Steve Harvey Will Sleep Very, Very Well Tonight -- February 26, 2017

And I'm calling it a night also.

Good luck to all, tomorrow.

Idle Rambling Comparing Two Wells That Were Not All That Great Early On -- Then Their Production Diverged -- February 26, 2017

This is going to be a long note. It is likely to be confusing. It may not be worth the effort. In a long note, there will be factual and typographical errors. If this is important to you, go to the source.

These are two QEP wells very, very close to each other and drilled about the same time. They both had similar births. One died early; one is still alive.

The first QEP well; it may have been killed prematurely; it was never all that good to begin with; its production was about 1,000 bbls of oil/month when it was killed (PA). Monthly production data shortly before it was killed:

Monthly Production Data for well #1:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	10-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2012	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2012	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2012	0	0	214	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2012	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2012	2	58	0	0	35	0	35
BAKKEN	6-2012	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2012	30	1147	1180	187	1343	1343	0
BAKKEN	4-2012	30	1221	1194	180	1215	1215	0
BAKKEN	3-2012	31	1265	1673	167	1363	1363	0
BAKKEN	2-2012	29	1159	929	110	1066	1066	0
BAKKEN	1-2012	31	1290	1456	145	1151	1151	0
BAKKEN	12-2011	31	1290	1208	150	1282	1282	0

Notice: that well was killed in May, 2012.

The second well was drilled/completed/tested at almost the very same time, in early 2008.

This is well #2. This was its production between December, 2011, and May, 2012, to compare with the well above:

BAKKEN	5-2012	31	940	952	257	791	791	0
BAKKEN	4-2012	30	928	1154	227	367	367	0
BAKKEN	3-2012	31	936	695	237	1279	1279	0
BAKKEN	2-2012	29	1001	1177	257	1320	1320	0
BAKKEN	1-2012	29	1210	1196	287	1553	1553	0
BAKKEN	12-2011	31	909	702	160	680	680	0

That well, well #2, was no better, producing about 1,000 bbls of crude oil / month.

But it was allowed to live.

Look at the production since October, 2015, and to the present. Going from around 1,000 bbls of crude oil / month, it jumped to over 8,000 bbls (extrapolated to full 31 days) in October, 2015:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	12-2016	30	1475	1580	1495	3278	2917	96
BAKKEN	11-2016	28	1593	1170	1615	4108	4108	0
BAKKEN	10-2016	23	1227	1137	1358	2859	2749	96
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	2003	2081	1965	6108	6106	2
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	2561	2978	2413	6833	6832	1
BAKKEN	7-2016	14	1001	689	1278	1266	1251	15
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	2596	2703	2150	4183	4158	25
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	3080	3200	2222	3691	3518	64
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	3402	3387	2554	4808	4439	2
BAKKEN	3-2016	9	1248	1133	1141	1299	1231	0
BAKKEN	2-2016	9	716	658	1377	808	659	54
BAKKEN	1-2016	28	4637	4567	5625	5880	5459	112
BAKKEN	12-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2015	19	3383	3435	1607	4412	3924	121
BAKKEN	10-2015	27	7947	8187	3718	10808	10445	311

I do not know why well #1 was killed and why well #2 was allowed to live. That's unimportant now.

The question is whether well #1 could have come back as strong as #2 came back after it, too, looked like it was never going to do all that well.

The wells:

• #1, killed: 16959, 971, QEP, Jones 16-14H, Blue Buttes, t6/08; cum 102K 5/12;
• #2, kept alive: 16960, 768, QEP, Jones 4-23H, Blue Buttes, t4/08; cum 156K 12/16;
• #3, in the graphic but not discussed in this post: 17266, 912, QEP, Jones 4-24H, Spotted horn, t1/09; cum 186K 12/16;

The graphic:

Re-Entry; A Second Lateral; Production Profile Of A QEP Well In The Blue Buttes Oil Field -- February 26, 2017

 Updates

April 27, 2017: update.

Original Post

 

Originally, this was a Three Forks well, lateral #1. Shortly thereafter, it was re-entered, and lateral #2 was drilled, targeting the middle Bakken. There were drilling problems with the second lateral and it was very, very short but the geologists opined in their report that it was still likely to be a great well. Re-entry rig began work September 27, 2007.

• 16652, 434, QEP, Levang 3-22H, Blue Buttes, t6/07; cum 230K 12/16;

The two laterals (the lower lateral was the first lateral drilled):

• Lateral 1: 368,600 lbs Carboprop open hole, test date, 9/5/2007; Three Forks (short lateral)
• Lateral 2: 98,600 lbs Carboprop open hole, test date, 2/27/2008; middle Bakken -- problems with drilling -- notice in graphic show short the middle Bakken lateral is;

No evidence this well was ever re-fracked (see FracFocus).

From a sundry form:  

The lower / lateral #1 (Three Forks) was IP's separately on 9/5/2007 543 bopd 597 mcfd 218 bwpd. The upper / lateral #2  (middle Bakken) was IP'd separately on 11/14/2007 269 bopd 253 mcfd 37 bwpd. The combined rate was IP's on 2/27/2008 434 bopd 312 mcfd 65 bwpd. The lower lateral is obstructed with proppant and precipitated salt and will be cleaned out and returned to production later in 2008.

Production profile for this well:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	12-2016	31	2862	2330	1452	6441	6178	6
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	3324	3231	1712	6046	6045	1
BAKKEN	10-2016	7	825	681	477	1256	1245	11
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	3379	3454	2147	7111	7067	44
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	5296	5505	3288	11996	11756	226
BAKKEN	7-2016	30	6986	6839	3600	11302	9888	1414
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	9036	9036	3768	13200	8321	4865
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	7668	7498	3475	11048	10350	657
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	3359	3183	1035	3363	2367	859
BAKKEN	3-2016	13	2643	2774	2238	1672	1542	26
BAKKEN	2-2016	2	242	215	23	10	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2015	17	126	450	52	38	38	0
BAKKEN	9-2015	5	259	0	66	209	85	110
BAKKEN	8-2015	2	144	453	20	211	206	2
BAKKEN	7-2015	3	394	0	50	302	183	116
BAKKEN	6-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2015	6	236	473	50	879	499	0
BAKKEN	1-2015	28	1538	1162	358	2353	1931	54
BAKKEN	12-2014	20	809	935	185	1790	1387	9
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	1357	1414	268	2526	2060	58
BAKKEN	10-2014	31	1563	1575	352	2740	2268	51
BAKKEN	9-2014	28	1177	1112	278	1700	1327	16
BAKKEN	8-2014	26	1018	1094	153	2021	1236	425
BAKKEN	7-2014	31	1287	1527	265	2969	2548	0
BAKKEN	6-2014	30	1648	1484	258	2782	2376	0
BAKKEN	5-2014	30	1311	1202	367	3154	2753	0
BAKKEN	4-2014	29	1633	1971	328	2889	2534	0
BAKKEN	3-2014	31	1614	1405	355	2537	2136	0
BAKKEN	2-2014	28	2032	2074	543	2889	2524	0
BAKKEN	1-2014	29	2296	2460	513	2930	2542	0
BAKKEN	12-2013	29	2673	2725	610	3862	3477	0
BAKKEN	11-2013	25	1601	1346	450	2049	1726	0
BAKKEN	10-2013	20	1175	1121	203	1801	1529	0
BAKKEN	9-2013	28	1869	2023	380	2820	2440	0
BAKKEN	8-2013	6	1206	1152	227	82	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	2228	2523	553	4906	4486	0
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	3111	2763	820	4469	4469	0
BAKKEN	5-2013	15	1341	1405	560	1562	1562	0
BAKKEN	4-2013	30	2252	2355	523	2303	2303	0
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	1130	852	110	168	168	0
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	1016	1181	67	179	179	0
BAKKEN	1-2013	31	2415	2378	497	2322	2322	0
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	2773	2826	567	2668	2668	0
BAKKEN	11-2012	30	3148	3508	702	3333	3333	0
BAKKEN	10-2012	31	4226	4220	844	3751	3751	0
BAKKEN	9-2012	24	3775	3729	768	4280	4280	0
BAKKEN	8-2012	26	3805	3661	1084	4262	4262	0
BAKKEN	7-2012	31	4972	5106	1339	6075	5465	610
BAKKEN	6-2012	30	6437	6359	1830	7070	6700	370
BAKKEN	5-2012	18	4743	3959	2632	3898	3898	0
BAKKEN	4-2012	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2012	0	0	0	0	47	47	0
BAKKEN	2-2012	5	210	699	210	312	312	0
BAKKEN	1-2012	30	1228	1194	125	1448	1448	0
BAKKEN	12-2011	31	1246	1125	108	1537	1537	0
BAKKEN	11-2011	30	1265	1428	137	1556	1556	0
BAKKEN	10-2011	31	1305	1616	127	1508	1508	0
BAKKEN	9-2011	30	1297	1386	143	1488	1488	0
BAKKEN	8-2011	31	1443	897	172	1812	1812	0
BAKKEN	7-2011	28	1433	1430	220	1752	1752	0
BAKKEN	6-2011	30	1693	1638	133	1816	1816	0
BAKKEN	5-2011	10	935	696	42	599	599	0
BAKKEN	4-2011	1	7	453	0	92	92	0
BAKKEN	3-2011	29	1403	1392	152	1808	1808	0
BAKKEN	2-2011	26	1255	950	1	1515	1515	0
BAKKEN	1-2011	30	1375	1684	168	1808	1808	0
BAKKEN	12-2010	31	1453	1420	203	1931	1931	0
BAKKEN	11-2010	30	1418	1639	163	1877	1877	0
BAKKEN	10-2010	31	1411	1133	189	2004	2004	0
BAKKEN	9-2010	29	1433	1335	200	1925	1925	0
BAKKEN	8-2010	30	1378	1387	170	1746	1746	0
BAKKEN	7-2010	31	1510	1596	201	2247	2247	0
BAKKEN	6-2010	30	1468	1399	223	2207	2207	0
BAKKEN	5-2010	31	1569	1607	147	2368	2368	0
BAKKEN	4-2010	30	1616	1805	220	2384	2384	0
BAKKEN	3-2010	28	1617	1863	289	2233	2233	0
BAKKEN	2-2010	28	1545	1009	186	2210	2210	0
BAKKEN	1-2010	31	1720	2270	295	2561	2561	0
BAKKEN	12-2009	31	1706	1544	151	2340	2340	0
BAKKEN	11-2009	30	1690	1672	119	1894	1894	0
BAKKEN	10-2009	31	1935	2124	138	2116	2116	0
BAKKEN	9-2009	27	1666	1628	177	2344	2344	0
BAKKEN	8-2009	31	1881	2055	118	2728	2728	0
BAKKEN	7-2009	31	2130	1854	133	1916	1916	0
BAKKEN	6-2009	30	1976	1842	151	2119	2119	0
BAKKEN	5-2009	31	2247	2462	155	2432	2432	0
BAKKEN	4-2009	30	2280	1862	124	2121	2121	0
BAKKEN	3-2009	29	2480	3230	332	2605	0	2605
BAKKEN	2-2009	23	1895	1192	128	1990	14	1976
BAKKEN	1-2009	31	2295	2529	228	1368	1368	0
BAKKEN	12-2008	31	3656	3320	230	2529	2529	0
BAKKEN	11-2008	15	1667	1897	234	1682	962	720
BAKKEN	10-2008	31	3225	3216	242	2698	2698	0
BAKKEN	9-2008	30	4272	4424	373	4255	805	3450
BAKKEN	8-2008	11	989	902	1048	995	195	800
BAKKEN	7-2008	25	1419	2099	199	2170	2170	0
BAKKEN	6-2008	30	3531	3423	274	3455	3455	0
BAKKEN	5-2008	31	3956	3386	233	3877	3877	0
BAKKEN	4-2008	30	4226	4235	437	4799	4799	0
BAKKEN	3-2008	31	7650	7782	956	8061	8061	0
BAKKEN	2-2008	4	2497	2158	242	1209	1209	0
BAKKEN	1-2008	1	43	0	42	29	29	0
BAKKEN	12-2007	4	696	787	156	765	664	101
BAKKEN	11-2007	29	4912	4613	2279	5403	4155	1248
BAKKEN	10-2007	2	367	208	219	337	337	0
BAKKEN	9-2007	20	6839	6811	2783	8207	0	8

In the other graphic below, the other well of interest is:

• 20591, 2,656, QEP, Jones 4-15/22H, Blue Buttes, t4/12; cum 553K 12/16; API: 33-053-03529; no evidence this well was re-fracked. 

Monthly Production data:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	12-2016	29	3211	3269	3025	2211	2149	62
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	4605	4622	3122	6644	6643	1
BAKKEN	10-2016	31	5818	5760	3888	9463	9337	126
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	3718	3686	3208	3906	3726	180
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	2900	2988	3595	3036	2336	700
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	6188	6310	4636	8954	8081	872
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	15998	15949	8892	28154	26007	2147
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	10746	10514	8935	17393	16802	591
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	195	291	5295	132	128	4
BAKKEN	3-2016	13	4522	4503	4732	5451	5179	272
BAKKEN	2-2016	4	2282	2341	1877	2915	2792	120
BAKKEN	1-2016	26	18810	19033	11476	26390	26127	263
BAKKEN	12-2015	7	5103	4894	5305	6206	5817	389
BAKKEN	11-2015	30	23383	23425	16743	31862	29617	2245
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	28867	28682	29793	32838	18967	13760
BAKKEN	9-2015	4	485	475	101	1039	601	432
BAKKEN	8-2015	5	254	254	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	5755	5942	657	8046	0	7898
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	5551	5324	637	7741	0	7578
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	5914	5987	663	8214	0	8026
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	5814	5678	697	7969	0	7665
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	6222	6205	722	8516	0	8108
BAKKEN	2-2015	28	5689	5652	823	7986	0	7606
BAKKEN	1-2015	26	5429	5464	830	7030	1061	5602
BAKKEN	12-2014	30	5545	6082	578	7711	6409	894
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	5767	5299	774	7943	6534	1001
BAKKEN	10-2014	31	7186	7526	918	9523	8210	892
BAKKEN	9-2014	17	4435	4035	478	5028	4426	372
BAKKEN	8-2014	25	4556	4599	533	6496	6156	0
BAKKEN	7-2014	31	6178	6385	818	9726	9305	0
BAKKEN	6-2014	30	5965	5771	855	8998	8598	0
BAKKEN	5-2014	31	6985	6979	962	9919	9498	0
BAKKEN	4-2014	29	6675	6691	1053	2003	1618	0
BAKKEN	3-2014	31	8381	8288	1225	9588	9184	0
BAKKEN	2-2014	28	10048	10041	1427	11402	11024	0
BAKKEN	1-2014	12	2570	2794	338	2894	2737	0
BAKKEN	12-2013	29	6265	6008	515	7222	6887	0
BAKKEN	11-2013	30	7221	7664	845	8178	7782	0
BAKKEN	10-2013	31	8525	8202	1047	9083	8670	0
BAKKEN	9-2013	28	6156	7091	475	6477	6122	0
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	9843	9168	1340	404	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	10026	9881	1588	20018	19597	0
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	10575	10720	1155	12343	12343	0
BAKKEN	5-2013	20	6970	6885	717	6690	6690	0
BAKKEN	4-2013	30	8934	8853	894	8355	8355	0
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	11037	11136	1372	13860	13860	0
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	11018	10928	1492	12690	12690	0
BAKKEN	1-2013	31	13376	13654	1749	10626	10626	0
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	15165	14904	1999	16056	16056	0
BAKKEN	11-2012	30	15520	15153	1799	15490	15490	0
BAKKEN	10-2012	31	13560	13415	1352	7174	7174	0
BAKKEN	9-2012	30	14358	14535	1559	9633	7123	2510
BAKKEN	8-2012	31	17559	17422	1920	19078	18008	1070
BAKKEN	7-2012	24	15536	15670	2054	16970	14580	2390
BAKKEN	6-2012	29	23111	23281	2324	26042	22992	3050
BAKKEN	5-2012	31	29124	29017	4832	35789	35350	439
BAKKEN	4-2012	29	44151	44701	12655	53485	38987	14498
BAKKEN	3-2012	2	3511	2511	3241	3757	2249	1

The graphic: