Locator: 48616TRANE.
Trane. Wiki.
From google's generative AI:
For the archives. Something to think about.
Trane Technologies: shares have doubled in the past year. TT on the NYSE. A component of the S&P 500.
Locator: 48616TRANE.
Trane. Wiki.
From google's generative AI:
Trane Technologies: shares have doubled in the past year. TT on the NYSE. A component of the S&P 500.
Locator: 48615INTEL.
From the linked article:
Intel is looking to sell at least a minority stake in its Altera unit in a transaction that would raise several billion dollars in cash for the struggling chipmaker.
Intel is looking for a deal that values Altera at around $17 billion, said the people, who requested anonymity to speak freely about confidential information. Intel purchased Altera for $16.7 billion in 2015.
A representative for Intel declined to comment. The sale process represents an abrupt change from Intel’s prior commentary on Altera. As recently last month, CEO Pat Gelsinger said that Intel’s leadership considered the business to be a core part of Intel’s future.
Intel has previously said it could look to monetize Altera business through an IPO, possibly as soon as 2026. But the idea of taking strategic or private equity investment would be a marked acceleration of those plans.
One of several things going on, or possibly a combination:
Intel (INTC) market cap: <$100 billion.
Interestingly, "generative AI" suggests that Intel was looking to spin off Altera as far back as 2023:
But if a month ago, Altera was considered a core part of Intel's future or tonight the CEO is willing to spin it off -- speaks volumes.
From google's generative AI:
Intel selling off Altera, selling off its "seed corn."
Look at the numbers.
Cash burn rate: $12 billion / annum -- and it's gonna get worse (?).
Altera spin-off: $16 billion.
This is not rocket science.
By the way, google intel cash burn rate and then do the same on "DuckDuckGo" and see which search engine you prefer.
For more on cash burn rate for Intel see this short note by Motley Fool, from July 12, 2024.
Altera? FPGAs. Link here. This is almost embarrassing.
The FPGA sector? Owned by AMD. No wonder Intel is looking to off-load Altera. Altera ppears to have no strategic value for Intel. This is absolutely fascinating. When you get serious, there are two universes: the Apple Silicon universe; and, the Android (whatever that is) universe: Nvidia and AMD with Broadcom and Qualcomm in supporting roles / niches.
On another note, some say QCOM is still interested in Intel but "pulled back," waiting for the outcome of the election. The Biden-Harris administration, some think, would frown on a huge tech company (QCOM) buying another huge tech company (INTC) to become a super-big tech company, whereas Trump-Vance might welcome such a tie-up, believing that Intel is too important to the US to fail.
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Locator: 48613PRESIDENTIALPOLITICS.
Having said that...
October 17, 2024: biggest "tells" in the past 365 days
suggesting Kamala Harris was on the wrong side of history: three Ivy
League presidents were ousted because of their support for the Hamas
(aka, the Palestinians); "every" major US corporation distanced
themselves from DEI as fast as they could; and, the degree to which the
US is now supporting Israel (sending US troops to Israel).
October 17, 2024: some suggest that Kamala lost ground following the Fox interview, but there's a bigger question. Why in the world did she ever agree to do an interview with Fox?
Remember, she doesn't do interviews and this late in the campaign, she's
not out to practice. There are only two reasons why she did the
interview: internal polling showed that the race was closer than the NYTimes is making it out to be or
internal polling shows she has absolutely no chance to win the race as
it stands now, and it's time for her to pull out all the stops,
including an interview with Fox. Making the decision to do an interview with Fox came down to this: internal polling suggested that doing the interview was her only choice.
Locator: 48612B.
EIA weekly petroleum report: link here.
Gasoline demand, link here. Unremarkable.
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Back to the Bakken
Director's Cut, October, 2024, data. Link here.
Crude oil production:
Natural gas capture: 95%.
Locator: 48611B.
Ran out of caves in which to hide:
GDPNow: link here. Latest estimate, October 17, 2024: 3.4%. Up from 3.2 previously. Liz Ann Sonders.
TSM: has joined the $1-trillion club. Link here.
A California jury has determined that Phillips 66 (PSX, Financial), a prominent U.S. oil and gas company, must pay up to $604.9 million to Propel Fuel Company for misusing its trade secrets to advance its renewable fuels business. The jury found that Phillips 66, headquartered in Houston, pretended to gather potential acquisition information to steal confidential data from Propel, based in Sacramento. This information was allegedly utilized to create a competing business.
The case stems from events back in 2017 when Phillips 66 approached Propel with acquisition intentions to expand its renewable fuel operations in California, a state promoting low-carbon fuel alternatives. However, Phillips 66 withdrew from the deal in 2018 and launched its renewable fuel products in 2019. Propel subsequently filed a lawsuit in 2022 against Phillips 66, accusing the company of illegally using trade secrets, including confidential negotiations that revealed financial data and business strategies.
Apple air tags, link here.
Locator: 48610B.
ENB: hit a 52-week high today. Pays 6.5%.
SRE: hit a 52-week high today. Pays 2.5%.
NVDA: hit a 52-week high today.
TSM: hit a 52-week high today.
Earnings season: incredibly good and the economic numbers released today, incredible. Exhibit A: Netflix and Intuitive Surgical earnings, released after hours.
Netflix: is going to require a stand-alone post.
The fourth industrial revolution -- the AI revolution. It just doesn't seem to me that (m)any of the CNBC talking heads get it yet. Exception: Jim Cramer.
Investors: one gets the feeling that a lot of investors are not serious about making money. And I'm talking about several contributors on "Fast Money" and "Half-Time Report."
MMF: first time in months, there was a net outflow. Link here. Decreased by $6.56 billion to $6.46 trillion for the week ended October 16, 2024.
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Back to the Bakken
WTI: $70.84.
Active rigs: 40.
Four new permits, #41253 - #41256, inclusive:
Locator: 48608CRAMER.
The Eisen Hour: a mix of facts, factoids, opinions from various sources -- often not cited -- while listening to the Eisen hour on CNBC.
ECB:
US, link here:
Disinflation, deflationary: recurring theme on the blog for the past six months -- we are re-doing our kitchen -- setting a higher bar — will post photo later next week — kitchen re-model might cost us $60, tops.
Kitchen appliances:
Screenshots: these are current prices -- nothing to do with Prime Day sales -- prices cut over 20% -- seeing this everywhere on Amazon Prime -- cuts of 20% to 30% on literally "everything" in which I'm interested.
Copper:
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Locator: 48607CRAMER.
Cramer's first hour: a mix of facts, factoids, opinions from various sources -- often not cited -- while listening to Cramer's first hour on CNBC.
Cramer: "EV market just awful."
If Apple is doing so badly, what's it doing in a daily footrace with Nvidia?
Cramer: spending a lot of time on Apple.
Danaher (DHR): breaking out!
TNF tonight. Whoo-hoo!
Yorkshire: flashes of Yorkshire, 2004, surge through my parietal lobe --> frontal lobe.
Kitchen appliances:
At the open: VIX below 20 and S&P only 25 points below 5,900 -- regardless, S&P at a record high --
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Locator: 48606CRAMER.
Breaking: the ECB cut rates for the second meeting in a row to support an increasingly anemic European economy. At 3.25%.
Cramer's first hour: a mix of facts, factoids, opinions from various sources -- often not cited -- while listening to Cramer's first hour on CNBC.
Retail sales: can't wait to hear Cramer's take on these numbers today.
Stocks will flirt with all-time highs today. A continued record run; 47 new highs so far this year.
Unemployment rates fall significantly; catch folks by surprise.
Cramer: holy mackerel -- his enthusiasm for TSMC and NVDA is incredible -- even for Cramer --
Amazing earnings season so far.
What I'm following: natural gas pipelines. And copper.
Health care stocks: plummeting.
CPI:
Wow, wow, wow, 45 minutes after econ numbers came out -- pre-market surging.
Israel: may have killed Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar! Google this. Prime Israeli target for years.
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Locator: 48606CRAMER.
US retails sales:
Cramer's first hour: a mix of facts, factoids, opinions from various sources -- often not cited -- while listening to Cramer's first hour on CNBC.
Why the market is surging: let's not overthink it.
Retail sales: this is truly amazing.
CNBC analysts:
US equity markets, pre-market after retail sales and employment numbers released:
US retails sales:
Quick: how many 80-year-olds can dance non-stop for 39 minutes?
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Cramer's first hour: a mix of facts, factoids, opinions from various sources -- often not cited -- while listening to Cramer's first hour on CNBC.
Experian: this is not a paid ad. If you do nothing else of "financial" consequence today, do this --
Lucid: from Barron's, link here.
Lucid Group LCID stock fell sharply after the electric-vehicle manufacturer said it was planning a substantial public offering and projected wider-than-anticipated losses for the third quarter.
The public offering would involve 262 million shares, the company said in a statement late Wednesday.
Proceeds will be used for capital expenditures and working capital, among other things, Lucid said.
[Whisper: ".... will be used to keep the company afloat; burning through cash."]
Lucid’s announcement came as demand for electric vehicles has been weakening, which has weighed on shares of EV makers.
[Whisper: "... by now we should be well along the up-slope of the S-curve on EV penetration; not happening.]
Lucid, as well as rival car makers such as Tesla and Rivian have lowered prices on their vehicles in an effort to compete with Chinese manufacturers that are offering cheaper models.
[Whisper: "... blame it on the Chinese. Quick, how many Chinese EVs do you see in your neighborhood?"]
In a filing with securities regulators Wednesday, Lucid estimated that its loss from operations would range between $765 million and $790 million in the third quarter, a wider loss than the $752 million expected by analysts polled by FactSet. The company is scheduled to report full third-quarter earnings on November 7, 2024.
Generated by AI:
Recurring themes on the blog:
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Locator: 48604CRAMER.
Cramer's first hour: a mix of facts, factoids, opinions from various sources -- often not cited -- while listening to Cramer's first hour on CNBC.
Inflation: the data is in -- the evidence is clear cut -- inflation:supply and demand -- nothing to do with government spending
Don't take that out of context.
More later.
But it's obvious.
And the "price of eggs due to inflation due to government spending" is getting tedious. Anyone who talks about the price of eggs in this context is …. shall we say, obtuse?
Housing prices: nothing to do with government spending; everything to do with supply and demand.
Same with rent.
Auto insurance? Nothing to do with government or national deficit.
More to follow.
Everything, everywhere happening all at once.
In This Economy? How Money and Markets Really Work, Kyla Scanlon, c. 2024.
Exhibit A:
October 14, 2024: avian flu -- egg-laying hens hit harder than turkeys -- now, can we move on?
October 13, 2024: Walmart: awesome. Protein at 88 cents / pound is pretty cheap source of protein. Salmon $5 for four ounces, or $20 / lb.
This is an incredible "moment" for Walmart. They love "rolling back" prices and as fast as wholesale prices are falling, Walmart is passing those savings to retail customers as fast as they can. "Our" Walmart was filled with "rollback" tags today. But frozen turkeys is what caught my eye. At 98 cents / pound, less expensive than last Thanksgiving, and now Walmart has rolled back that price to 88 cents / pound.
Speaking of Walmart:
We have a Costco membership and an Amazon Prime membership and we've never seen a need for a Sam's Club membership. I may reconsider for one year. From our local neighborhood flyer:
Nearly two years after a tornado damaged Sam’s Club, doors will be open at the wholesale club starting on October 16, 2024.
This Sam’s Club -- just down the street from us -- will be the first in the country without any registers or cashiers, allowing customers to use their app’s scan and go feature to shop.
The Grapevine location will feature many technology features not in other stores, being the first digital-first store ... that includes a robot that can make 190 pizzas in an hour order custom-made sushi in the app and an e-commerce order area that is four times larger than any other Sam’s Club store.$50 / year. Yeah, gonna join. At least for a year. Gotta see the robot. Plus all the other benefits. Truly amazing. $50 / year = $1 / week.
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Locator: 48603B.
WTI: $70.37.
Friday, October 18, 2024: 36 for the month; 36 for the quarter, 550 for the year
26027, conf, Grayson Mill, Moberg Federal 149-95-29-32-11H
26025, conf, Grayson Mill, Moberg Federal 149-95-29-32-4H,
22198, conf, Grayson Mill, Moberg Federal 149-95-29-32-3H,
RBN Energy: as the oil patch matures, it must adapt to a changing opportunity landscape.
Since the advent of the Shale Revolution, the U.S. has experienced a massive surge in oil, gas and NGL production — creating a bonanza of opportunities. But the attitudes of energy companies, owners and investors have shifted from “drill-baby-drill” to a focus on returning value to shareholders. It’s an evolution reminiscent of the economic concept known as the product life cycle. And that got us thinking. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss the introduction, growth and maturity phases of the Shale Revolution, assess where we are today, and explore a couple of potential paths forward.
Locator: 48602TECH.
Quickly, this is all pre-market:
Tech stocks, again all pre-market:
Yesterday's blog:
Personal investing: "backed up the truck" on SCHG as Cramer
would say. Past tense. Largest addition to this position in quite some
time. Top holdings (below), and they say this is not a "tech" ETF. After
the split, Sophia got really, really excited. LOL.
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