Focus On Fracking -- June 2, 2019

Just a reminder. Weekly updates come out on Sundays.

Random Note On Meteorite Impact Structures -- June 2, 2019

Remember that post on the Jurassic on May 27, 2019? Link here.

I had forgotten this but stumbled across it looking for something else.

PDF: http://www.searchanddiscovery.com/pdfz/documents/2015/10719maione/ndx_maione.pdf.html.

Link here.

Because of poor understanding of impact structures by petroleum geoscientists and engineers the petroleum potential of meteorite impact structures has been overlooked.

Meteorite impacts can create large reservoirs through fracturing and brecciation. Shock deformation can even produce reservoirs in crystalline rocks that are normally not considered a target for petroleum exploration. Hydrocarbons have been found at a number of impact structures and provide good guidelines for expecting oil production from the probable Bouscaren impact structure.

Discovered in 1972, Red Wing Creek field in North Dakota is an Early Jurassic meteorite impact crater that has produced more than 18 million barrels of oil and more that 25 Bcf gas from 26 wells. One well drilled in 1974 has produced about 3.5 million barrels of oil. Some wells could produce thousands of barrels of oil per day but are restricted because of mechanical constraints.

The Red Wing Creek area is south of the US Highway 85 between Alexander and Watford City, ND. 

The well to which RMOJ was referring:

• 5286, 741, True Oil LLC, Red Wing Creek Unit 13-27, Red Wing Creek, Madison formation, t2/74, cum 3.011583 million bbls 4/19;

Sundry forms:

• August 18, 2017: name changed from Burlington Northern 13-27 to Red Wing Creek Unit 13-27

Recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
MADISON	4-2019	30	755	1034	0	1517	1506	0
MADISON	3-2019	26	3355	2974	904	4926	4864	0
MADISON	2-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	1-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	12-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	11-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	10-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	9-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	8-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	7-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	6-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	5-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	4-2018	0	0	101	0	0	0	0
MADISON	3-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	2-2018	0	0	124	0	0	0	0
MADISON	1-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	12-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	11-2017	2	225	0	53	594	0	586
MADISON	10-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	9-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	8-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	7-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	6-2017	0	0	215	0	0	0	0
MADISON	5-2017	6	2102	1876	517	4472	4398	0
MADISON	4-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	3-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	2-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	1-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	12-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	11-2016	2	368	368	68	964	961	0
MADISON	10-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	9-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	8-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	7-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	6-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	5-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	4-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	3-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	2-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	1-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	12-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	11-2015	5	334	319	77	901	897	0
MADISON	10-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	9-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	8-2015	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
MADISON	7-2015	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
MADISON	6-2015	0	0	33	0	0	0	0
MADISON	5-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	4-2015	0	0	26	0	0	0	0
MADISON	3-2015	0	0	41	0	0	0	0
MADISON	2-2015	0	0	41	0	0	0	0
MADISON	1-2015	0	0	14	0	0	0	0
MADISON	12-2014	8	552	383	323	1107	1107	0
MADISON	11-2014	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
MADISON	10-2014	0	0	12	0	0	0	0
MADISON	9-2014	0	0	24	0	0	0	0
MADISON	8-2014	0	0	100	0	0	0	0
MADISON	7-2014	0	0	73	0	0	0	0
MADISON	6-2014	9	743	523	360	213	213	0
MADISON	5-2014	0	0	22	0	0	0	0
MADISON	4-2014	6	289	286	242	602	602	0
MADISON	3-2014	5	250	273	174	929	857	72
MADISON	2-2014	9	556	513	356	1763	1499	264
MADISON	1-2014	9	35	32	16	980	880	100
MADISON	12-2013	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
MADISON	11-2013	2	17	15	3	12	5	7
MADISON	10-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	9-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	8-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	7-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	6-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	5-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	4-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
MADISON	3-2013	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
MADISON	2-2013	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
MADISON	1-2013	0	0	42	0	0	0	0
MADISON	12-2012	7	314	266	287	559	0	559
MADISON	11-2012	0	0	18	0	0	0	0
MADISON	10-2012	0	0	99	0	0	0	0
MADISON	9-2012	4	519	544	0	1197	0	1197
MADISON	8-2012	11	924	853	451	3824	0	3824
MADISON	7-2012	0	0	33	0	0	0	0
MADISON	6-2012	30	1076	992	630	4376	4376	0
MADISON	5-2012	6	359	382	216	1203	1203	0
MADISON	4-2012	25	785	860	700	3950	3950	0
MADISON	3-2012	31	1554	1487	1085	7854	7854	0
MADISON	2-2012	27	945	958	729	4846	4846	0
MADISON	1-2012	31	1616	1620	465	9014	9014	0

Possible Deeper Pay Discovery Noted South Of Alexander, ND, Behm Energy -- RMOJ -- December, 2018

Link here.

Screenshot of the PDF that will download:

The well:

• 35395, 360, Behm Energy, Inc., Nygaard 29-8V, Pronghorn, Red River formation, a vertical well, TD = 13,970 feet, t1/19; cum 4K 4/19;

Production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
RED RIVER	4-2019	20	1645	984	1719	1796	0	1796
RED RIVER	3-2019	3	113	374	205	117	0	117
RED RIVER	2-2019	11	1040	1239	896	990	0	990
RED RIVER	1-2019	10	680	239	745	78	0	78
RED RIVER	12-2018	1	355	265	62	0	0	0

******************** 

Behm Energy

Link here.

Flashback: EIA Forecast -- From 2008 -- The 2009 Outlook -- June 2, 2019

Link here: EIA: Long term projections -- 2010 presentation and outlook (a PDF will download) -- source:

• The Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, December 14, 2009, US EIA

But we know to the tenth of a degree what the earth's temperature will be in a hundred years. And we have only eleven years to save the year (Beto). The science is settled.

By the way, that drought in the southwestern United States? Check out Lake Mead.

Lake Mead Water Level -- Three Year High -- And Not By A Trivial Amount -- June 2, 2019

Updates

June 7, 2019: and it's not just in the southwest. It's across the entire US. What happened to all those droughts we were supposed to have due to global warming? And apparently scientists don't think this is a one-time anomaly: "Climate experts say a combination of factors may lead to more flooding in future years." No one saw this coming. Certainly not Occasional-Cortex.

Original Post 

Link here.

Saudi Arabia Foreign Exchange Reserves -- June 2, 2019

From twitter today:

Previously posted on the blog. Apparently some folks just now getting the memo. Whatever.

EIA's Smoke And Mirrors -- June 2, 2019

Wow, wow, wow. Talk about "smoke and mirrors."

Another Rick Perry decision? Nope. The "smoke and mirrors" apparently began during the Obama administration.

Linefill: that amount of oil in pipelines. Linefill is required to keep the pipeline oil flowing. Some suggest that "linefill" will never be available to refiners.

Linefill: RBN Energy talked about line fill back in December, 2013.

It seems any reasonable person would not include line fill as part of US crude oil inventories. And for quite some time linefill (line fill) was not included as part of US crude oil inventories. But that has changed.

From twitter today:

Keeping The Bakken Great; Another $7 MIllion Grant For The Williston Airport --- June 2, 2019

The US House might not be getting much done but Federal money keeps flowing to North Dakota.

From The Williston Herald:

The new Williston Basin International Airport has been awarded another grant from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Federal Aviation Administration.

The grant is for $7 million for construction of the taxiway and other general aviation needs at the airport being constructed north of town.

Sen. John Hoeven announced the grant Friday afternoon.

Challenges Affecting US Refiners -- June 2, 2019

This is a nice discussion regarding the current challenges affecting US refiners. But again, no mention of the 800-pound gorilla in the room: President Obama killing the Keystone XL.

Global Warming -- The Grand Solar Minimum -- June 2, 2019

Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) will be tracked here.   

The best blog on this subject came to an end in 2020 due to the death of the webmaster/author -- the URL at the time: https://nextgrandminimum.com/.  There is a website called the grand solar minimum which in the interim will be the one I link here. I don't care for it but it's the "best" I can find right now.

Updates

May 2, 2021: the winter of 2020 / 2021 is one for the record books, and arrived on schedule and as predicted. 

In this winter of 2020-2021, new record cold temperatures have been experienced all over the world, in January 2021 in Asia and in February 2021 in North America, Europe, the Mediterranean countries and the Middle East. I correctly predicted this cold winter in August 2020.

May 25, 2020: from a reader --

Quick follow-up to [your blog of May 25, 2020 discussing the] increasing amounts of precipitation - and cooler weather - throughout much of the USA (the world, probably, but the LSM - Lamestream Media - will certainly bury this information). 

One consequence of lowered solar radiation (one manifestation of which is sunspot activity), is the enabling of the ever-present cosmic radiation to reach earth in larger amounts.

A proven effect of the increased cosmic radiation is cloud formation. 

Two immediate consequences of more cloud cover are lowered temperatures (via blockage of sunlight) and increase in precipitation (rain/snow  depending upon temps).

[Comment: I've always been taught that cloud cover increases earth's temperature.]

These developments are becoming FAR more pronounced and increasingly difficult to hide/(mis)explain away. 

The peak (highest solar radiation) this cycle should be about 2025, but it is apt to be very low - historically - as it is VERY low right now (the trough).

The years 2028 through 2032 look to be especially daunting as those will be the trough years - solar radiation-wise - of the next 11 year solar cycle ... the so called Grand Solar Minimum which last occurred 400 years ago coincident with the Maunder Minimum.

Methinks the top tier Movers and Shakers of the Globull Warming Scam know all this and have dramatically 'upped their push' to kneecap (western) hydrocarbon industries.

Original Post

 

One of the biggest "spin-offs" from the blog for me has been understanding the impact of the solar cycles. Prior to blogging I never followed solar cycles and had never even heard of "solar maxima" or "solar minima" (as far as I can recall).

I started adding "global warming" posts to the blog to help put the Bakken in perspective. It is amazing how the two issues became quite intertwined over the years. I certainly did not expect that.

That was my reply to a reader who wrote:

A year or so back, I became somewhat acquainted with Dr. Valentina Zharkova's theories concerning the multiple, asynchronous dynamo components internal to the sun.

Big consequence of her findings is that the sun is entering a Grand Solar Minimum, which will rapidly, significantly impact the earth's climate to the downside temperwture-wise.

With a historical accuracy rate at the 93% range going back 400 years, Dr Zharkova is now being taken very seriously by a growing cohort of scientists. 

Should her research and models prove to be correct, the ramifications upon our political, social and economic spheres will simply be beyond description.

Imagine that: the sun affecting the earth's climate.

***************************

Germany And Wind

Three data points:

• Germany has huge investment in renewable energy
• Germany will boast both wind and solar energy, but clearly wind is the more dominant of the two in Germany (that will be true in most parts of the world)
• where renewable energy makes the most sense for Germany (wind), Germany is actually taking some steps back

This link is from a renewable energy site -- a site that promotes renewable energy and, if anything, "exaggerates" the impact of renewable energy.

The link.

So, it was surprising to see this headline:

When Joshua says "significantly" it catches one's attention, considering what a global warming zealot the writer is.

Brooklyn Oil Field -- Update

The Brooklyn oil field is tracked here. 

The graphic:

Compare this graphic with the graphic of the Brooklyn oil field from October, 2018.

Brooklyn oil field, as of June 2, 2019:

• 142 permits
• 141: CLR permits
• 1: Kraken permit
• status of wells/permits
• active wells: 94 wells (all but one CLR wells)
• on confidential list: 15 wells
• on drl status: 8 wells
• dry wells: 2
• permits only (LOC): 8 
• DUCs: 12
• PA: one
• PNC: 2

Prospects:

• 36 sections
• 18 1280-acre drilling units
• perhaps as many as 9 2560-acre drilling units

• 18 1280-acre spaced wells
• two formations (8 MB + 8TF1): 18 x 16 = 288 wells
• three formations (8MB + 8TF1 + 4TF2):   18 x 20 = 360 wells
• four formations (8MB + 8TF1 + 4TF2 + 6TF3): 18 x 26 = 468 wells

• 9 2560-acre spaced wells
• two formations (2 MB + 2TF1): 2 x 4 = 8 wells 
• three formations (2MB + 2TF1 + 1TF2):  2 x 5 = 10 wells
• four formations (2MB + 2TF1 + 1TF2 + 2TF3): 2 x 7 = 14 wells

Bottom line:

• 36 sections
• 6 sections with very little activity to date (but that will change quickly)
• 30 sections averaging no more than 8 wells/section
• currently about 137 wells (active, conf, drl, permits (LOC), DUCs)
• projected minimum: 300 wells in the Brooklyn oil field (about twice where we are today)
• projected possible: nearly 500 wells in the Brooklyn oil field

Production

• average EUR of 500,000 bbls of oil/well (30 years of primary production)
• 150 wells x 500,000 bbls = 75,000,000 bbls of oil from the Brooklyn oil field

Disclaimer: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken. The estimated prospects are at the "high" end of what I think is possible or likely.

Random Look At CLR Wells In Brooklyn Field That Have Been Recently Fracked -- June 2, 2019

April 7, 2022: updating two newer pads sited in this section, section 17-155-98:

• 38363, conf, CLR, Springfield FIU 7-8H,
• 38362, conf, CLR, Springfield FIU 8-8H1, 
• 38361, conf, CLR, Springfield FIU 9-8H, 
• 38360, conf, CLR, Springfield FIU 10-8H1,
  

 

• 38299, drl, CLR, Rolf Federal 7-17H, Brooklyn,
• 38298, drl, CLR, Rolf Federal 8-17H1, Brooklyn,
• 38297, drl, CLR, Rolf Federal 9-17H, Brooklyn,
• 38296, drl, CLR, Rolf Federal 10-17H1, Brooklyn,
• 38295, drl, CLR, Rolf Federal 11-17HSL, Brooklyn,
• 38294, PNC, CLR, Gjorven Federal 8-16HSL1, Brooklyn,
• 38293, drl, CLR, Springfield 11-8HSL, Brooklyn,
• 38292, PNC, CLR, Bismarck 8-9, Brooklyn,

Graphics updated:

The wells (as they come off the confidential list):

• 34695, 1,601, CLR, Rolf 6-17H1, Brooklyn, t4/19; cum 198K 7/20; offline 4/20; back on line 7/20;  cum 238K 5/21;
  
• 34696, 1,324, CLR, Rolf 5-17H1, Brooklyn, t4/19; cum 128K 7/20; offline 4/20; back on line 7/20; cum 159K 5/21;
  
• 34697, 1,760, CLR, Rolf 4-17H, Brooklyn, t4/19; cum 187K 7/20; offline 4/20; back on line 7/20; cum 227K 5/21;
  
• 34698, 1,872, CLR, Rolf 3-17H1, 58 stages; 8.1 million lbs; Brooklyn, t4/19; cum 161K 7/20; offline 4/20; back on line 7/20; cum 186K 5/21;
  

Original Post

Look at these posts for background:

• 20183, 282, CLR, Rolf 1-20H, API: 33-105-02100, s6/11; t6/11; cum 403K 7/20; FracFocus, no re-frack; NDIC, no sundry re-frack form; off line 5/20; back on line 7/20; cum 428K 5/21; this well is tracked here; huge jump in production;
• 21086, 667, CLR, Springfield 1-8H;  t1/12; cum 303K 7/20; FracFocus: no re-frack data; no NDIC data showing re-frack; off line 5/20; back on line 7/20; tracked here; huge jump in production;
  

The graphic:

The wells, FracFocus data: gallons of water used; percent of total stim that was water:

• 34768, 1,395, Helena - HSL1, API: 33-105-04751, 9.436 million gallons; 90.2% water; t3/19; cum 148K 7/20; off line 4/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 34694, 2,006, Springfield - HSL, API: 33-105-04731, 10.566 million gallons; 89.0% water; t2/19; cum 159K 7/20; off line 4/20; back on line 7/20;
• 34693, 1,376, Springfield - H1, API: 33-105-04730,  9.610 million gallons; 90.2% water; t3/19; cum 131K 4/20; offline 4/20; remains off line 7/20;
  
• 34692, 1,553, Springfield- H, API: 33-105-04729, 10.582 million gallons; 88.9% water; t3/19; cum 150K 7/20; off line 4/20; returns to production, 7/20;
  
• 34691, 940, Springfield - H1, API: 33-105-04728,  9.274 million gallons; 89.8% water; t4/19; cum 133K 7/20; off line 4/20; returned to production, 7/20;
  
• 34690, 1,058, Springfield - H1, API: 33-105-04727,8.596 million gallons; 90.3% water; t4/19; cum 122K 4/20; remains off line, 7/20;
  

See production data above for these wells;

• 34698, Rolf - H1, API: 33-105-04735, 9.383 million gallons; 89.4% water;
• 34697, Rolf - H, API: 33-105-04734, 9.518 million gallons; 87.9% water;
• 34696, Rolf - H1, API: 33-105-04733, 9.215 million gallons; 87.7% water;
• 34695, Rolf - H1, API: 33-105-04732, 9.704 million gallons; 88.3% water;

The wells fracked above "essentially" refracked these two wells.

• 20183, Rolf, see above;
• 21086, Springfield, see above;

Brooklyn Oil Field Well, A Rolf Well With Huge Jump In Production -- June 2, 2019

The well:

• 20183, 282, CLR, Rolf 1-20H, API: 33-105-02100, s6/11; t6/11; cum 347K 4/19; FracFocus, no re-frack; NDIC, no sundry re-frack form; 

Recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	25111	25266	40169	50438	35074	14972
BAKKEN	3-2019	31	28935	28999	52607	46605	32389	13797
BAKKEN	2-2019	28	23561	23433	49985	31156	30791	0
BAKKEN	1-2019	30	19636	19251	58855	25522	24915	220
BAKKEN	12-2018	5	462	435	22	923	0	882
BAKKEN	11-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2018	4	145	265	87	335	267	20
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	1489	1614	885	3441	3025	0

Perhaps the graphic explains it: