Friday, March 28, 2025

Measles -- Covid-19 -- And A Whole Bunch Of Other Stuff -- March 28, 2025

Locator: 48388ARCHIVES.

Measles and Mutations

Conspiracy theorists need to spend some time on this story: link here.

By the way, that's what they said about the SARS-2 virus at first. I remember that because I posted that on the blog back in 2020 - 2021. 

And, oh, by the way, under the new Secretary - HHS it's pretty much agreed that we won't be doing any more basic vaccine research again any time soon. Maybe on cod liver oil, Vitamin A, and injectable Lysol, but not basic vaccine research.

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Jeff Goldberg

And also spend some time on this story: the "origin" story of how Atlantic's Jeff Goldberg's telephone number was on speed-dial for Waltz's group-chat group. LOL. I find it simply amazing we haven't hear this story -- how it got there in the first place -- yet. The fact that we haven't heard that "origin" story suggests journalists are not capable of connecting dots like Bernstein and Woodward did.

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The Book Page

One of the best books I've read recently: 

1177 BC The Year Civilization Collapsed, Eric H. Cline, c. 2021. Updated.

Notes will be posted here.

The first thing I noted: "BC" and not "BCE." Interesting. 

Lots of place names in the eastern Mediterranean. An important book.

Hatshepsut: p. 24 and following.  

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Fast Food Pag
e

For the past week I've been doing an informal and very unscientific survey of fast food restaurants in our local area -- I can bike to all of these places in less then three minutes. McDonald's is the most difficult for me to get to, having to cross an interstate-like four-line divided highway.

Whataburger: I no longer care for hamburgers at Whataburger. I won't go back. Incredibly good service, but Chick-fil-A’s service is slightly better.

McDonald's: remains my #1 choice for hamburgers, a small order of French fries, and a diet coke. A simple hamburger, small fries, and diet Coke costs $5.62 with tax. Service, at best, is very good but both Whataburger and Chick-fil-A have better customer service.

Chick-fil-A: a full meal -- the sandwich plus waffle fries plus drink would be way too much for me, so I simply get the sandwich and the diet drink. No waffle fries. The entree is priced at $5.09 according to the menu board at Chick-fil-A. This was my receipt tonight:

  • So, the entree -- the #1 sandwich sells for $5.09. Tax at 8% would bring it to $5.50 which is very, very close to $5.51.
  • So, does that mean the small drink was free and all I paid for was the sandwich? If so, that's a better deal than McDonald's. I'll have to check it out again tomorrow. 

French fries: I didn't check the waffle fries at Chick-fil-A tonight but over the years I've had Chick-fil-A's waffle fries many times. So I remember them. Without question, McDonald's French fries are still the best. No argument there.

Traffic: I've generally been eating at 7:30 p.m. or thereabouts. Observations:

  • McDonald's: inside restaurant, absolutely empty every night at that time. Drive-through is steady but by no means a long line.
  • Whataburger: drive through fairly empty. Inside restaurant, fairly empty.
  • Chick-fil-A: almost no tables available; almost every table taken. 
    • Many Spanish-speaking Latinos. Lots of families -- two parents and two or three kids, not uncommon. Only of the three that has to have an employee outside taking orders to move the line along. Clearly the busiest restaurant of the three. Chick-fil-A, at 7:30 p.m. is busy, cheerful, and reminds me of the good ol' days (pre-Covid). McDonald's and Whataburger are "dead" by comparison. 

Employees:

  • it appears McDonald's has cornered the market on non-English speaking employees, many of them middle-aged women;
  • Chick-fil-A: 1950's high-school boys and girls (young men and women); only two genders, it appears; off the Hollywood set of Back to the Future or American Graffiti.
  • Whataburger: English-speaking but a more socially / culturally diverse employee pool .

Bottom line: if all three restaurants next to each other:

  • first choice, nine times out of ten: McDonald's
  • second choice: Chick-fil-A -- comes in second place simply because of McDonald’s French fries, and perhaps I enjoy a smaller burger than a huge chicken sandwich these days. But I think it's the French fries vs waffle fries: McDonald’s wins.
  • not even in third place; never go back again (as a rule, some exceptions, I suppose): Whataburger.

Now that summer has returned, I assume I will be at McDonald's or Chick-fil-A three or four times a week, mostly for dinner, not lunch.

Oh, that reminds me -- wifi:

  • Whataburger: no wi-fi; if I blog, I use my phone as a hot spot
  • McDonald's: dependable;
    Chick-fil-A
    : dependable and really, really fast

In the old days, wi-fi was important, but no longer now that iPhones are incredibly good hotspots.

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Blu-Ray DVDs

Perfect combination:

  • Phillips big-screen smart television
  • Hulu - Amazon Prime - YouTube Video
  • Amazon Fire Stick
  • Sony Blu-Ray player
    • BDP-BX370 Streaming Blu-ray DVD Player with built-in Wi-Fi, Dolby Digital TrueHD/DTS
    • list price: $89.99
    • currently: $79.99, same day free delivery

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Best Market Ever

Best market ever, for 18-year-olds; 26-year-olds; everyone with a 30-year horizon, and maybe Cathie Wood.

I continue to scoop up tech shares, dividend-focused ETFs, and large-cap, tech-focused ETFs. Some great opportunities in fossil fuel but I'm fully-weighted in energy so no new shares there. 

No trading, all investing. 

I've collected a very few gold coins over the years for the grandchildren, certainly not an investment but I see gold is trading at an all-time high. 

On the other hand, I continue to acquire US silver dollars and a few silver dollars from Canada, Australia, and China. Silver? Except for the craziness in silver from 2010 to 2013, silver, historically, right now is doing quite nicely. But, again, I'm not buying silver as an investment; simply coins for the grandchildren as a "novelty."

As of March 28, 2025, at 5:00 PM, spot gold is trading at approximately $3,086.00 per ounce, while spot silver is at around $34.62 per ounce.

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Pete Hegseth

Unless some story of enough magnitude to push Hegseth off the front page of the newspaper occurs, Hegseth will step down to spend more time with his family within the next two weeks. This could happen as early as next week.

About the only two stories with enough magnitude to push Hegseth off the front page:

  • something "bad" happens in Iran; or,
  • something "really good" happens in Ukraine.

But if there's no big story, Hegseth remains the story. And that's not a good story for Trump.

Musk -- AI - X -- BlueSky And All That Jazz -- March 28, 2025

Locator: 48387ARCHIVES.

Good, bad, or indifferent: President Trump will go down as the most transformational president. Right now, late Friday news:

  • Columbia University president finally gives up the fight against Trump; steps down;
  • the top vaccine official at the FDA has tendered his resignation;
  • the real president? Trump? Stay tuned; JD Vance? Nope. Elon Musk? Nope.
    • more and more it looks like the real president of the US right now is a federal judge
    • setting immigration policy
    • setting deportation policy
    • setting domestic spending policy
    • setting international aid policy
  • measles epidemic in Texas; when there was one measles-related death, it was headline news; when a possible second measles-related death was being investigated, it, too was headline news. Tonight on local Texas news station, I thought I heard there were now six measles-related deaths --- fact-checking: NBC still says only one death
    • number of cases in Texas has now surged: at least 400
    • it now looks like the epidemic is about, if it hasn't already, to go international: Africa will be devastated.
    • all cases, except two, have in unvaccinated folks
    • there is zero-chance that the measles virus will mutate to evade the efficacy of the vaccine
    • but if you won't vaccinate your children against measles, at least the SecretaryHHS will see that you get plenty of cod liver oil and Vitamin A
    • although US health officials will tell us that upwards of 92.7% of kindergarten children have been fully vaccinated (two doses) but those most vulnerable -- those unvaccinated -- are now likely to be less than kindergarten age
    • unlike Covid, measles is entirely preventable: it will be interesting to see if a viral infection impacts President Trump's second term just as another viral infection impacted his first term

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Sixth Industrial Revolution
Elon Musk Right In The Middle

Link here.

The combination values xAI at $80 billion and X at $33 billion, Musk said in a social-media post announcing the acquisition.  

This seems reasonable considering it's well-known that Musk was "tricked" into paying $44 billion for twitter. Wiki will be updated its entry on x, no doubt.

BlueSky has proven to be a "bust" for me; x is getting better and better. 

BlueSky is pretty much all political; x covers the landscape. It's particularly strong in finance, business, investing, sports, and one can pretty much minimize any political coverage with no difficulty. 

Just out of curiosity, right now when I clicked on BlueSky, the first hit was AOC "we will not be distracted" rant with smiling white folks surrounding her and in her audience -- and then there's Bernie Sanders standing wiht her -- oh, that's it. It's a political ad for AOC's campaign. I'll be curious if I see it on x.

I was only able to find an entry regarding Musk / x / AI by specifically searching for the story.

California Fires -- Pacific Palisades -- "Re-Building Process" -- March 28, 2025

Locator: 48386B.

Pacific Palisades fires: it's being reported that only four -- repeat, four -- permits have been issued by Los Angeles after the first destroyed more than 7,000 homes. This is perhaps as good a story as any on the status of the "re-buid": link here.

It appears the permits that were issued were limited in scope. Unless I missed it, the source for this story did not provide the denominator: how many permit requests have been made, and how many have been rejected, with the remainder supposedly under review.
It appears the county is more interested in waiting the results of a consultant's report regarding the fires.
My hunch is the city is requiring "McMansions" and larger structures to be re-built on the lots and not any "starter" homes.
It might behoove homeowners to "build" group-chat / website to where permits could be posted, along with updates of the permitting process. My hunch: the first100 such permits posted will tell us exactly what's going on. The White House and FEMA, HUD, and other federal and state government agencies need to be part of that website.

Five New Permits; Seven Permits Renewed; One DUC Reported As Completed -- March 28, 2025

Locator: 48386B.

Palisades fires: it's being reported that only four -- repeat, four -- permits have been issued by Los Angeles after the first destroyed more than 7,000 homes. 

It appears the permits that were issued were limited in scope. Unless I missed it, the source for this story did not provide the denominator: how many permit requests have been made, and how many have been rejected, with the remainder supposedly under review. It appears the county is more interested in waiting the results of a consultant's report regarding the fires. 

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $69.36.

Active rigs: 33.

Five new permits, #41750 - #41754, inclusive:

  • Operator: KODA Resources.
  • Fields: Fertile Valley (Divide County); Daneville (Divide County)
  • KODA Resources has permits for four Stout wells and one Bock well. 
    • The Stout wells, SESW 13-160-102, will be sited 460 FWL and 2566/2624 FWL; and 
    • a Bock well, lot 2 - section 40161-102; to be sited 509 FNL and 1992 FEL.

Seven permits renewed:

  • MRO (6): the following wells: Ratcliffe USA, Rothgarn USA, Banta USA, Oukrup USA, Restad USA, and Strobeck USA, all in Last Bridge, all in Dunn County.

One producing well (a DUC) was reported as complete completed:

  • 40641, 1,021, CLR, Vandeberg 7-35HSL, Williams County.

TGIF -- Friday, March 28, 2025

Locator: 48385B.

WTI: $69.70.

New wells:

  • Sunday, March 30, 2025: 86 for the month, 197 for the quarter, 197 for the year,
    • 41131, conf, Murex, LA-Riley Kyle 25-36H MB,
    • 40155, conf, Hess, EN-Schroeder-157-94-1102H-2,
    • 39693, conf, Hess, TI-Beauty Valley-158-95-1423H-6,
  • Saturday, March 29, 2025: 83 for the month, 194 for the quarter, 194 for the year,
    • 41020, conf, CLR, Alfsvaag Federal 7-31H,
    • 40857, conf, BR, West Kellogg 4A UTFH-B,
  • Friday, March 28, 2025: 81 for the month, 192 for the quarter, 192 for the year,
    • 40512, conf, Phoenix Operating, Daniele 26-35 2 5H,
    • 40511, conf, Phoenix Operating, Daniele 26-35-2 4H,
    • 40510, conf, Phoenix Operating, Daniele 26-35-2 2H,
    • 40509, conf, Phoenix Operating, Daniele 26-35-2 1H-LL,
    • 40474, conf, Hess, GO-John-156-98-0508H-3,
    • 40447, conf, Phoenix Operating, Daniele 26-35-2 3H,

RBN Energy: what's ahead for New England's power grid? Is more natural gas part of the answer?

Two factors — public concern about soaring utility bills and President Trump’s strong opposition to offshore wind — are forcing New England to rethink its once-ambitious plans for a renewables-heavy electric grid and reassess how to meet its power-generation needs in the late 2020s and early 2030s. One possibility would be to expand the region’s access to piped-in natural gas, but midstreamers’ previous efforts to add pipeline capacity were beaten back time and again. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss New England’s ongoing debate about what to do next.