Earlier this week I posted a story -- Chesapeake and Vine in Louisiana. I really wasn't all that interested in the story but the Louisiana angle caught my eye and I posted the story.
How interesting. Much more to the story. See the update at the linked post above.
NFL: last night, a Thursday night, we had the Washington team play the New England Patriots. I don't know any more than that; I did not watch. Now, surprise, surprise, assuming this is live, on a Friday night, the Buffalo Bills are playing the Detroit Lions. Again, I won't watch. I was just surfing through Hulu. I am absolutely amazed at what Hulu offers: in this case, it's the NFL Network. Are you kidding me? I do not know if the NFL Network will be available "forever" on Hulu. Whatever.
Cathie Wood: I don't know if folks had a chance to read the AirMail.news story regarding Cathie Wood which I linked the other day. I can't find my post now which suggests I posted it and then took it down for some reason. Maybe it's there and I just can't find it. Whatever.
Anyway, I finally got back to the article and read it again. It's well worth the read if you've heard a bit about Cathie Wood and ARKK and don't know anything or very little about her.
I was curious from where she came. I guess in Spanglish, I was curious de donde vino ella. LOL. [For those who do not know, Sophia and I are "learning" Spanish together using the Duolingo app and having boatloads of fun.]
An interesting story, Cathie Wood. Long story short, no glass ceiling for her:
oldest daughter of Irish immigrants, she is now 65 years old -- younger than I but much older than I realized;
grew up in Los Angeles; her coming-of-age years, the late 1970s?
graduated from University of Southern California, my alma mater, with a degree in finance and economics
mentored by Arthur Laffer, economist, trickle-down economics
Laffer helped her get a job at Capital Group, the huge LA-based asset-management firm
three years at Capital
moved to NYC to join Jennison Associates, another large asset-management firm
stayed at Jennison for eighteen years, cycling through various jobs
1998, about forty-two years old: co-founded the hedge fund Tupelo Capital Management
three years later joined AllianceBernstein as chief investment officer and the manager of a $5 billion portfolio
2014: "the story goes" -- Alliance not all that keen on her idea for actively managed exchange-traded funds; so about fifteen years after she joined Alliance, she founded Ark Tech EFT,
part of the seed money coming from Bill Hwang, the now defunct family office Archegos Capital (Archegos: another story this year)
it was a chance meeting with Hwang (or was it?).
Ark Investment Management: less than seven years after she started it, now more than $53 billion under management;
Street cred.
I was mesmerized when I first saw her in an interview on CNBC, or should I say when I first paid attention to her. It was as if, to plagiarize a phrase, "she emerged de novo like Minerva from the head of Zeus."
De donde vino ella. Now I know.
Break, break.
Somewhere recently on the blog -- actually I guess that's in draft also -- recently I've become a convert to "bitcoin." I don't own bitcoin but I do know what it is and it will be a viable currency. Up until two weeks ago, I had no interest in "bitcoin," and pretty much ignored it. Now, 180° turn.
One of the better discussions during our family reunion was talking about technology. Many of my extended family members are high-functioning engineer-types who are involved in high-level technology at pretty big technology companies.
For "bitcoin" to become mainstream, I said there needs to be a tipping point. I mentioned that one of the "first" steps toward that tipping point was Square.
The next step was that $29 billion deal with Australian Afterpay.
We have yet to see the "tipping point" itself but I know what that tipping point will be but I'm keeping it a secret. I don't want to give it away. LOL. Seriously, my skin is not thick enough to absorb the push back and laughter. But regular readers of the blog, knowing my craziness, interests, and posts, can probably guess.
From the linked Airmail.news article:
As probably only Wood could do, she recently corralled billionaires Elon Musk, the co-founder and CEO of Tesla, and Jack Dorsey, the co-founder of both Square and Twitter (Wood's 17th-largest holding), to join her for an hour-long virtual panel discussion to talk about Bitcoin in all its wonderfulness.
Apparently I wasn't the only one that enjoyed it -- a "full reload, July 21, 2021" at this link.
Enough of this, time to enjoy some music.
Oh, before I get to the music, one last story from the linked Airmail.news story that almost knocked me off my chair.
Quick: over at the sidebar at the right, I have something called "the next big thing." Quick, for those who have been reading the blog since the beginning, what was the "first" next big thing?
So, what does that have to do with Cathie Wood? From the linked Airmail.news article: Cathie Wood's meeting with Bill Hwang was apparently completely innocent, unarranged.
On CNBC, Cathie Wood said, "On our way back from that event, we --Bill Hwang and Cathie Wood -- were exchanging stock ideas back then -- this was back in 2014 or thereabouts -- and I know he bought into one of the stocks in which we had a high degree of confidence, Netflix."
August 15, 2021: I just uploaded the screenshot of a cup of coffee priced at $4.50 and I have a K-cup for 21 cents. I'm going to go have a cup of coffee. LOL.
Original Post
Katie Ledecky: alone on the NYSE closing bell stage! Has her own "logo." Interviewed on closing bell.
Inflation: lots of talk about inflation but doesn't seem to be impacting the market or quality of life for Americans. In fact, listening to the talking heads on CNBC, if folks are concerned about inflation, stop buying things. LOL. Stop buying unnecessary plastic things, paraphrasing Nanci Griffith, RIP.
There's plenty of beer at $9.99; quit buying $12.99 beer and my hunch the more expensive beer would trend toward $9.99. Just saying. The most interesting thing: gasoline prices seem out of line (on the high side) compared to the price of oil. Check out the percentage of imported crude oil.
Inflation: remove food, energy, rent, health, lumber, and used cars, and it looks like inflation is not all that bad. According to one expert on CNBC the inflationary trajectory has already changed direction (declining).
Consumer Sentiment Index: is the mainstream media news self-fulfilling? From Breitbart Busness Digest --
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 70.2 from the final July reading of 81.2.
Professor Richard Curtin, the survey's chief economist, pointed out that the index has recorded larger losses only six other times in the past half-century.
In each of those declines, there was a connection to sudden negative changes in the economy, such as last summer's shutdown or the financial crisis. In other words, the American public is reacting to recent news as if something very bad had just happened.
Coffee: a few weeks ago, talking heads and Starbucks spokesman said coffee was going to get significantly more expensive -- drought in South America; global economy opening up.
K-cups over at Amazon run at 35 cents to 85 cents a piece. I won't pay more than 35 cents if I don't have to. One week ago Amazon had a sale on the brand I buy, at 26 cents per K-cup. Think about that: 26 cents for a cup of coffee. Even McDonald's charges 69 cents for a senior cup (that was last year when I last visited), and Starbucks trends towards $1.75 for a tall black coffee.
I bought two cartons of that 26-cent K-cups and sent one carton each to one extended family member and to an AirBnB house where we stayed a year ago, and thoroughly enjoyed the experience. We will probably never stay there again, but it's been fun to send them a box of K-cups every few months.
Holy mackerel: Amazon has that K-cup coffee down to 21 cents per K-cup. Less than a quarter for a cup of coffee. Give me a break. Link here, graphic below. And for a subscription, down to less than 20.4 cents. I have trouble understanding why mom-and-pop donut shoppes aren't subscribing -- 20 cents "wholesale" and selling it for a buck a cup. Wow, they must be buying coffee from their own source for less than twenty cents. I don't know. Imagine the margins on Starbucks coffee.
"There may be some contaminated soil in the berms built around a three-well fire near Lake Sakakawea, but DEQ inspectors said the site looked better than they had expected, and they don't anticipate cleanup taking very long."
********************** Covid-19
Louisiana: has the fourth wave peaked? It's subtle, but possible.
Texas: third wave continues; deaths not yet on pace with new cases. Link here.
Florida: third wave is the worst wave so far; third wave is now greater than the second wave. Interestingly enough, the daily new deaths seems to have peaked. Really?Link here.
South Dakota: way too early to see the impact of the Sturgis Rally, first full week ends today. Having said that, number of daily new cases up a bit. Daily new deaths negligible. Most interesting: compared to three and four waves of Covid-19 since this whole thing began, South Dakota has experienced only one wave, lasting from September 3, 2020 - March 3, 2021. Link here.
North Dakota: almost identical graphs with that of South Dakota, and North Dakota had not motorcycle rally. Link here.
Iowa: this will be the most interesting state to follow for the next six weeks. The Iowa State Fair opened this weekend. One million unmasked visitors and no immunizations required. The "Field of Dreams" baseball game was played there last night. Iowa's graphics exactly match that of North Dakota and South Dakota, except possible an early first wave (deaths), but only one wave for new daily cases. Most interesting, a second wave seems to be developing -- and if it does, it should be noted this second wave began before the Iowa State Fair and before the Sturgis Rally. I doubt many riders came from / through Iowa. The vast majority would be local, west, and south. Link here.
Wow, wow, wow. Assuming the CDC numbers are correct, "we" haven't had such a good day for vaccinations in a long, long time. In the most recent 24-hour period, the US came close to administering one million vaccinations.
A
B
C
E
F
Total Doses Administered
Number of People Receiving At Least One Dose
Fully Vaccinated
Delta: Difference in daily doses from previous day
Percent (B+C)/A
Percent Of Americans (>18) Considered Fully Vaccinated
Delta from day before
Friday
August 13, 2021
354,777,950
197,081,471
167,699,170
918,056
102.82%
65.43%
0.13%
Thursday
August 12, 2021
353,859,894
196,505,543
167,354,729
654,350
102.83%
65.29%
0.10%
Wednesday
August 11, 2021
353,205,544
196,077,952
167,105,507
654,600
102.82%
65.19%
0.10%
Tuesday
August 10, 2021
352,550,944
195,646,711
166,861,912
617,769
102.82%
65.10%
0.08%
Monday
August 9, 2021
351,933,175
195,222,906
166,654,374
532,245
102.83%
65.02%
0.07%
Sunday
August 8, 2021
351,400,930
194,866,738
166,477,481
773,742
102.83%
64.95%
0.11%
Saturday
August 7, 2021
350,627,188
194,346,486
166,203,176
839,709
102.83%
64.84%
0.11%
Friday
August 6, 2021
349,787,479
193,764,457
165,918,256
821,060
102.83%
64.73%
0.23%
Thursday
August 5, 2021
348,966,419
193,199,353
165,334,987
863,941
102.74%
64.50%
0.00%
Wednesday
August 4, 2021
348,102,478
192,614,017
165,334,987
725,329
102.83%
64.50%
0.10%
Tuesday
August 3, 2021
347,377,149
192,120,576
165,081,416
452,804
102.83%
64.40%
0.06%
Monday
August 2, 2021
346,924,345
191,818,585
164,919,666
467,676
102.83%
64.34%
0.06%
Sunday
August 1, 2021
346,456,669
191,498,983
164,757,423
816,203
102.83%
64.28%
0.12%
Saturday
July 31, 2021
345,640,466
190,982,149
164,446,964
711,952
102.83%
64.16%
0.10%
Friday
July 30, 2021
344,928,514
190,509,183
164,184,080
856,919
102.83%
64.05%
0.12%
Thursday
July 29, 2021
344,071,595
189,945,907
163,868,916
710,071
102.83%
63.93%
0.11%
Wednesday
July 28, 2021
343,361,524
189,494,180
163,588,042
753,984
102.83%
63.82%
0.11%
Tuesday
July 27, 2021
342,607,540
188,996,475
163,312,474
395,489
102.83%
63.71%
0.05%
Monday
July 26, 2021
342,212,051
188,729,282
163,173,366
393,083
102.83%
63.66%
0.06%
Sunday
July 25, 2021
341,818,968
188,472,188
163,025,726
778,996
102.83%
63.60%
0.12%
Saturday
July 24, 2021
341,039,972
187,982,826
162,725,812
676,050
102.84%
63.49%
0.11%
Friday
July 23, 2021
340,363,922
187,579,557
162,435,276
600,157
102.84%
63.37%
0.10%
One has to go all the way back to June, 2020, a year ago so see more than a million vaccinations in one day.