Showing posts with label Leaf. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Leaf. Show all posts

Friday, October 16, 2015

Williston Basin Deals; Why Norway Is The Ideal Place To Buy An EV -- October 16, 2015

A reminder: at the sidebar at the right, about a third of the way down or so, there is a section with links to "all" the major Williston Basin deals.

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Hardly Worth Reading ... Except To See How Well This Is All Working Out
Refinancing One's Primary Residence To Buy A Tesla

The New York Times has one of those articles I loved reading when I was a sophomore at Williston High School ... and then I entered the "real world." The story, with some excerpts, follow.

An $87,000 Tesla vs a used Skoda:
Berit Nordgarden and her husband, Eivind Tellefsen, loved their nonpolluting Nissan Leaf electric car. But they found its 85-mile battery life too short for weekend trips to their cottage with their two young children.

So the outdoorsy couple took a deep breath and bought a second car: a Tesla Model S luxury sedan with three times the battery range, the best of any electric car on the market. Buying an $87,000 car was a stretch, requiring them to refinance their primary residence, a cozy wooden home in Oslo.

But the Tesla would have been completely out of reach — costing perhaps double the price — without generous subsidies and incentives that the Norwegian government offers to encourage the adoption of e-cars.

“If there were no incentives, we couldn’t have afforded it,” said Mr. Tellefsen, a computer engineer, as he squinted into the dazzling sun of an autumn afternoon. “We’d probably have bought a secondhand Skoda.’’
There are doubts that the incentives are really cost-effective, but who cares:
No other country can yet match Norway’s proportion of all-electric cars. Though still only 2 percent, the figure is double that of the runner-up, the Netherlands, and is growing faster than anywhere else in the world. More than one-fifth of new car sales in Norway are of electric vehicles.

Some skeptics wonder whether the Norwegian program is cost-effective, or even an efficient way to reduce air pollutants. And some elements of the program simply may not be replicable in other countries. But for many, Norway is showing a path forward.
The "poor" folks splurge on a Leaf:
Ms. Nordgarden said she and her husband had made do for years with their bicycles, public transportation and a car-share service. It was the government program that induced them to choose a Leaf over a fuel-burning car two years ago.
Wouldn't work in the rest of the world:
Making Norway’s project to shift away from fossil-fuel cars all the more notable is the fact that the country is one of the world’s biggest producers of oil and natural gas. But it is also blessed with an abundance of fast rivers, allowing it to generate virtually all of its electricity from hydropower.
That makes Norway’s electricity cleaner and relatively cheap — a further impetus for adopting e-cars. (A country where much of the electricity is generated by coal-fired power plants would not see as many environmental benefits from switching to electric vehicles.)
Even with that, it still requires all these "subsidies":
The cost of operating a car in Norway can also include pricey parking fees, high tolls for bridges and tunnels, and expensive ferry tickets. So e-cars were exempted from those, too. And it doesn’t hurt that fully charging a car battery from the grid costs the equivalent of only a few dollars, while gasoline retails in central Oslo for more than $6 a gallon.
“But my wife made an Excel spreadsheet,’’ Mr. Arnberg said. And after factoring in tax breaks, fuel costs, tolls, parking and all, “the Leaf came to about half the price” of a gasoline-powered car, he said.
Fortunately, Norway is a small country because there's not many places to recharge:
Mr. Arnberg, like many Norwegians interviewed for this article, bemoaned the fact that the country’s vehicle-charging infrastructure had not kept pace with the number of new electric cars on the road. It is an issue that plagues other places that have embraced e-cars, including California, where the competition for public plug-in sites sometimes grows hostile.

Oslo now has only about 700 public charging spots, although city officials aim to raise that to above 1,000 before the end of the year. For most people, that means most of their charging is done at home.

Thursday, February 19, 2015

EVs: The Annual Cost Benefit Is Equal To About One Cup Of Starbucks Coffee -- USA Today -- February 19, 2015

From USA Today today: It is time to stop our green worship of the electric car. It costs us a fortune, cuts little CO2 and surprisingly kills almost twice the number of people compared with regular gasoline cars.
It is time to stop our green worship of the electric car. It costs us a fortune, cuts little CO2 and surprisingly kills almost twice the number of people compared with regular gasoline cars.
Electric cars' global-warming benefits are small. It is advertised as a zero-emissions car, but in reality it only shifts emissions to electricity production, with most coming from fossil fuels. As green venture capitalist Vinod Khosla likes to point out, "Electric cars are coal-powered cars."
The most popular electric car, a Nissan Leaf, over a 90,000-mile lifetime will emit 31 metric tons of CO2, based on emissions from its production, its electricity consumption at average U.S. fuel mix and its ultimate scrapping. A comparable diesel Mercedes CDI A160 over a similar lifetime will emit 3 tons more across its production, diesel consumption and ultimate scrapping. [One word: wow.]
The results are similar for the top-line Tesla car, emitting about 44 tons, about 5 tons less than a similar Audi A7 Quattro.
Yes, in both cases the electric car is better, but only by a tiny bit. Avoiding 3 tons of CO2 would cost less than $27 on Europe's emissions trading market. The annual benefit is about the cost of a cup of coffee. Yet U.S. taxpayers spend up to $7,500 in tax breaks for less than $27 of climate benefits. That's a bad deal.
More at the link.

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Sir Charles Beginning To See The Light?

Washington CBS Local is reporting:
Barkley also said in the interview he might be leaning toward voting Republican in the 2016 presidential election.
“I am paying close attention to the political situation. I have always voted Democratic. But I like some of the Republicans this time around,” Barkley told Sports Illustrated. “I like Chris Christie. I like Jeb Bush. I like those guys.”
Speaking of which, the annual Sports Illustrated Swimsuit edition is now at news stands everywhere.

Beginning To See The Light, Lou Reed

Monday, February 9, 2015

Monday, Part 2, -- February 9, 2015; Tesla Hires More Employees From Apple Than Any Other Company

Wow, that makes me feel better -- the market is down 100 points but according to Yahoo!Finance the market is reacting to Greece's insanity, not to the fact that Germany and France are on the brink of war with Russia over the Ukraine. Yes, that's a relief. Drudge, last night, certainly implied we were on the brink of war.

I think I saw somewhere that oil was rising again. I mentioned to someone over the weekend, oil prices can rise just as fast as they fell -- and sometimes faster.

Some interesting headlines -- WARNING! WARNING! SPOILER ALERT! -- This is NOT an investment site. See disclaimer -- as I was saying, there are some interesting headlines coming out of Apple. For starters:
  • Apple may release a faster new MacBook Air this month
  • Apple said to hire banks for first sale of Swiss Franc bonds
  • Apple plans debut Swiss Franc bond sale
I'm holding out for Apple Greek bonds -- LOL.

For those who don't know, the MacBook Air is the laptop that is a) thinner than a sheet of paper; and b) faster than a speeding bullet because a) it has no hard drive; and, b) it has no fans. My wife has one of the early versions of the MacBook Air (I use the MacBook Pro). It is incredible how fast her Air is compared to my laptop. Amazing. I can't imagine it being faster.

But for me, the big story is the "Apple-Swiss-franc-bonds' story. Didn't the Swiss just "unpeg" their franc from the Euro? Yup. This tells me Tim Cook is reading The Economist.

On a completely different note, this was the first independent ad-free blog that predicted that Netanyahu would not shop in Washington (which reminds me, Lyin' Brian won't be showing up for his scheduled Letterman visit later this week) as planned -- yeah, I see the typo, "shop in Washington." Freudian. Actually that was not a typo. Netanyahu would have been going shopping: shopping for political support and shopping for military hardware, though the Israelis are pretty good at building their own. Actually, I think they are really, really good at modifying the F-16s they get from the US. Anyway, now this from the AP: Israeli leader faces pressure to cancel US Congress speech. An article last week suggested he might not come: his minders and press secretary whining that they were not aware that the DEMS in Congress did not like Mr Boehner. Hello! Spoiler Alert! No one likes Mr Boehner.

As long as we're not keeping to any theme this morning, let's take a look at this headline from BloombergBusiness: Mercedes Sets January U.S. Sales Record Adding Entry-Lux Buyers:
Mercedes-Benz, the top-selling luxury-auto brand in the U.S. in 2013, started out this year in the lead with record January sales as carmakers broaden their lineups to bring in younger buyers.
The Daimler AG unit sold 22,604 vehicles last month, 103 more than a year earlier, led by the new entry-level CLA car, according to a statement yesterday. Bayerische Motoren Werke AG’s BMW, surpassed by Mercedes in 2013, reported an 11 percent gain to 18,253.
Mercedes and BMW are among luxury-auto makers expanding with lower-cost models. Sales of entry-level cars and SUVs represent 67 percent of the U.S. luxury market and probably will keep growing this year, Bloomberg Industries forecasts.
Mercedes will benefit from a full year of its CLA, which starts at $29,900, a refreshed C-Class and a new GLA small sport-utility vehicle, while BMW is introducing a $33,025 2-Series coupe. 
I think our 2012 Honda Civic, base model with no extras, was $24,000, or thereabouts. A CLA at $29,000. I remember my boss getting excited with her new "Baby Benz" (C230?) back in the late 80's or 90's when we were stationed in Germany.

As good as Mercedes is, the story over at Audi, apparently, is even better. Reuters reports that Audi beat Mercedes with record January sales.

For the record, in January:
But the EV folks never give up:
During the month, only Tesla and Nissan remained in “4 digits” for sales as the seasonal pullback (due to weather/tax implications of the $7,500 credit) and pressure from future EV offerings pushed the results lower compared to December.
Overall, an estimated 5,924 plug-ins were bought in January, as compared to the 5,550 sold a year ago. And while this is not a significant increase (6.7%) overall, and is certainly trailing the 23% improvement in 2014, this month’s [EV sales] number can only be considered a success.
"...this month's EV sales number can only be considered a success..." must have been written by the Agore/Brian Williams team.

We saw a Volt this morning, on the way to Starbucks, here in the DFW metroplex. Looked really, really nice. I understand they are really, really responsive and really, really fun to drive. I have nothing against EVs; it's the myth that coal-burning cars are better for the environment than oil-burning cars that bothers me. By the way, have we ever seen a story of a Hollywood celebrity getting into a big accident while driving an EV and being chased by Papa Razzi? I can't recall.

Oh, that reminds me. This is a big story. I've talked about this often but generally not connecting the dots. The dots were connected over the weekend. The dots: a) Apple's biggest challenge is the "battery issue; b) Tesla is a battery company disguised as an automobile company.

Connecting those two dots, I saw this story in Bloomberg Businessweek over the weekend:
Doug Field never considered leaving Apple. From the summer of 2008 to the fall of 2013, Field, a former chief technology officer for Segway and development engineer for Ford, oversaw product and hardware design, working on the MacBook Air, MacBook Pro, and the iMac. He earned a generous salary and was excited by the work. Then Elon Musk and Tesla Motors came calling, and Field agreed to become vice president of its vehicle program.
In the October 2013 announcement of his hiring, Field said joining Tesla was “an opportunity for me and many others to pursue the dream of building the best cars in the world—while being part of one of the most innovative companies in Silicon Valley.”
He likely won’t be the last Apple executive poached by Tesla. The company has hired at least 150 former Apple employees, more than from any other company, even carmakers.
The former Apple staffers work in many areas of the 6,000-employee automaker, including engineering and law. “From a design philosophy, [Apple] is relatively closely aligned,” says Musk, Tesla’s co-founder and chief executive officer. Apple declined to comment for this story.
Google tesla apple. One can lead horses to water but can't make them drink. See disclaimer

Of course, I have the story exactly backwards. But that's fine.

Sunday, December 30, 2012

Electric Vehicles: Premature Loss of Capacity in Nissan Leaf Batteries

Don sent this interesting link. MDW has posted issues with electric vehicles including "capacity loss" of the batteries. Apparently that hypothetical is now reality:
Nissan Motor Co. said it will offer to replace some poorly performing batteries on its Leaf electric car and improve warranty coverage for the battery systems for its almost 20,000 U.S. owners.
The move comes as the Japanese automaker closes a year marked by disappointing sales and complaints by some U.S. customers about the Leaf's battery capacity.
Nissan will repair or replace lithium-ion batteries that have fallen under a specified capacity as well as expand the warranty on the battery to cover for lost capacity for the first five years or 60,000 miles.
Meanwhile, regarding sales:
Nissan is falling well short of its goal of doubling Leaf sales in the company's current fiscal year, which runs through March 2013. Demand in the United States is particularly weak, with sales through November down 4.5 percent, at 8,330 cars.
Leaf is not the only electric vehicle to struggle in the U.S. General Motors' Chevrolet Volt plug-in hybrid car has come up short of expectations, previously forcing the U.S. automaker to idle the plant that makes the car. However, Volt sales are 2 -1/2 those of the Leaf this year.

Thursday, November 15, 2012

A Recession Certainly Won't Help EV Sales; Another DOE Battery Plant in Trouble?

Updates

Later, 8:48 pm: the linked article below has two interesting data points at the very end of the article:
  • Some Arizona owners recently have raised concerns about the Leaf's diminished range in hot weather. [Ah, yes, batteries and hot weather -- something I am very familiar with in south Texas.]
  • Nissan received $1.4 billion in Energy Department loans to build a battery plant and upgrade a factory building the Leaf in Smyrna, Tenn. The company had invited reporters to attend a grand opening of the battery plant on Friday but abruptly canceled the ceremony.
Original Post 

For a quick review of electric vehicle sales over the past few years, click here. Something tells me the "fiscal cliff" uncertainty won't help EV sales. Nissan, apparently, is thinking the same way:
Nissan Motor CEO Carlos Ghosn finally admitted the automaker will not meet its sales target for its all-electric Leaf — in another sign of the broad struggle of the electric vehicle industry.
"The forecast we have given ourselves for the year will not be reached," Ghosn told Bloomberg Television ...
Despite months of lagging sales,
For the year, Nissan has sold 6,791 Leafs, down 15.6 percent from this time a year ago.
Nissan sold 9,679 all-electric Leafs in 2011. In April, Nissan said an executive misspoke when he said the company was not likely to double sales of its all-electric Leaf in 2012.
Ghosn has previously predicted that 10 percent of all vehicles sold by 2020 worldwide will be electric vehicles.
And, of course, next summer's recession won't help sales either. Gasoline should be pretty cheap next summer. 

Thursday, July 21, 2011

This Will Be a Gut-Check For Folks Who Want To Feel Good -- Paying More For Electric Vehicles

The price of an "average" car has dropped this year, to slightly below $20,000.

But not so for electric vehicles: they're going to get much more expensive, especially in California.
The state has run out of the $5,000 rebates it was giving people who purchased all-electric vehicles such as the Nissan Leaf and Tesla Roadster.

That's on top of a price increase for the Nissan Leaf. The automaker said this week that it would raise the price of the base model when the 2012 cars come out this fall by $2,420 to $36,050, including destination charge. The higher-trim-level Leaf SL will go up $3,530 to $38,100, including destination charge.
This is nothing new, but it was printed March 25, 2011, with updated data.

One of My Favorite Photos -- Absolutely Nothing To Do With The Bakken -- An EV Dies, and Now Instead of a Simple Refill, Hours to Recharge



An EV (all-electric vehicle) whose battery has died (Legoland, southern California). It is now being pushed off the "freeway" to be recharged, a process that will take more than a few minutes.

Regular readers know why I posted this. For newbies, "what the ...?" Ignore it and go back to Bakken posts. Just for fun.

Speaking of EVs (link here, sent to me by Greg):
The Nissan Leaf has so far “outsold” the Chevy Volt, 4,134 to 2,745, reports the Los Angeles Times. As each buyer gets a $7,500 tax credit, these sales have so far cost taxpayers $51.6 million.
From the LA Times:
When it comes to sales of electric vehicles, Nissan's Leaf is charging ahead.

Nissan Motor Co. has sold 4,134 of the battery-powered electric cars this year. General Motors Co.'s Chevrolet, by comparison, has sold 2,745 of its Volt car, which is technically a plug-in hybrid because it runs on electricity for about 40 miles before a gasoline-fueled generator kicks in to extend the vehicle's range.
My hunch: the journalist is not a math major. When the number of cars sold in this country each year is measured in millions, the difference between 4,000 and 3,000 is statistically insignificant. It's made even more insignificant when one realizes many of these cars are being bought or held by dealers as promotional tools to bring customers into the show room. The whole thing is a farce. 

Remember, these things are powered on coal.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Numbers In: Volts and Nissan Leaves Selling As Fast As They Can Make Them

... or not.
Update

July 20, 2011: Leaf outsells the Volt; both insignificant

June 14, 2011: Nissan taking folks off waiting list for the Leaf because they don't have the $2,000 electric plug-in installed in their garage.  $2,000 for an outlet. Can you spell "scam"?
Some customers who have signed up to buy a Nissan Leaf electric car have reported getting the run-around from Nissan. According to Bloomberg, customers have reported being removed from the car’s waiting list and having their estimated delivery dates change wildly.

Bloomberg reports that Nissan is delaying some orders because potential buyers don’t yet have a 220-volt charger installed.
The problem may be due in part to the Leaf’s complicated sales process. Potential buyers must register online, pay a $99 deposit, and have a 220-volt charging station installed in their home. Nissan will then contact the buyer when a Leaf electric car is available. Given the slow rate of production for the car, that could take some time.

June 1, 2011:  Sales smoking. Nissan Leaf -- 1,142; GM's Chevy Volt, flat at 481. The fact that they are powered with coal is of concern for those watching the carbon footprint.

June 1, 2011: The GM Chevy Volt scam. Incredible.  Thank goodness for the internet.

April 16, 2011: Guilt by association. Garage fire may have been started by the Volt. I wonder if overheating electrical wires could be a problem in older homes/garages where Volts are charged? By the way, thank goodness for the internet and Matt Drudge. Without either, we would not have known about this latest Volt story. Interestingly, some folks blame GM's problems on Drudge, who simply links the news, rather than on Government Motrors, but I digress. The overheating of old electrical wires is a very serious problem, and where are electric cars best suited? In high density urban areas where houses are more than 100 years old, like Boston.

April 1, 2011: Chevy Volt doubled their March sales over February -- they sold 608 Volts in March. They have now sold a total of 1,210. This compares with 50,000 Chevy Cruzes sold to date. Interesting car to compare sales with.

Original Post

Remember, one month ago GM spokesman said sales of the Chevy Volt was "red hot."

Well, the numbers are in for the month of February.
  • GM sold 281 Chevy Volts in February, LOWER than the 321 sold in January. Wow. 
  • Nissan Leaf isn't faring any better: 67 sold in February, LOWER than the 87 sold in January. Double wow.
So, what's the total of ALL coal-powered Volts and Leaves sold to date (same link as above)?
  • Volt: 928
  • Leaf: 173
Remember, just last month we were told that demand for the Chevy Volt was "red hot." 

And, I still haven't seen any advertisements for the Chevy Volt. [Update: 5:45 a.m., Friday, March 4, 2011: I caught the last second or so of the first Chevy Volt commercial. I had just turned the television on. I believe it was on MSNBC, " Morning Joe." Thoughts on time of day and show? Maybe more on that later.]

For other posts on the Chevy Volt: