South Texas -- Observations From A Reader -- July 7, 2021

Updates

July 8, 2021: posted about 12 hours after the original post below.

 

Original Post 

A note from a reader that I received about an hour ago.

I just drove to the Texas coast with my family (the reader lives in Dallas; this would be a trip down I-35 from Dallas, through Austin, through San Antonio, through Corpus Christi to the coast -- Mustang Island, Padre Island, Port Aransas). 

We do this every year. 

Beginning in January every year, I search hard for a VRBO / air bnb / resort deals. 

This year I paid 75% more than I did in 2019 ( can’t compare 2020 -- everything was shut down) for a similar rental.

Granted it’s nice but I splurge for the coast. 

Traffic on I-35 was terrible. Semi trucks everywhere and trucks and minivans in tow the whole way. There was no roadwork. Just a large number of people driving. 

We got to port Aransas.

The Quik -E-Mart has closed at 6 p.m. We arrived after it closed. 

Last year that same Quik-E-Mart was open until midnight every day. 

All pumps at the mart had bags on them and they had no gas. The sign at the door says “We closed at 6 p.m. I’m tired." 

No gas. Can’t believe it. Here along the coast where all the refineries in the US are located. 

So many story lines, I can't even begin. Note: I received the note today suggesting the reader made the trip today, after the July 4th weekend.

One can only imagine how busy it is out in Midland / Odessa --

Covid-19 Herd Immunity Reported In Dallas County (Texas) -- July 7, 2021

See this note.

On the local news tonight, it was reported that Dallas County (Texas) has reached "herd immunity" -- defined by adding those who were diagnosed with natural disease and the number of folks vaccinated.

That fact alone should raise a number of questions, a number of story lines.

Now add this data point: in Dallas County (Texas) 80 - 90% of the very elderly have been fully vaccinated. At the other end of the spectrum, something like 20% of the 24 - 34 age group have been fully vaccinated.

That, too, should raise a number of questions regarding herd immunity.

I've always considered "herd immunity" across the entire herd, not just part of the herd. It looks like the elderly part of the herd has been vaccinated; the younger part of the herd has not been vaccinated. To me, that does not constitute "herd immunity." 

Although the state reported "herd immunity" in Dallas County (Texas) today, July 7, 2021, in fact, that milestone was reached on July 4, 2021.

Covid-19 Vaccination Update; Vaccinations In USA The Have Practically Come To A Standstill -- July 7, 2021

This is the reason the White House is considering draconian measures to get folks vaccinated: vaccinations nationwide have practically come to a halt.

CDC data here. 

These are the most recent statistics.

Over the July 4th weekend, the CDC did not report on a daily basis. 

The CDC reported it had distributed 383,068,740 doses as of July 4, 2021, Sunday's report.

Today, the CDC reported it has distributed 383,068,740 doses of July 7, 2021, today's (Wednesday's) report.

In other words, the CDC distributed no additional vaccine between after July 4, 2021, through today. None. Nada. Zip. The CDC distributes vaccine based on how much state health departments order. In other words, the state health departments have not ordered any vaccine doses since July 4, 2021. The day prior, only 1,180 doses.

Because the CDC did not post data every day for the past few days, one had to average the number of doses given the last few days. 

On average, only 350,000 vaccinations have been given each of the three past days. 

It's very likely the majority of those vaccinations were the second of two doses, suggesting that very few "new" folks are getting their vaccinations. 

		Doses of vaccine distributed to health facilities	Change from day before	Vaccinations given	Change from day before	Percent of distributed vaccine that is actually administered	Doses received in past week, current Monday from previous Tuesday	Average number of doses given / day in past seven days
Wednesday	July 7, 2021	383,068,740	0	331,651,464	349,070	86.58%
Tuesday	July 6, 2021	383,068,740	0	331,302,394	349,071	86.49%
Monday	July 5, 2021	383,068,740	0	330,953,323	349,070	86.40%	1,786,020	934,136
Sunday	July 4, 2021	383,068,740	1,180	330,604,253	633,702	86.30%
Saturday	July 3, 2021	383,067,560	431,040	329,970,551	1,161,081	86.14%
Friday	July 2, 2021	382,636,520	352,530	328,809,470	657,166	85.93%
Thursday	July 1, 2021	382,283,990	0	328,152,304	1,499,728	85.84%
Wednesday	June 30, 2021	382,283,990	452,160	326,652,576	1,499,729	85.45%
Tuesday	June 29, 2021	381,831,830	549,110	325,152,847	738,476	85.16%
Monday	June 28, 2021	381,282,720	-1,000	324,414,371	1,087,043	85.08%	2,279,310	833,990

Tampa Bay Wins The Stanley Cup -- July 7, 2021

CLR Reports Five DUCs; Liberty Resources With Four New Permits -- July 7, 2021

Active rigs:

$71.88	7/7/2021	07/07/2020	07/07/2019	07/07/2018	07/07/2017
Active Rigs	21	10	58	64	56

Four new permits, #38414 - #38417, inclusive:

• Operator: Liberty Resources
• Field: Enget Lake (Mountrail)
• Comments:
• Liberty Resources has permits for four AZ W wells to be sited in NENW 13-158-93 (again, the daily activity report has typographical error that makes it difficult to sort this out);
• the wells will sited 525 FNL and between 1965 FWL and 2070 FWL

Ten permits renewed:

• BR (6): four Lone Beaver permits in McKenzie County; two Patton permits in Dunn County;
• Whiting (3): two Pronghorn permits in Billings County; and one Lacey permit in Mountrail County;
• Petroshale: a Jorgenson Federal permit in McKenzie County

Six producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

• 37248, drl/A, CLR, Monroe 4-2HSL, Banks, first production, --; t--; cum --;
• 37249, drl/A, CLR, Monroe 5-2HSL1, Banks, first production, --; t--; cum --;
• 37300, drl/A, CLR, Irgens Rexall 6-19H1, East Fork, first production, --; t--; cum --;
• 37818, drl/A, CLR, Dallas 4-30H, Truax, first production, --; t--; cum --;
• 37296, drl/A, CLR, Irgens Rexall3-19H, East Fork, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 3526 bbls over ten days extrapolates to 10,578 bbls over 30 days;

EOG Brings An Old Parshall Well Back On Line -- July 7, 2021

Previous entry:

• 17287, 1,137, EOG, Austin 22-31H, Parshall, t10/08,off-line? only 1 - 5 days for the past three months (8/15 - 11/15); full months as of 12/15; cum 915K 3/20; needs to be re-fracked; off line 4/20; remains off line 2/21;

New entry:

• 17287, 1,137, EOG, Austin 22-31H, Parshall, t10/08, off-line? only 1 - 5 days for the past three months (8/15 - 11/15); full months as of 12/15; cum 915K 3/20; needs to be re-fracked; off line 4/20; remains off line 2/21; back on line, 3/21 cum 917K 5/21; recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	391	389	38	2259	1554	0
BAKKEN	4-2021	21	319	293	0	2044	1574	0
BAKKEN	3-2021	25	460	452	68	2971	2371	0
BAKKEN	2-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	13	164	172	17	425	143	8
BAKKEN	7-2020	31	525	507	81	3941	3141	0
BAKKEN	6-2020	8	113	123	11	196	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2020	3	53	77	25	631	566	0
BAKKEN	3-2020	31	682	685	134	6359	5564	0
BAKKEN	2-2020	29	735	727	125	741	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2020	31	646	630	131	800	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2019	24	270	264	108	595	0	0

 

EOG Brings An Old Van Hook Well Back On Line -- July 7, 2021

Previous entry:

• 17280, IA, EOG, Van Hook 5-11H, s10/08; cum 670K 11/20; 3 stages; 500K sand; see this post; off line 4/20; remains off line 2/21;
  

New entry:

• 17280, A, EOG, Van Hook 5-11H, s10/08; cum 670K 11/20; 3 stages; 500K sand; see this post; off line 4/20; remains off line 2/21; back on line 3/21; cum 673K 5/21; recent production:
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	1202	1204	106	4411	4162	0
BAKKEN	4-2021	21	803	1326	176	2673	2506	0
BAKKEN	3-2021	11	624	1	90	895	810	0
BAKKEN	2-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	4	1	295	25	493	461	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	26	1140	832	538	2748	2542	0
BAKKEN	7-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2020	2	0	65	3	11	1	0
BAKKEN	3-2020	31	1237	1249	114	5005	4730	28
BAKKEN	2-2020	29	1510	1512	230	5963	5727	0
BAKKEN	1-2020	31	1651	1648	178	8741	8489	0
BAKKEN	12-2019	31	1685	1761	192	7212	6960	0

Ovintiv Brings An Old Jorgenson Well Back On Line -- July 7, 2021

Previous entry:

• 17086, 560, Newfield, Jorgenson 1-15H, t11/08; cum 357K 10/20; off line as of 3/18; remains off line 5/19; just came back on line 7/19; off line again, 11/20; back on line 5/21;
  

New entry:

• 17086, 560, Newfield, Jorgenson 1-15H, t11/08; cum 357K 10/20; off line as of 3/18; remains off line 5/19; just came back on line 7/19; off line again, 11/20; back on line 5/21; cum 358K 5/21; recent production:
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2021	21	1310	1198	1123	3161	74	2905
BAKKEN	4-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	12	15	227	46	659	221	335
BAKKEN	9-2020	30	1419	1367	698	3418	1709	1439
BAKKEN	8-2020	31	1338	1401	990	4078	2441	1358
BAKKEN	7-2020	31	1634	2012	1052	3761	1458	2024

EOG Brings A Monster Well Back On Line -- July 7, 2021

Another "monster well" brought back on line. Previous entry:

• 16965, IA/1,109, EOG, Hauge 1-01H, Parshall, a short lateral t6/09;  cum 605K 12/20; off line 5/20; returned to production, 6/20; off line 1/21;

Now, updated:

• 16965, 1,109, EOG, Hauge 1-01H, Parshall, a short lateral t6/09;  cum 605K 12/20; off line 5/20; returned to production, 6/20; off line 1/21; back on line 3/21; cum 608K 5/21; recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2021	30	1055	1012	108	6841	6600	0
BAKKEN	4-2021	23	809	1305	96	5140	4958	0
BAKKEN	3-2021	30	1260	792	308	5787	5543	0
BAKKEN	2-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	7	35	143	40	829	721	51
BAKKEN	11-2020	30	678	571	146	6141	5897	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	31	756	740	133	7076	6824	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	30	989	1050	130	6706	6462	0

Updating Another Monster Well: #16963, Drilled In 2008 -- Petro-Hunt, Charlson -- July 7, 2021

Updating another "monster" well:

• 16963, 423, Petro-Hunt, USA 35D-1-1H, Charlson, t12/08; cum 812K 12/20; off line as of 7/19; remains off line 1/20; back on line 3/20; see this post; recent production here; big jump in production 3/20; off line 1/21; huge production jump, 3/21;

Recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	14158	14160	7303	23212	8520	14476
BAKKEN	4-2021	30	16656	16497	7318	12885	7328	5348
BAKKEN	3-2021	27	11813	11497	7410	11599	11416	0
BAKKEN	2-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	20	3438	3604	1410	4636	4490	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	30	6593	6825	2285	8258	8049	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	31	7731	7679	2225	10034	9818	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	30	7169	7338	2687	8651	8442	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	2	414	0	93	335	233	97
BAKKEN	7-2020	1	101	0	0	124	124	0

An Old Slawson Pathfinder Well Is Back On Line -- Whoo-Hoo! -- July 7, 2021

 This is so cool. This well was "AB" for a long time. Most recent entry:

• 16845, AB/IA/1,418, Slawson, Pathfinder 1-9H, t7/08; cum 635K 7/19; remains off line 4/20;

So, what is that well doing today. It's BACK on line. Whoo-hoo!

Updated entry: 

• 16845, 1,418, Slawson, Pathfinder 1-9H, t7/08; cum 636K 5/21; remains off line 4/20; back on line 4/21; cum 636K 5/21; recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	1257	1274	797	1249	912	182
BAKKEN	4-2021	8	183	181	594	221	118	63
BAKKEN	3-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2019	0	0	15	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2019	22	733	1410	41	751	274	287
BAKKEN	6-2019	29	920	582	169	943	350	348
BAKKEN	5-2019	31	838	1245	266	845	140	460
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	924	631	112	944	410	284