Update
March 15, 2021: it turns out there are already stories of vaccine being wasted; folks not showing up for their vaccinations, etc. Link here.
Even as vaccine manufacturing ramps up, with President Joe Biden
promising enough vaccines for all Americans by May, the chaotic rollout,
paired with vaccine hesitancy, has created an unequal supply-and-demand
equation around the country.
Missed vaccine appointments have
resulted in some leftover COVID-19 vaccine doses being available at the
end of the day and in some cases being dumped when the vaccines expire.
Later, 10:57 p.m. CT: after posting the note below, I found this article over at The WSJ: vaccine-appointment sites rush to fix glitches, expand capacity as rollout gathers steam. Website administrators are tackling things like confusing interfaces and pages prone to dropping information and freezing. Link here. Tea leaves: next month we're going to have stories on unused vaccine being thrown out at the end of the day.
Original Post
Vaccine rollout:
|
|
|
A
|
B
|
C
|
D
|
E
|
F
|
|
|
|
|
Total Doses Administered
|
Number of People Receiving 1 Or More Doses
|
Number of People Receiving 2 Doses
|
Number of People Considered Fully Immunized
|
Delta: Difference in daily doses from previous day
|
Percent (B+C)/A
|
Percent Of Americans With 2 Doses
|
|
Sunday
|
March 14, 2021
|
107,060,274
|
69,784,210
|
37,459,269
|
|
1,356,773.00
|
100.17%
|
14.61%
|
|
Saturday
|
March 13, 2021
|
105,703,501
|
68,884,011
|
36,929,777
|
|
4,575,496.00
|
100.10%
|
14.41%
|
|
Friday
|
March 12, 2021
|
101,128,005
|
65,965,305
|
35,000,159
|
|
2,924,112.00
|
99.84%
|
13.65%
|
|
Thursday
|
March 11, 2021
|
98,203,893
|
64,071,674
|
33,863,127
|
|
2,482,603.00
|
99.73%
|
13.21%
|
|
Wednesday
|
March 10, 2021
|
95,721,290
|
62,451,150
|
32,904,161
|
|
2,028,692.00
|
99.62%
|
12.84%
|
|
Tuesday
|
March 9, 2021
|
93,692,598
|
61,088,527
|
32,102,061
|
|
1,602,746.00
|
99.46%
|
12.52%
|
|
Monday
|
March 8, 2021
|
92,089,852
|
60,005,231
|
31,493,040
|
|
1,738,102.00
|
99.36%
|
12.29%
|
|
Sunday
|
March 7, 2021
|
90,351,750
|
58,873,710
|
30,686,881
|
|
2,439,427.00
|
99.12%
|
11.97%
|
|
Saturday
|
March 6, 2021
|
87,912,323
|
57,358,849
|
29,776,160
|
|
2,904,229.00
|
99.12%
|
11.62%
|
|
Friday
|
March 5, 2021
|
85,008,094
|
55,547,697
|
28,701,201
|
|
2,233,810.00
|
99.11%
|
11.20%
|
|
Thursday
|
March 4, 2021
|
82,774,284
|
54,201,638
|
27,829,503
|
|
2,233,810.00
|
99.10%
|
10.86%
|
|
Wednesday
|
March 3, 2021
|
80,540,474
|
52,855,579
|
26,957,804
|
|
1,908,873.00
|
99.10%
|
10.52%
|
|
Tuesday
|
March 2, 2021
|
78,631,601
|
51,755,447
|
26,162,122
|
|
1,731,614.00
|
99.09%
|
10.21%
|
|
Monday
|
March 1, 2021
|
76,899,987
|
50,732,997
|
25,466,405
|
|
1,663,984.00
|
99.09%
|
9.94%
|
|
Sunday
|
February 28, 2021
|
75,236,003
|
49,772,180
|
24,779,920
|
|
2,429,823.00
|
99.09%
|
9.67%
|
I love these science experiments. I love correlating human behavior with actual data.
So, here we go.
Look at the seventh column, three data points are in bold red.
- Sunday (data for Saturday) two weeks ago: 2.430 million received their first vaccination.
- Sunday (data for Saturday) one week ago: 2.439 million received their first vaccination.
- Sunday (data for Saturday) today: 1.357 million received their first vaccination.
I chose Saturday data (reporting Sunday) because that seemed a day that would be easiest for most folks to get to their vaccination centers; that may or may not be accurate, but at least we're looking at the "same" day of the week.
Thoughts?
The fact that there was a huge jump yesterday (Friday data, reported Saturday) may have affected the most recent data.
Now, look at the last column.
At the beginning of the rollout, the percent of Americans receiving the vaccination was increasing at 0.2% day-over-day. Then it went to 0.3% where it stayed for quite some time.
Then it peaked at 0.4%. In fact, most recently, it was high as 0.8%. But in the last twenty-four hours, the number went to 0.2%.
That's a snapshot in time.
Thoughts?
I will come back to this a week from now when we have another week of data. I think that's all I will need.
