Monday, May 4, 2026

Legacy Fund -- April, 2026, Deposits -- May 4, 2026

Locator: 50714LEGACYFUND. 

Link here


META: $13 Billion For LDC In El Paso — May 4, 2026

Locator: 50713META. 

Link here. Now, $13 billion. It’s all about energy. And Texas has it.

AI prompt:

META's LDCs: will Hyperion or El Paso be bigger?

Reply, as of March 26, 2026, link here:

In the old days, $2 billion was the price of entry (for new LDCs). Now, $10 billion? 

Chart Of The Day -- Memory Chips -- May 4, 2026

Locator: 50712MICRON. 

Updates

May 5, 2026:

Original Post  

Chart of the day: MU -- up $35 today; up $75 in past five days -- 

One year:

This is the problem: only four suppliers -- link here. And of the three -- Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix -- only one is an American company. Sandisk and Micron are not direct competitors. So for US investors, it's mostly Micron -- unless one wants to invest in a South Korean company.

May The Fourth Be With You, May 4, 202

Locator: 50711B. 

Another Lana Del Rey day: link here

Most incredible adult - easy listening music out there. It's very difficult to wait for her tenth studio album, southern Gothic, Storm, delayed, scheduled to be released in 2026. Released from that album, link here. It may or may not be my cup of tea (yet) but let's see how the full album develops before critiquing this. The song maintains her "indie" vibe, to say the least. If nothing else, it brought me back to one of my absolute favorites, "Did You Know That There's a Tunnel Under Ocean Blvd." Link here
And then this, completely unlike Lana Del Rey. Link here.

For me. The conversation has changed. Ten more years.  

Chart of the day: MU -- up $35 today; up $75 in past five days -- 

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $104.90. Whoo-hoo!

Active rigs: 23.

Five new permits, #42894 - #42897, inclusive:

  • Operator: XTO;
  • Field: Haystack Butte, Dunn County;
  • Comments:
    • XTO has five Harrier Federal permits, NENW 15-148-97, 
      • to be sited at 522 NFL and 1923 / 2133 FWL.

Two producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

  • 41149, 993, BR, Watchman Peak 5B, McKenzie County; 
  • 42592, 230, Ballard Petroleum, Borstad 12-30, Bottineau County; 

Massive: One Billion Dollars Per Day In Oil And Refined Products Exported By The US -- And Not From The Mideast -- May 4, 2026

Locator: 50710EXPORTS. 

Query

Last week the US exported more crude oil and refined products THAN ALL OF THE FOLLOWING COMBINED: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Kuwait, Iraq, and Iran. How much cash is flowing into the US on a daily basis based on this amount of oil being exported. 

Reply:  

Note: This figure only covers crude oil exports mentioned in specific records from the last week of April 2026 and does not include the total value of "refined products," which would make the total inflow significantly higher. 

Are we talking one billion dollars daily? 

Every Day The Strait Is Closed, The More Irrelevant The Mideast Becomes -- May 4, 2026

Locator: 50709EXPORTS. 

MASSIVE US OIL EXPORTS

Massive, link here:


Massive
, link here

US oil exports just SMASHED a RECORD 6.4 million bbls EVERY SINGLE DAY during President Trump's Iran blockage. The USE also just left OPEC, potentially opening up EVEN MORE oil supply. 

Massive, link here: last week the US exported more crude oil and refined products THAN ALL OF THE FOLLOWING COMBINED:

  • Saudi Arabia
  • Russia
  • Kuwait
  • Iraq
  • Iran

Massive, link here:

Every day the strait is closed, the Mideast becomes more irrelevant.   

Imagine the balance of payments.  

Apple Products: They Just Work -- May 4, 2026

Locator: 50708APPLE.

This is why I love Apple. It simply works. I've been using an HP Envy 6000 printer to print and scan from my very old MacBook Air for quite awhile and it has worked perfectly. I love it. 

This past year we bought a very, very new M4 MacBook Air for my wife which she has been using for printing. However, last night when she tried to scan a document, we couldn't find the icon for scanning.

I asked Google Gemini: the explanation was incredibly long and suggested everything I did not want to do at almost any cost -- and then I realized Gemini assumed I was using a PC. Re-asking the question but specifying I was using an Apple laptop and not a PC, the answer was essentially a single line reply and the answer was perfect, and with a couple of key strokes everything worked. 

First query:

I'm trying to scan using my HP 6000 Envy. I can see the "print" icon but the icon for scanning is not there. What happened?

Reply


Everything above suggested that Gemini was trying to solve a problem for a PC, not an Apple.

So, I asked again, specifically pointing out I was using a MacBook Air.

Revised query:

I'm trying to scan using my MacBook Air and HP 6000 Envy.  I can see the "print" icon but the icon for scanning is not there. What happened?

Solution for Apple:

Use Apple’s built-in Image Capture (found in Finder > Applications) or the "Printers & Scanners" section in System Settings. But it's even simpler than that: 

Apple Image Capture: Open Image Capture via Spotlight Search (Cmd + Space) to scan without HP software.

For Apple, literally, "Command-Space" sequentially, holding both down and type in "Image Capture" in the dialogue box and it's ready to go.  

Manic Monday -- More Mideast Mischief -- Trump's "Berlin Airlift" -- May 4, 2026

Locator: 50707B.

Project Freedom, Trump's Berlin Airlift:  

In a new effort to open up the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump announced Sunday that the U.S. would “guide” stranded ships through the crucial waterway, which has remained under Iran’s control. 
Trump said “Project Freedom” will see the U.S. military help vessels from “neutral and innocent” countries impacted by the war get “safely out” of the strait. U.S. Central Command added that some 15,000 service personnel, more than 100 aircraft, and guided-missile destroyers are involved.

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Back to the Bakken 

WTI: $102.30.

New wells reporting:

  • Tuesday, May 5, 2026: 12 for the month, 112 for the quarter, 269 for the year,  
    • 41359, conf, Devon Energy, Marvin 27-34 2H, 
  • Monday, May 4, 2026: 11 for the month, 111 for the quarter, 268 for the year,  
    • 42206, conf,  Silver Hill Energy, Minnesota W 158-92-4-28-1MBHX,
    • 41845, conf, Hunt Oil, Kandiyohi 159-90-5-17H-3, 
  • Sunday, May 3, 2026: 9 for the month, 109 for the quarter, 266 for the year,  
    • 42379, conf, Silver Hill Energy, Nebraska E 158-92-5-29-20MBHX
    • 42187, conf, BR, Omlid 8-8-7-TFH-ULW, 
  • Saturday, May 2, 2026: 7 for the month, 107 for the quarter, 264 for the year,  
    • 42205, conf, Silver Hill Energy, Nebraska E 158-92-5-29-3MBHX, 

RBN Energy: Shell's ARC Resources deal affirms focus on low-carbon LNG, liquids growth. Link here. Archived.

Shell’s recently announced agreement to acquire Western Canadian E&P ARC Resources Ltd. for C$22 billion (US$16.4 billion) affirms the global energy giant’s new strategic focus, enhances the prospects for Phase 2 of the LNG Canada megaproject, and supports the view that the Montney Shale may be replacing the Permian as the epicenter of oil and gas M&A. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss the ARC Resources deal — Shell’s largest in 11 years — and what it means for Shell, Western Canada and the Asia-Pacific LNG market.

At its Capital Markets Day (CMD) in June 2023, Shell’s then-new CEO, Wael Sawan, said that while the London-based company would maintain its effort to ratchet down carbon emissions, it would be pivoting from its years-old strategy of reducing liquids production and ramping up renewables. Shell’s new focus, he said, would be on capital discipline, divesting low-margin assets, expanding its “integrated gas” business (natural gas production and LNG exports), and maintaining its crude oil and NGL output. The theme? “Delivering more value with less emissions.”

At Shell’s next CMD in March 2025, Sawan said the new strategy was working, noting that supplying LNG “will be the biggest contribution we will make to the energy transition over the next decade and we are positioning our portfolio to match this.” He added that “continued investment in oil will be needed to offset the natural decline rates of oil fields.”

Shell announced April 27 that it had reached a definitive agreement to acquire ARC Resources of Calgary, AB, which is the largest pure-play producer in the Montney Shale, the largest condensate producer and third-largest natural gas producer in Canada. The deal is expected to close in H2 2026, subject to ARC shareholder, court and regulatory approvals. In a presentation the following day, Sawan said, “As we outlined at our Capital Markets Day, where we see value, we will take the opportunity to add high-margin, low-cost and lower-carbon-intensity production to our portfolio in areas where we have competitive advantages. ARC delivers exactly that,” he said, noting that ARC has a substantial portfolio of Tier 1 undeveloped inventory of liquids-rich gas complementary to Shell’s Montney assets.

Figure 1. Shell’s and ARC Resources’ Production Assets in the Montney. Sources: Shell, ARC Resources

Even In This Market, As An Investor Can You Imagine Being In 40% Cash? May 4, 2026

Locator: 50706INVESTING.

Query :

Does BRK's cash horde of almost $400 billion represent 40% of BRK's market value of $1 trillion? 

Reply:

 
 
BRK's top five holdings, link here:

 
Concentration: talking heads on CNBC constantly worry about 75% of the S&P being concentrated in seven companies. But apparently it's okay for BRK to a) hold 40% of their equity portfolio in cash; and, b) concentrate 70% of the rest of their portfolio in five stocks.
The S&P 500 is a stock market index composed entirely of equity (publicly traded stocks), not cash. 
While it tracks companies that hold massive amounts of cash on their balance sheets (over $1 trillion collectively), the index itself is a market-cap-weighted portfolio of shares representing 80% of U.S. market value. 
That's interesting. 
In the S&P, "over" $1 trillion in cash is buried in the companies themselves. 
I don't know what "over" $1 trillion really is but one assumes just that, "over" $1 trillion" but less less than $1.5 trillion. 
BRK ($400 billion) and AAPL ($150 billion) would account for $550 billion of that "over" $1 trillion. Wow. Again, the S&P 500 is composed of 500 companies.
Rounded.
  • Market value BRK: $1,000 billion
    • Cash: $400 billion
    • Total equity portfolio: $275 billion
      • AAPL: $60 billion
      • AMEX: $60 billion
      • BofA: $30 billion
      • KO: $30 billion
As an investor, even in this crazy market, could you imagine holding 40% in cash for the past two years?