Sunday, January 13, 2019

Winter Storm GIA -- January 13, 2019; Meanwhile In Austria: Ten Feet Of Snow In 48 Hours; More On The Way

Updates

February 1 2019: the cover and the table of contents for the January 26 - February 1, 2019, issue of The Economist. It is my thesis that The Economist suffers from Trump Derangement Syndrome. I made the comment some time ago that if one had not business magazine other than The Economist one would think there is nothing else going on in the world other than the Trump presidency. I don't even recall many articles on "Brexit." This issue continues to prove the point. I did not find the word "Brexit" on the cover or in the table of contents, but certainly a lot related to Trump:





January 21, 2019: the cover and the table of contents for the January 5 - January 11, 2019, issue of The Economist.This was about the time Brexit and Theresa May were coming a head, first with the parliament voting against May's Brexit bill and thus triggering a "no-confidence" vote. May survived that vote. This issue of The Economist does not mention the word "Brexit" on the cover or in the table of contents, save for a lone letter to the editor. My impression of The Economist remains unchanged from the original post.



Original Post

I see ISO New England spiked to $115/MW earlier this evening.

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Sunday Night Reading

Readers may want to scan the headlines over at zerohedge before the week begins and we start getting inundated with fake news from US media outlets, and anti-American op-eds from The Economist. I don't subscribe to The Economist (a British weekly) but I generally scan a copy every week. If that's all one had to read, one would get the feeling that the only country with any economic challenges is the US. I don't recall much being written about Brexit.

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Austria Ski Slopes -- Too Much Snow

We were stationed overseas for thirteen consecutive years -- my wife says it was fourteen consecutive years. Most of those years were in continental Europe or in England. Every winter we went skiing in the Alps, either in Germany or in Switzerland.

Austria was particularly remarkable.

Now this, in today's news, from iceagenow:


Great memories. If I had all the money in the world, I would have a house in the Boston, MA, area and a house in Yorkshire, England. We would go skiing every winter in Austria. Or maybe we would just enjoy glühwein in front of the fireplaces inside the chalets, watching the younger skiers.

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Movin' On Out

From zerohedge:


Native North Dakotans are all moving to Phoenix.

Look at the "gainers": Nevada; Idaho (maybe more on this later); Arizona; South Carolina; Colorado; Delaware (interesting); North Carolina; Oregon; and, Florida. Montana is up there, also. What the table does not show is that the folks that move are the folks that can afford to move. Note where NY and California fall on the curve.

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Amazon Echo Dot

I'm having a blast with Alexa. And, yes, we now "subscribe" to Amazon Music Unlimited. My wife does not know that yet, that I am listening to AMU for thirty days free to see what it is like, but she keeps coming in to tell me how wonderful Amazon Music / Echo Dot is. Something tells me I will continue to subscribe after the introductory free period.

Yes, it's worth it.

I Don't Remember Loving You, John Conlee

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 And So It Goes

A couple of years ago when visiting Grand Canyon National Park, our daughters came across these old "ATT shells." I do not recall if they knew what they were -- or if I explained the shells to them. Can't recall.

But for the archives. Olivia,  using the old landline to talk to her older sister using her wireless phone.

Pocahontas Grabbing (A) Fire-Water -- Worst Stereotype In Memory -- January 13, 2019

The White House must be reading the blog. About a week ago, I posted this:

January 8, 2019, T+63, day 18: a reader suggested that Pocahontas swigging beer on social media is as bad a stereotype of the native American as one could imagine.

Now, from twitter this evening:

At YouTube:

Pocahontas grabbing (a) fire-water.

Well, This Game Is Over -- Except For Patriot Fans, No One Will Be Watching The Second Half -- January 13, 2019

ISO New England doing just fine. The "big storm" must have missed New England.

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The Literary Page

The Great Gatsby trivia never ends. Ms Corrigan has enough to last a lifetime in So We Read On: How The Great Gatsby Came To Be and Why It Endures, Maureen Corrigan, c. 2014.

One aspect of The Great Gatsby: the tangible fixation with cars.

Notably, and I had not seen this elsewhere, Jordan Baker, the golfer and close friend of the Buchanans, has the namesake of the Jordan sports car and the electric Baker. Great cocktail chatter.

Random Update Of The Enerplus Softshell Well -- January 13, 2019

This post will not be updated.

This well has been featured many, many times on the blog.
This well has been producing since 2015. It has plateaued to 5,000 bbls/month. It will produce for 35 years, maybe a hundred. Some North Dakota Madison wells with much less production are celebrating their 65th birthday this year. Just saying. Recent production for this well:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
SANISH11-201829580954408571452396863773
SANISH10-2018315683569388014208103262850
SANISH9-2018305557538694513894107442252
SANISH8-2018294883543980823436950612901
SANISH7-2018315722518274427467950616932
SANISH6-2018294924494488123634908213725
SANISH5-2018304958512591223797773816004
SANISH4-2018295324561375725555555319231
SANISH3-2018183629326658817421578111310
SANISH2-201811229422074451100938406996
SANISH1-2018150024024
SANISH12-20174815944159391125871281
SANISH11-20173073187836150635127255358517
SANISH10-20173174566792160635790273927369

Initial production:
SANISH1-2016292796627813258452456489770
SANISH12-2015313467335029335054331503020
SANISH11-2015294093240697373557306504062190
SANISH10-2015181049910173221728860265460
SANISH9-20151110101
SANISH8-20157834882551132116879828883
SANISH7-20151140473113693510
SANISH6-2015212669326920228040716376410
SANISH5-2015304036840663357863584589310
SANISH4-2015293856538050357659025545710
SANISH3-2015314007740245352158946542940
SANISH2-2015263257132469311444834410650
SANISH1-20152643490436184485587123528617978
SANISH12-20142435468360364302478812200222092
SANISH11-20142438036367892036045643045643

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This Is What The Bakken Is All About -- January 13, 2019

FracFocus does not have re-frack data for this well:
Recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN11-20183011868118501177224056173106136
BAKKEN10-201831127211266513299188071843182
BAKKEN9-2018301417014228179832119320451424
BAKKEN8-201818935492251549512965115711215
BAKKEN7-20180000000
BAKKEN6-201800140000
BAKKEN5-2018159669871043201219042
BAKKEN4-2018302605261326246308605216
BAKKEN3-201831271427493805693966838

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The Joy of Childhood


Wow, Sophia and I have fun together. Everyday is a great day. No matter how many times we visit this little creek, Sophia never gets tired of watching the frogs, the turtles, the very, very small fish.

Ah, Yes -- Just Another Holy Day In DC -- January 13, 2019

Almost a million government employees and untold thousands of government contractors not being paid because Shelosi won't even negotiate. Trump has offered numerous concessions, including a path to citizenship for "Dreamers" and still Shelosi won't negotiate.

It is unlikely that those million government employees missed the headline story that the largest group ever of Democratic congressmen and women flew to Puerto Rico over the weekend for the winter vacation, leaving just in time to escape one of the biggest winter storms to hit the US in recent years, Winter Storm Gia.

Bruin Will Report Three More Huge Wells In The Bakken This Next Week -- January 13, 2019

The wells:
  • 32431, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-13H, Antelope-Sanish, a huge well, a 77K-month;

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
11-20181705015518
10-20183686338213
9-20182164525775
8-20187681777901
7-2018228464417

  • 31777, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-11H, Antelope-Sanish; a huge well, 60K-month;

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
11-20182705728756
10-20183604835588
9-20181170612122
8-20186198843584
7-2018224912576

  • 31775, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-15H, Antelope-Sanish, a huge well, 60K-month; 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
11-20184442243193
10-20184010540721
9-201822401603
8-20186337039587
7-20185205609

Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- January 13, 2019

Monday, January 21, 2019
34885, conf, XTO, FBIR Ironwoman 21X-10B, Heart Butte, no production data,
34876, conf, Newfield, Berg Federal 149-97-30-31-7H, Haystack Butte, a nice well; #22581, #22582, #22583;
33779, conf, Oasis, Crane Federal 5300 14-27 3B, Willow Creek, a nice well; the Crane Federal wells are tracked here;

Sunday, January 20, 2019
32926, conf, BR, Chuckwagon 31-15TFH, Sand Creek, no production data; #20528; 
23940, conf, XTO, FBIR Ironwoman 21X-10F,  Heart Butte, no production data yet -- look how old this permit is;

Saturday, January 19, 2019
34493, conf, Nine Point Energy, Hovde 150-100-6-7-2H, Spring Creek, a nice well; #26725;
33971, conf, Enerplus, Zinc 147-93-09D-04H, Moccasin Creek, a huge well, a 50K-month; ERF's "heavy metal" wells are followed here; #18627;
23937, conf, XTO, FBIR Yellowwolf 21X-10F, Heart Butte, no production data -- look how old this permit is;

Friday, January 18, 2019
34196, conf, CLR, Radermecher 14-22H2; Camel Butte, a nice well; see the Radermecher wells here.
34010, conf, CLR, Radermecher 10-22HSL1, Camel Butte, a nice well; see the Radermecher wells here.
33778, conf, Oasis, Crane Federal 5300 14-27 2TX, Willow Creek, a nice well; the Crane Federal wells are tracked here;
33468, conf, CLR, Ransom 2-30H, Elidah, producing, Omlid-Ransom wells are tracked here;

Thursday, January 17, 2019
34958, conf, Slawson, Submariner Federal 4-23-20H, Big Bend, no production data, #19368;
33781, conf, Oasis, Crane Federal 5300 14-27 5B, Willow Creek; a nice well; the Crane Federal wells are tracked here;
33728, conf, CLR, Norway 2-5H2, Fancy Buttes, producing, Fancy Buttes is a two-section oil field squeezed in between Dimmick Lake to the west and Johnson Corner to the east;
33727, conf, CLR, Norway 3-5H, Fancy Buttes, producing,

Wednesday, January 16, 2019
34652, conf, WPX, Lawrence Bull 1-12HZ, South Fork, no production data,
34492, conf, Nine Point Energy, Hovde 150-100-6-7-3H, Spring Creek, a nice well;
34491, conf, Nine Point Energy, Hovde 150-100-6-7-4H, Spring Creek, a nice well;
34490, conf, Nine Point Energy, Hovde 150-100-6-7-13H, Rawson, a nice well;
33644, conf, CLR, Omlid 6-19H, Elidah, producing, Omlid-Ransom wells are tracked here;
32844, conf, BR, Remington-Lovaas 4C UTFH-ULW, Blue Buttes, producing, albeit not much reported yet; BR's Remington wells are tracked here;
32431, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-13H, Antelope-Sanish, a huge well, a 77K-month;
31777, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-11H, Antelope-Sanish; a huge well, 60K-month;

Tuesday, January 15, 2019
35069, conf, Resonance Exploration, Resonance Issendorf 16-10H, Russell, producing,
34651, conf, WPX, Lawrence Bull 1-12HD, South Fork, no production data,

Monday, January 14,2018:
34650, conf, WPX, Lawrence Bull 1-12HC, South Fork, no production data,
34649, conf, WPX, Lawrence Bull 1-12HY, South Fork, no production data, #18922;

Sunday, January 13, 2018:
31775, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-15H, Antelope-Sanish, a huge well, 60K-month; 150K in less than five months;

Saturday, January 12, 2018:
34195, conf, CLR, Radermecher 13-22H, Camel Butte, a huge well, 50K-month; see the Radermecher wells here.
33725, conf, CLR, Norway 5-5H, Fancy Buttes, producing; albeit not much;
33646, conf,  CLR, Comlid 8-19H, Eliday, previously conf; conf again; producing, albeit not much; Omlid-Ransom wells are tracked here;
31778, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-10H, Antelope, a nice well;
Monday, January 21, 2019
34876, conf, Newfield, Berg Federal 149-97-
33779, conf, Oasis, Crane Federal 5300 14-27 3B,


Sunday, January 20, 2019


Saturday, January 19, 2019


Friday, January 18, 2019


Thursday, January 17, 2019


Wednesday, January 16, 2019


Tuesday, January 15, 2019


Monday, January 14,2018:
34650, conf, WPX, Lawrence Bull 1-12HC, South Fork, no production data,
34649, conf, WPX, Lawrence Bull 1-12HY, South Fork, no production data,

Sunday, January 13, 2018:
31775, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-15H, Antelope, huge well;

Saturday, January 12, 2018:
34195, conf, CLR, Radermecher 13-22H, Camel Butte, a huge well; see the Radermecher wells here.
33725, conf, CLR, Norway 5-5H, Fancy Buttes, producing;
31778, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26B-35-10H, Antelope, a nice well;