MRO Wells In Section 14-146-94

Incredible wells.

See this post for producing wells that were reported as completed today. Here's the graphic:

The graphic:

The wells:

• 16860, 348, MRO, Stohler 41-3H, Bailey, t2/08; cum 498K 11/20; off-line since 4/18; back on line 8/18 with big jump in production: not re-fracked
• 33598, 3,473, MRO, Rita 41-3TFH, Bailey, t5/18; cum 308K 11/20;
• 33597, 3,514, MRO, Stanton 41-3H, Bailey, t5/18; cum 267K 11/20; was offline all of 7/19; back on line 8/19; 

• 33599, 5,000, MRO, Gravel Coulee 14-11TFH, Bailey, t6/18; cum 226K 11/20;
• 33580, 3,276, MRO, McFadden 14-11H, Bailey, t6/18; cum 247K 11/20; offline 11/19; returns to production, 1/20 for nine days;
  
• 33581, 6,573, MRO, Olea 24-11TFH, Bailey, t6/18; cum 227K 11/20; off line 1/120; back on line 2/20;
  
• 33582, 5,305, MRO, Morrison 24-11H, Bailey, t5/18; cum 285K 11/20; off line 1/120; back on line 2/20;
  
• 33583, 5,694, MRO, Sundby 24-11TFH, Bailey, t6/18; cum 257K 11/20;
  

• 33437, 3,115, MRO, Tipton 34-11H, Bailey, t6/18; cum 230K 11/20; only six days, 10/19;
• 33436, 4,491, MRO, Gifford 34-11TFH, Bailey, t6/18; cum 250K 11/20;
• 33435, 4,538, MRO, Hugo 34-11H, Bailey, t6/18; cum 253K 11/20;
• 33443, 4,152, MRO, Marlene 34-11TFH, Bailey, t6/18; cum 260K 11/20;

• 17498, 498, MRO, Chimney Butte 34-11H, Bailey, t11/08; cum 516K 11/20; API - 33-025-00804; a re-frack; only 5.7 million gallons of water; 89.5% water by mass; on re-frack:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	7-2018	28	32033	32078	35087	20329	5166	12950
BAKKEN	6-2018	28	40585	39571	79992	39267	6	36507
BAKKEN	5-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2017	0	0	32	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2017	29	675	690	356	638	0	397

*****************************************

17498, a re-frack:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	28	40585	39571	79992	39267	6	36507
BAKKEN	5-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

33583 (extrapolates to 70K over 30 days):

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	22	50785	50147	76002	64104	0	60661

33582, extrapolates to 78K over 30 days:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	16	41749	41225	67114	36292	0	33522

33581 (extrapolates o 75K over 30 days):

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	22	55074	54382	86799	42450	0	38804

Fourteen Producing DUCs Reported As Completed -- Some Huge Wells -- August 9, 2018

Active rigs:

$66.73→	8/9/2018	08/09/2017	08/09/2016	08/09/2015	08/09/2014
Active Rigs	62	57	33	73	193

Eight new permits:

• Operators: Hess (5); Oasis (3)
• Fields: Beaver Lodge (Williams); Banks (McKenzie)
• Comments: 
• Hess has permits for a 5-well BL-DOMY pad in SESE 20-156-95; Oasis with permits for a 3-well Pederson pad in lot 3/3-152-98; 

Fourteen producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed (see the graphic at this post for the MRO wells on Bailey oil field):

• 33802, 1,214, XTO, Lund 44-8C, Siverston, t7/18; cum --
• 33435, 4,538, MRO, Hugo 34-11H, (supposed to have been on yesterday's report), Bailey, t6/18; cum 28K in first 13 days;
• 33437, 3,115, MRO, Tipton 34-11H,  Bailey, t6/18; cum 9K in first 6 days;
• 33443, 4,152, MRO, Marlene 34-11TFH, Bailey, t6/18; cum 44K in first 25 days;
• 33254, 1,158, Whiting, Wold Federal 44-7-3-TFXH, Banks, t7/18; cum --
• 33744, n/d, Whiting, Bartelson Federal 44-31-3H, Sanish, t--
• 33255, 990, Whiting, Wold Federal 44-7-4TFXH, Banks, t7/18; cum --
• 33747, n/d, Whiting, Bartelson Federal 44-31TFH, Sanish, t --
• 34105, 2,142, Whiting, Ellis 24-31-1H, Stockyard Creek, t7/18; cum --
• 33859, 699, BR, Faye 1C MBH, Elidah, t7/18; cum --
• 33860, 475, BR, Faye 1B UTFH, Elidah, t7/18; cum --
• 33861, 226, BR, Faye 1A MBH, Elidah, t7/18; cum --
• 33858, 733, BR, Faye 1D UTFH, Elidah, t7/18; cum --
• 33256, 1,173, Whiting, Wold Federal 44-7-5TFXH, Banks, t7/18; cum --

Four permits canceled:

• XTO: three Teddy Federal permits and one North Mabel permit, all in Dunn County

When Did This Pop Up? Where Did This Come From? The Black Snake May Get Bigger -- August 9, 2018

ETP plans to expand DAPL by 100,000 bopd. How do I almost miss these stories? From the linked site:

Energy Transfer is planning an expansion of its two key oil pipelines in the Bakken and Permian as crude output continues to grow substantially in both basins and producers seek more access to markets.

The 100,000 b/d expansion of Dakota Access Pipeline, commonly known as DAPL, is on the cards, Chief Operating Officer Marshall McCrea said on an earnings webcast, without indicating a timeline.

"We recently maintained [a throughput] over 500,000 b/d on DAPL and producers are still seeking options to move those barrels to multiple markets," McCrea said.

DAPL provides an outlet for producers in the land-locked Bakken and Three Forks areas of the Williston Basin to ship their barrels south under two options.

The first is to deliver crude to a storage hub in Pakota, Illinois, from where they will be able to access refineries in the US Midwest and also take the barrels on rail cars to the US East Coast.

The other option is taking the barrels farther south to Nederland, Texas, through the Energy Transfer Crude Oil Pipeline, where it can be run by local refineries or exported from the US Gulf Coast.

The 700-mile ETCO pipeline of capacity some 550,000 b/d is operated by Energy Transfer and runs from Patoka to Nederland, where it also owns a 26 million-barrel oil storage terminal.

More at the link.

The pipeline in the Permian: Permian Express-4. At the linked article:

Energy Transfer also plans to expand its Permian Express pipeline system, which ships barrels from that basin to Nederland, CFO Thomas Long said on the same earnings webcast. In the second quarter, the company successfully completed an open season to add up to 50,000 b/d on the Permian Express-3 line, with that new capacity to be made available to shippers by later this year, Long said. Energy Transfer is also planning an 80,000-100,000 b/d expansion to be dubbed Permian Express-4, Long said without indicating a time line.

The BR Midnight Run Wells In Union Center

Updates

August 25, 2019: production data updated.

December 9, 2018: update of #20325 here.

November 23, 2018: production data has been updated; the graphic has not changed since the original post.

Original Post

The BR Midnight Run wells:

• 17421, AB/IA/544, BR, Midnight Run 41-1H, t11/08; cum 427K 9/19; off line 10/19; remains off line 5/21;
• 20323, IA/3,325, BR, Midnight Run 11-1MB, t12/11; cum 367K 9/19; huge jump in 4/18; off line as of 7/19; remains off line 1/20; back on line 10/20 but back off line 4/21;
  
• 20324, 1,963, BR, Midnight Run 21-1TFH, t12/11; cum 261K 1/20; huge jump in 4/18; off line 4/21;
  
• 20325, 2,846, BR, Midnight Run 21-1MB, t12/11; cum 343K 1/20; huge jump in 4/18; off line 5/21;
  
• 20326, 2,083, BR, Midnight Run 31-1TFH, t12/11; cum 341K 9/19; watch for jump in production; off-line as of 5/18; no jump in production seen when it came back on line in 7/18; off line as of10/19; remains off line 1/20; back on line 9/20 but then off line again 1/21;
  
• 20327, IA/2,443, BR, Midnight Run 41-1TFH, t12/11; cum 331K 1/20; off line 1/21;
• 22675, IA/2,640, BR, Midnight Run 11-1TFH, t10/12; cum 292K 9/19; huge jump in 3/18; off line 8/19; remains off line 1/20; back online intermittently but off line again and remains off line 5/21;
  
• 31317, 157 (no typo), BR, Midnight Run 2-8-12MTFH, t3/18; cum 266K 1/20; cum 345K 5/21;
  
• 31318, 133 (no typo), BR, Midnight Run 3-8-12MBH, t3/18; cum 225K 1/20;
• 31319, 448 (no typo), BR, Midnight Run 4-8-12MTFH, t3/18; cum 201K 1/20; cum 266K 5/21;

The graphic:

Random Update Of Several BR Midnight Run Wells -- Implications For The Bakken -- August 9, 2018

The note before the note: This is an incredibly important note on several levels regarding BR's Midnight Run wells. It might be a bit confusing, but it speaks volumes about the potential of the Bakken. Things to think about:

• neighboring fracks
• heel-to-toe / toe-to-heel (we first talked about this back on October 26, 2011)
• 31-stage frack (rather than typical 60-stage frack)
• 9 million lbs / 31 stage = almost 300,000 lbs / stage vs typical <200 bakken="" in="" lbs="" li="" nbsp="" stage="" the="">
• daughter wells: TFH
• parent wells: middle Bakken

The Midnight Run wells are tracked here.

The note:

This is quite cool. I highlighted this well some time ago:  Update On A Poorly Performing BR Midnight Run Well That Is Now Doing Well; No Explanation -- December 7, 2016. At that time, this was posted:

Update on a well that had a huge IP, but subsequent production was poor, and is now doing well:

• 20323, 3,325, BR, Midnight Run 11-1MBH, Union Center, t12/11; cum 299K 10/16; poor producer after 1/15; most recent sundry form dated November, 2012 [until recently --  12/7/16]. There were two separate frack reports, but both fracks accomplished on two consecutive days in November, 2011. The first frack 11/9/11, 8 stages, 641K lbs; the second frack 11/10/11, 12 stages, 1.7 million lbs proppant; maximum recorded gas was 4,710 units with a 25' trip flare. The south leg total lateral was 100% in targeted dolostone pay; 0' above target; and 0' in the lower middle Bakken pay. Target pay was located at 11 - 26' beneath the base of the upper Bakken shale. The well went to INACTIVE status for several months in mid- and late-2015. API: 33-053-03438.

There is nothing in the file report to explain the production profile; there were no neighboring wells fraced at the time production improved.

At the link above, check out the graphic.

Then look at the updated graphic:

Note the new heel-to-toe well; the new well since the last time the graphic was updated:

• 31317, 157, BR, Midnight Run 2-8-12MTFH, Union Center, Three Forks, 31 stages, 9.4 million lbs, t3/18; cum 55K 6/18;

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	18	16138	16047	7499	26296	26229	0
BAKKEN	5-2018	27	25366	25439	11975	33880	24562	9211
BAKKEN	4-2018	14	13200	12843	7714	18998	14209	4733
BAKKEN	3-2018	5	126	126	0	13	0	1

Now, back to #20323, a Middle Bakken well --

Production at that time, 20323:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	10-2016	31	2798	3069	495	8302	8302	0
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	2868	2819	476	8103	8103	0
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	3334	3139	708	9356	9356	0
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	3874	3696	458	9723	9723	0
BAKKEN	6-2016	11	2063	2093	286	3532	3532	0
BAKKEN	5-2016	20	2261	2018	497	7261	7261	0

Look at the new production data, 20323, a Middle Bakken well:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	24	6215	6380	2784	11660	11600	0
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	7365	7372	4180	14229	14152	0
BAKKEN	4-2018	26	9445	9379	4728	15023	14958	0
BAKKEN	3-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	4	186	243	24	580	570	0
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	1921	2185	201	5300	5226	0
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	2588	2386	366	6561	6484	0
BAKKEN	9-2017	24	2850	2685	317	6407	6261	86
BAKKEN	8-2017	4	452	452	0	10	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2017	20	1729	1871	415	4501	4451	0
BAKKEN	6-2017	18	2421	2470	353	5186	5141	0
BAKKEN	5-2017	20	1977	1845	360	5619	5569	0

But even more incredibly, look at this earlier well. FracFocus -- no data that it was re-fracked, #20324, a Three Forks well:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	24	12221	12510	7056	18264	18204	0
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	16918	16733	10477	28121	28044	0
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	2189	1996	2010	2521	2447	0
BAKKEN	3-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2017	10	267	567	11	754	729	0
BAKKEN	10-2017	30	1949	1987	444	4906	4832	0
BAKKEN	9-2017	19	1450	1102	617	3196	3150	0

It gets better, another middle Bakken well; even farther away:
#20325:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	13	4119	4054	1836	6679	6647	0
BAKKEN	5-2018	5	5	0	8272	12	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2018	3	0	0	0	7	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	6	361	523	51	1249	649	585
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	1727	1832	150	3021	2947	0
BAKKEN	10-2017	30	1935	1843	193	3090	3016	0

And, it doesn't quit there, another well, farther to the west:
#22675:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	4067	3855	1486	4787	4787	0
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	4540	4537	1840	6538	6538	0
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	7063	7138	2977	9461	9461	0
BAKKEN	3-2018	28	7882	7821	2477	9260	9256	0
BAKKEN	2-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2018	3	0	0	0	10	10	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2017	23	1065	947	241	2403	2400	0
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	2019	2013	496	3813	3813	0

 #24537: even farther to the west and even that one might have been affected:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	6-2018	12	1349	1370	400	2143	2113	0
BAKKEN	5-2018	16	4335	4422	1792	7555	7515	0
BAKKEN	4-2018	25	5308	5347	2209	7939	7877	0
BAKKEN	3-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2018	1	0	0	0	15	15	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	25	3268	3208	415	7787	7725	0
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	4368	4289	533	8514	8440	0
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	6110	6350	784	8740	8663	0
BAKKEN	9-2017	2	263	0	173	131	126	0
BAKKEN	8-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2017	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	22	1581	1632	242	4374	4319	0

The Market, Energy, And Political Page, T+70 -- August 9, 2018 -- Is The State Purposely Making The Forest Fires Worse?

Haynesville monthly natural gas production, reaches five-year high:

New natural gas plant expansion proposed for McKenzie County. Link here. Will quadruple capacity at this one plant.

• expand the Roosevelt Gas Plant
• from 50 to 200 million cfpd
• would be the 6th natural gas expansion or new plan under development in the state
• located seven miles south of Watford City
• the state has already penciled this one in -- see the spreadsheet for the state here

Natural gas fill rate (link here):

*********************************

The Last Straw

Is Jerry Brown / California purposely making the record-breaking fires worse to "prove a point?" 

The state is rigorously following environmental regulations -- at the risk of making things worse; perhaps endangering lives. Google -- Commerce chief scolds California over environmental policies he says hinder firefighters: ‘Lives are at stake.'

But back to the straws. For those who missed it, from July 23, 2018:

It doesn't matter whether the data is correct or not; the question is how an entire industry and, the millennials, fell for his data. I guess the same way they fell for the global warming data -- if you say it enough times, it becomes fact. Public school education.

The Market, Energy, Political, And Fake News Page, T+70 -- August 9, 2018

Regardless of where the trade war stands on T+75, I plan to move on after that date. We'll have to see what the president tweets on Day 75 of the trade war. Right now I'm leaning toward "T+1 on Iran sanctions."

From CNM today:

Now, back to the market.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.

Wow, I'm in a good mood.

WTI: for investors, we are still well above the sweet spot. The sweet spot for me, is around $55-WTI. That's low enough to prevent any adverse effect on the overall economy, and the oil companies will do just fine. At $66-WTI, the oil companies should be doing very, very well, and the economy should do just fine. Saudi Arabia will pretty much implode if they can't get oil above current price point.

WTI: the consensus on the street suggests that oil will trend higher, although I have a bit of trouble thinking it will trend much higher than its recent highs.

Ticker symbols:

• AAPL: hit a new high today. And it wasn't subtle: up over 1%; up over $2.25/share. Wow. Who wudda guessed? I was thinking that by now folks would be taking profits. My hunch: before the year is out, talk of a dividend increase will crescendo.
• BRK-B: up slightly; nothing to write home about but going in the right direction.
• NOG: nimble traders -- which I'm not -- could have done well on NOG today. It dropped almost ten percent shortly after the opening, trading below $3.00/share, but recovered, and is now down less than 5%, trading at $3.16. Had one bought 10,000 shares of NOG at $2.98 ($29,800) and then sold at $3.15, a nice gain of $1,700 in about one hour. Again, remember, this is not an investment site. 
• ENB: up 1%; earlier this week it was reported that Enbridge would be bringing on-line $7 billion worth of projects by the end of the year
• EEP: up 2%
• EPD: up slightly less than 1%; also, the July, 2018, distribution was a bit higher than the July, 2017, distribution
• KMI: up a bit less than 1%
• TRP (the Keystone XL; the Trans Mountain folks): up over 1%; could "charge" Canada 26% more to complete the Trans Mountain project, and Canada really has no choice but to pay whatever it takes at this point
• SRE: up slightly
• S: up half a percent
• COP is up 1% but CVX is down a bit 

***************************************

The Book Page

I don't have the book in front of me so I can't quote from it.

The book:

She Has her Mother's Laugh: The Powers, Perversions, and Potential of Heredity, Carl Zimmer, c. 2018. Paging through it suggests it's the kind of book I generally don't like -- a great thesis, but veering off in all directions, but it's thick at 574 pages and will keep me occupied for the week.

I suppose I'm about a third of the way through the book, reading a couple of chapters each evening. I can't say I really, really enjoy the book, but it's written in such a way that makes it difficult to put it down. The writing seems a bit "wordy" and the author interjects a lot of banality with long passages about his immediate family that seem unnecessary, but there may be a "revelation" regarding his own daughters by the end of the book.

This is what makes the book fascinating: his unique way of connecting the dots with regard to following the "genetics" story. He seems to start off with some trivial point about genetics, develops the story over several pages, even over several chapters, connecting the dots, until a most interesting story develops.

The most recent example: somehow, the author got onto the subject of "feeblemindedness" which led to the Kallikak family and then to Vineland Training School. And, then after having brought up Pearl S Buck earlier, which confused me, the author comes back full circle to tell the story of Pearl Buck's only biological/natural daughter. Pearl Buck did have an adopted daughter.

One would think with my background in pediatrics, I would know "all there is to know" about PKU (phenylketonuria) but I completely missed this story.

It turns out the physician who "discovered" the cause of phenylketonuria was a Norwegian. I wish I had known that in high school. My absolutely wonderful eastern European chemistry teacher said he would have given me an "A" for the course if I could find any Norwegian that produced anything of value. LOL. It was all in great fun. I think. I hope.

I'm not sure I can recommend the book to the general audience, but for someone who likes connecting dots in the world of genetics, this book is very rewarding.

On another note, right, wrong, or indifferent, it was interesting to read the author's short summary of Rosalind, Watson, and Crick and their discovery of the nature of DNA.

****************************

Straws

Sophia can relate to this. Sophia loves playing "tag, you're it!"