could be about the most profitable LNG project extant IF things play out as expected. [Comment: wow, that is very, very interesting ... I bet every LNG export operator was scrambling to find a west coast terminal and SRE pulled it off. Very, very interesting. Wow, this is fascinating.]
Note how fast SRE announced the contractor -- one day after the permit issued.
November 17, 2020, from SeekingAlpha:
Original Post
Just the other day, November 13, 2020:
SRE: Mexico will give LNG conditional export permit -- AMLO! Link here.
Today: TechnipFMC wins $1-billion-plus contract for Sempra's Mexico LNG plant. Link here.
In its press release, Sempra refers to the Costa Azul (blue coast) project as a "landmark" project.
Note: Costa Azul LNG is a sea port and natural gas processing center, located 15 miles north of Ensenada, Baja California, Mexico. Ensenada is about 50 miles due south of Tijuana along the west coast of Baja.
I'm back. Sorry for the late start. I had to take our car in for annual inspection and because I'm home alone, had to get the bike on the carrier, and then ride the bike home. Reverse the process later today.
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US crude oil imports, link here.
OPEC basket, link here: pretty much levels off at $40.45 despite issues in Norway, US Gulf.
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Back to the Bakken
Active rigs:
| $41.09 | 10/8/2020 | 10/08/2019 | 10/08/2018 | 10/08/2017 | 10/08/2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active Rigs | 13 | 56 | 64 | 59 | 33 |
Three wells coming off confidential list -- Thursdy, October 8, 2020: 11 for the month; 11 for the quarter, 676 for the year
RBN Energy: Covid-19 slowing progress on LNG Canada project. Archived.
When plans for LNG Canada, a big LNG export project on the British Columbia coast, were sanctioned two years ago this month, the move came as a welcome sign that Western Canadian natural gas producers might finally be able to break their long-standing reliance on just one export customer: the U.S. Access to Asian and other overseas gas markets became a high priority, in part because U.S. demand for Canadian gas had been sagging for years as production in the Marcellus/Utica and other U.S. plays came to meet the vast majority of domestic needs. But while construction on LNG Canada has steadily advanced, there are signs that delays could be mounting. Today, we begin a two-part update on this all-important Canadian LNG export project and its accompanying Coastal GasLink pipeline.
From the early days of gas market deregulation in the 1980s, Canada enjoyed an expanding love affair with its southern neighbor in the form of growing natural gas exports. With U.S. domestic gas supplies looking to be heading toward terminal decline in the early 2000s, Western Canada’s abundant supplies and rising gas prices throughout North America appeared to be locking in a vast, profitable, and long-term gas export relationship. Also, a number of LNG import terminals were developed in the U.S. in anticipation of shipped-in gas supplies from overseas.
That all changed with the Shale Revolution, which turned the U.S. into a gas production powerhouse. Steadily expanding U.S. gas supplies over the past decade reduced the need for Canadian gas and sent Canada’s gas exports into a sort of terminal decline of their own. The share of U.S. gas demand met by Canadian supplies collapsed (on a net basis) from 10.5% (~7 Bcf/d) in 2010 to just 5.1% (~4.3 Bcf/d) through the first seven months of 2020, based on data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). At the same time, some of those U.S. LNG import terminals were re-purposed as export terminals deal with the new abundance of U.S. gas supplies.
As a further indication of the future pathways of natgas, LNG, and the amazing confluence of numerous technologies, Cheniere just signed a contract to provide LNG to the Norwegian company, Hoegh, who is placing the just-christened "Galleon" off Port Kembla, Australia.Now, back to the ArgusMedia article:
The Galleon is a floating storage and regasification Unit (FSRU), essentially an LNG ship that has the capacity to regassify the liquid and deliver it ashore.
The Port Kembla import terminal is being built especially cheaply ($170 million) and in a very brief time frame (~16/18 months). The terminal is expected to provide 70% of the gas needs for New South Wales.
The ability to cheaply liquefy (in ever smaller volumes), store, ship, and regassify natgas is upending long standing practices on a global scale.
Combining the ability to now deliver gas quickly to far flung locations around the world, coupled with the latest iterations of built for purpose combined cycle gas plants, countries such as Brazil, Bangladesh, Jamaica, Argentina, Pakistan and several others are quickly embracing this emerging, disruptive paradigm.
World's largest FSRU is departing Turkey and soon will be setting up in Hong Kong.
A Bismarck man whose invention in 1964 revolutionized walleye fishing is being inducted into the North Dakota Fishing Hall of Fame.
The bottom bouncer today is a staple of most anglers’ tackle boxes, for fishing lakes or rivers with weedy or rocky bottoms that can cause a lot of lost tackle and frustration.They have the late Bob Meter to thank. Half a century ago, his own frustration led to the creation of what has become a classic piece of tackle.
Meter was one of the North Dakotans who “put fishing on the map,” said Bill Mitzel, editor and former publisher of Dakota Country Magazine.
Quick followup to this LNG export post ... several projects of special note -
Driftwood incorporating modularization to produce HUGE volumes at VERY low cost
Delfin using new generation of 'Floaters' (FLNG) to reduce time and cost even further.
Main Pass Energy Hub to produce - if it comes to fruition - a revolutionary floater approach using 2 ships to produce an astounding 24 million tonnes per year (mtpa) at a cost of $9 billion.
A project proposed to place up in the woods of northeast Pennsylvania: New Fortress Energy will be the operator. A near-Elba Island capacity of 2.1 mtpa LNG plant for under $900 million and an 18 month build time.
I realize that the numbers, scope and terminology of the natgas world can be confusing, but the handling, processing and transportation of this stuff is rapidly evolving with enormous, global implications.
February 12, 2018: Turkish warships are impeding a rig from reaching a location of Cyprus where Italian energy company Eni is scheduled to drill for gas. -- from Twitter. Update from Reuters. Turkey is wearing out its "welcome" in the EU. Eni says it will produce 2.9 Bcf per day from Zohr field by second half of 2019. Compare that "2.9 Bcf" to the Bakken: from the last Director's Cut,
What was North Dakota's natural gas production in the most recent month, November, 2017? Yup, another all-time high: 2.1 billion cubic feet / day.
Asia’s rapacious thirst for liquefied natural gas is sucking supplies from surprising places.
China to Japan and South Korea are paying top dollar for the super-chilled fuel. The pull is so strong that Norway’s Statoil ASA, which usually exports most of its LNG to Europe, is shipping a rare cargo east. It plans to send more.
Asia gets most of its LNG from Australia, including from the giant Gorgon project on the country’s northwest coast. Malaysia, Papua New Guinea and Indonesia are also big suppliers.
Statoil’s tanker, the Arctic Aurora, due in South Korea this week shows how the LNG market is becoming global, with more cargoes traveling long distances from the Atlantic to the Pacific region as China leads a landmark shift to burning gas instead of coal. For Statoil, it’s a chance to squeeze a little more profit from its overall gas production that’s already near full capacity.
“What we’ve seen in Asia is strong prices,” said Peder Bjorland, Statoil’s head of natural gas. But “it doesn’t help to have strong prices if you don’t have the shipping capacity. It’s been difficult to get hold of spot vessels.”
The producer has in the past sent cargoes to Malaysia, China, India and Japan, but it mainly serves the markets in Europe and the Americas.
The vessel named Gaselys was set to land at a terminal outside Boston on Saturday and changed its course to delay the date of its arrival, according Engie SA, the French utility that owns the cargo.
The ship turned east last night and listed its destination as Algeciras near Gibraltar, and that entry still remains on a ship-tracking database compiled by Bloomberg.
The route seems a bit convoluted. This graphic helps explain it:“The final destination of the cargo did not change,” Damien de Gaulejac, a spokesman for Engie, said by email. “It is still Everett, but the date of delivery has been adjusted, in particular for weather reasons.”
I find this whole thing ridiculous.
Sanctions against our "arch" enemy and we import their natural gas even though we have such a glut of natural gas, we are exporting it.
For all one knows, natural gas being fungible (a commodity), that LNG in the Russian tanker originated in the US.
Putin, the Russians, and the French must all be laughing all the way to the bank.Even if it "technically" did not originate in the US, for all "practical reasons" it did. So instead of a short pipeline from the natural gas fields in the Marcellus, Boston is getting their natural gas via this route:
- Pennsylvania Marcellus natural gas to Dominion Energy Cove Point
- tanker from DE Cove Point to Rotterdam (the Netherlands)
- tanker from Rotterdam (the Netherlands) to Novatek PAO's Yamal facility, Russia's second LNG export terminal
- from Yamal, Russia, back to the US, specifically Everett, MA (Boston)
The rapid development of improving liquification processes for natural gas has huge implications.
Telurian's $15 billion dollar cost to produce 27 million tons per year of LNG at its proposed Driftwood project is astonishingly low. [Lake Charles, Louisiana.]
For context, the massive LNG Gladstone operations off Queensland [Australia] cost about $60 billion for roughly the same capacity.
In addition, the Norwegian company, Golar, is teaming up with an outfit named Delfin to position 4 FLNG ships off Louisiana which will produce LNG much more cheaply yet.
On the other end, converting older ships into regasification facilities - FSRUs - will economically allow receipt of LNG almost anywhere in the world.
These are the reasons behind tentative plans to import US LNG into a Melbourne-based FSRU in a few years.
Coals to Newcastle.
Cheniere boosts LNG tanker fleet amid Asian demand boom -- from Reuters via Rigzone, data points:It appears the world's largest exporter of LNG is no longer the swing producer; the swing producer/exporter for LNG is the US.
- expanded its shipping fleet with a flurry of spot vessel charters to keep up with Asian winter demand growth as spot prices hit three-year highs
- Cheniere's Sabine Pass terminal in Louisiana: 22 cargoes last month
- ramping up its fourth train
- more than half its shipments going to China, Japan, or South Korea
- can you say Panama Canal expansion (which the NY Times famously said the expansion was doomed to failure)
- < but get this: Qatar entirely sold out of flexible winter LNG supply following a frenetic period of deal-making with term buyers in China and South Korea
- Cheniere now has 22 ships on the water
Dominion Energy said work on the Cove Point LNG export facility near Lusby, Maryland is 95 percent complete and on track to start service in the fourth quarter of 2017.
All of the major equipment has been set in place with the focus now turning on commissioning activities, Dominion said in its July report.
All of the five tower cranes used to transfer equipment onsite have been taken down and transported offsite, Dominion said, adding that all the barge loads and heavy haul deliveries have been transported.
Once it is completed, the liquefaction facility being built at its existing LNG terminal will have the capacity to produce 5.25 million metric tons of liquefied natural gas per year.According to this site, it appears that the US will increase LNG exports from almost zero in 2016 to almost 4 trillion cubic feet by 2020 (if I'm reading the graph correctly).
The production capacity has been fully subscribed with Pacific Summit Energy, a U.S. unit of Sumitomo Corporation, as well as with GAIL Global (USA) LNG, a U.S. unit of India’s utility GAIL, under 20-year terminal service agreements.
... there's about $43 billion in projects in the works at the Port of Brownsville, including an LEED-certified steel mill, a pipeline that will cross into Mexico, and three liquefied natural gas plants. The port is also working to win Congressional approval to deepen its ship channel, from 42 feet to 52.At Portland (Texas):
One of the biggest single projects is Cheniere's new 2,000-acre, $13-billion facility here in Portland. Over 4,000 construction workers are erecting a maze of steel beams, shiny stainless pipes and towering cement tanks, as well as two white-concrete export docks on the coast. The ship berths are almost fully dredged. And the company has a contract on adjacent land that could further expand its LNG production capacity.Oilprice expands on all the activity along the US Gulf Coast. It's more of the same, capturing some of the data points made above as well as data points made by RBN Energy over the past year.
| 1/11/2017 | 01/11/2016 | 01/11/2015 | 01/11/2014 | 01/11/2013 | |
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| Active Rigs | 36 | 55 | 167 | 192 | 182 |
Northeast producers are about to get a new path to target LNG export demand at Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass LNG terminal.
Cheniere in late December received federal approval to commission its new Sabine Pass lateral—the 2.1-Bcf/d East Meter Pipeline. Also in late December, Williams indicated in a regulatory filing that it anticipates a February 1, 2017 in-service date for its 1.2-Bcf/d Gulf Trace Expansion Project, which will reverse southern portions of the Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line to send Northeast supply south to the export facility via the East Meter pipe. Today we provide an update on current and upcoming pipelines supplying exports from Sabine Pass.
In the 11 months or so since it loaded and shipped its first export cargo in February 2015, Cheniere’s Sabine Pass liquefaction and export facility in Cameron Parish, LA, has made a noticeable dent on the natural gas market, helping the market to reduce a massive year-on-year surplus in storage over the injection season and also enabling the U.S. to become a net exporter of natural gas for the first time last fall.
To date, the terminal has loaded and shipped off 61 cargoes, and the pace has accelerated in recent months. Twenty-seven cargoes (44% of the total) have been exported since November 1, 2016, five of those in the first six days of 2017 alone.A list of current LNG export terminal projects were provided by RBN Energy back in October, 2016.