Locator: 44857B.
Anyone else getting the feeling this is going to be a great summer for investors?
The two big stories today:
- EIA boosts US oiol production forecast for 2023
- as Saudi cuts; Russia implodes
- Apple silicon
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101 Days Of Summer
Day 11.
Beautiful biking weather. On a scale of 1 - 10, a twelve (12).
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Back to the Bakken
Active rigs: 36.
WTI: $72.52.
Natural gas: $2.297.
Peter Zeihan newsletter.
Thursday, June 8, 2023: 20 for the month; 130 for the quarter, 385for the year
37899, conf, BR, Lillibridge 2B. TFH,
33902, conf, Slawson, Mole 4-20TFH,
Wednesday, June 7, 2023: 18 for the month; 128 for the quarter, 383 for the year
39245,
conf, CLR, Skachenko FIU 7-31H,
36563,
conf, Formentera Operations, LIG2 02-04-162-91E,
36562,
conf, Formentera Operations, LIG2 02-04-162-91B,
36561,
conf, Formentera Operations, LIG2 02-04-162-91F,
36560,
conf, Formentera Operations, LIG2 02-04-162-91G,
33903,
conf, Slawson, Mole 2-20H,
RBN Energy: the race to build Texas's first offshore crude oil export terminal.
As we see it, 2023 will be another strong year for U.S. crude oil
exports, driven in large part by rising domestic production. Upstream
companies in the Permian and other U.S. shale plays are gradually
ramping up their output and, with domestic refineries largely maxed out
on how much light-sweet oil they can use, it’s safe to say that the vast
majority of the incremental oil produced will end up at export
terminals along the Gulf Coast.
And if production continues growing (as
we expect), there’s likely to be room — and a strong economic rationale —
for one or more new offshore terminals to be built in the deep waters
of the Gulf itself.
Each of these proposed facilities would offer
shippers what they want most: easy access to large volumes of oil and
the ability to fully load 2-MMbbl VLCCs without any reverse lightering,
which brings cheaper and cleaner export options to the market.
In
today’s RBN blog, we provide updates on two offshore projects still in
the running: Sentinel Midstream’s Texas GulfLink and Phillips 66 and
Trafigura’s Bluewater Texas.
Week after week, VLCCs dock at the Enbridge Ingleside Energy Center and South Texas Gateway — two state-of-the-art marine
terminals in Ingleside, TX, just across the bay from Corpus Christi —
where they are loaded with up to 1.25 MMbbl of crude oil and then head
out to the deeper waters of the Gulf of Mexico for reverse lightering to
fill their 2 MMbbl of cargo-tank capacity to the brim.
Soon, when a
project to deepen the ship channel to Ingleside is completed, EIEC and
STG will each be able to load up to 1.6 MMbbl onto a VLCC, further
reducing the need for topping off in deeper water. Because of their
straight-shot pipeline connections to un-blended WTI from the Permian
and favorable ship-loading economics, the two Ingleside terminals have
been accounting for disproportionate shares of total U.S. export
volumes.
But at least four midstream developers — one of them a joint
venture (JV) — are neck-deep in planning new offshore terminals that
would be capable of fully loading VLCCs. Their thinking is that the
ability to load a few VLCCs a week without reverse lightering will give
their prospective deepwater facilities an undeniable edge.