Wednesday, October 22, 2025

Movie Night -- Vertigo -- Hitchcock -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49479VERTIGO.

TCM this month: Hitchcock on Sunday nights.

With Hulu I can watch / catch Vertigo

But how did this ... what led me to this tonight, of all nights. I watch it often, maybe once a year.

It started with the intro by Ben Mankiewicz. He mentioned "Sight and Sound."

Link here

Something called "Sight and Sound," British Film Institute -- had a brilliant idea. It started in 1952. 

Every decade -- every ten years -- "Sight and Sound" comes up with their list of the top films of the "last decade.

1952.

1962,

1972.

1982.

1992.

2002.

2012.

2022. That was the eighth (8th) time "Sight and Sound" came up with the list. 

It's quite a story.

2002: Citizen Kane.

2012: Vertigo.

2022: 

  • #1: Jeanne Dielman, 23 Quai du Commerce, 1080 Bruxelles;
  • #2: Vertigo
  • #3: Citizen Kane
  • #4:
  • #5....
  • #8: Mulholland Drive ...
  • #19: Apocalypse Now ...
  • #25: The Night of the Hunter...

It's amazing...I see the movie in a completely different light knowing that "Sight and Sound" named this their number one movie, knocking out Citizen Kane, in 2012, and then letting it drop to #2 a decade later, but still ahead of Citizen Kane, #3.

I've never had any problem with Citizen Kane at #1, but seeing Vertigo again tonight with the ranking of "Sight and Sound" I have to admit Vertigo does have a much more emotional pull on me.  

Six months from now: would I rather re-watch Vertigo or Citizen Kane

Stargate: The Fifth Location -- The Lighthouse, Port Washington, Milwaukee -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49478STARGATE.

Stargate is tracked here, first post, February 8, 2025. Since then, many Stargate posts.

Stargate was to have five locations. Three were to be in the Permian (two in Texas, one in New Mexico just across the state line); one in the Utica. Lordstown, Ohio. But the fifth location was not announced.

Until today.

Link here


In the above screenshot -- the most important line is the last line.

Stargate. 

Vantage Data Centers: link here

Port Washington, Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

AI prompt

Why would the fifth Stargate location be outside Milwaukee of all places?

***************************
A Norman Rockwell Painting

BR Reporting Some Incredible Kellogg Wells In Elidah Oil Field -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49477KELLOGG.

Two producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed today:

  • 40857, 3,129, BR, West Kellogg 4A-UTFH-B, Elidah, McKenzie County;
  • 40858, 9,339 (sic) (clearly a typo), BR, West Kellogg 4C-UTFH-B, Elidah, McKenzie County; 
  • 36622, 8/25; recently fracked;
  • 36621, 8/25; recently fracked;
  • 36620, 8/25; PNC
  • 40866, drl/A;
  • 40859, production data available;

Production data:

  • 40859, drl/drl, BR, West Ranch 4D-MBH-ULW-B, Elidah, t5/25; cum 137K 8/25; production, frack data not yet available:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-202531282452830905201751147842
BAKKEN7-202531401064024301079071066521192
BAKKEN6-202530447614444801298501284671250
BAKKEN5-202511237162371604212941825195

Wells of interest:

  • 29168, 933, CLR, Kellogg Ranch Federal 2-32H1, Elidah, t9/14; cum 435K 8/25; 

Well of interest:

  • 16890, 321, BR, West Kellogg 24-31H, Elidah, t4/08; cum 497K 8/25; recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-2025118071411259055254733792
BAKKEN7-2025121262568353558755759
BAKKEN6-2025336804068262057
BAKKEN5-20250000000
BAKKEN4-20250000000
BAKKEN3-20250000000
BAKKEN2-20250000000
BAKKEN1-2025276627625863127299848
BAKKEN12-20243018011516154083007766447
BAKKEN11-20240002073073
BAKKEN10-2024183117202231977189132
BAKKEN9-2024301365140110229543937480
BAKKEN8-202431154213051203129291275186
BAKKEN7-2024311966204017861721517011112
BAKKEN6-2024302061188117551673216512130
BAKKEN5-2024312211243218441584815637119
BAKKEN4-2024302337231818731453114314127
BAKKEN3-2024312547256420211316712936139

Jump in production:

BAKKEN4-201522509846441880960953974157
BAKKEN3-201518325833051061631206267
BAKKEN2-20152852855437192015119150500
BAKKEN1-20153162936021231517986179090
BAKKEN12-20143166326634244919842197650
BAKKEN11-20143070937095281417276127854417
BAKKEN10-20143185078817356819973198960
BAKKEN9-2014309201916634117500
BAKKEN8-2014309824973238117500
BAKKEN7-201431151871508763587700
BAKKEN6-201430200712052470067500
BAKKEN5-2014127464671503000
BAKKEN4-2014510163101631229031671031659
BAKKEN3-20140000000
BAKKEN2-20140000000
BAKKEN1-201431179244755094248
BAKKEN12-201331334476113126049
BAKKEN11-201330302237130939752113

Initial production:

BAKKEN1-20093113401522424261716071010
BAKKEN12-20083114151243377148101481
BAKKEN11-20082714741435291150801508
BAKKEN10-20083012241143185132201322
BAKKEN9-20083014541636281178901789
BAKKEN8-20082920342104541204002040
BAKKEN7-20083121362119895248102481
BAKKEN6-200830209921551001229802298
BAKKEN5-200831372133131288426404264
BAKKEN4-200830595958733641364103641

We Have The Fifth Location -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49476B.

Stargate: the fifth location has been identified. Stand-alone blog here.

*****************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $60.03. Link here. Up $1.53; up 2.62%.

Active rigs: 32.

Four new permits, #42420 - 42423, inclusive:

  • Permits:
    • 42420, loc, Devon Energy, Loomer 11-2 XW 1H, Tobacco Garden, McKenzie County,
    • 42421, loc, Devon Energy, Loomer 11-2 XE 1H, Siverston, McKenzie County,
    • 42422, conf, Kraken, Bregman 6-7-18 2H, Briar Creek, Williams County;
    • 42423, conf, Kraken, Bregman LE 6-7-18 1H, Briar Creek, Williams County;
  • Fields: Tobacco Garden, McKenzie County; Siverston, McKenzie County; Briar Creek, Williams County;
  • Comments:
    • Devon Energy has permits for two Loomer wells, SESW 11-150-99, 
      • to be sited 371 / 491 FSL and 1947 / 1948 FWL;
    • Kraken has permits for two Bregman wells, lot 1, section 6-152-104, 
      • to be sited 651 FNL and 990 / 1023 FEL. 

Five producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

  • 40857, 3,129, BR, West Kellogg 4A-UTFH-B, Elidah, McKenzie County;
  • 40858, 9,339 (sic) (clearly a typo), BR, West Kellogg 4C-UTFH-B, Elidah, McKenzie County; 
  • 40953, 733, Hunt Oil Company, Shell 153-89-6-31H 1, Mountrail County; 
  • 41342, 3,492, MRO, Jennie USA 34-7H, Dunn County;  
  • 41643, 2,605, CLR, Klepp 5-12H, Williams County.

Headline: The President To Demolish The Entire East Wing -- What's To Stop A Future President To Unilaterally Decide To Renovate The Entire West Wing? Or The Entire "Main Building"? -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49475TEDIOUS.

I don't know anything about this but zoning laws at 1600 Pennsylvania NW, Washington, DC -- 20500 must be incredibly flexible and/or the Homeowners Association incredibly malleable.  

The demolition of the "East Wing" should be complete by this weekend; any time line for completion? Who signed off on the permit application and who approved the permit? My dad would have gotten a huge kick out of this. 

*****************************

Government shutdown: the current discussion only takes us to the end of November, at which time we have to start all over again, specifically, "The House of Representatives passed a bill to extend government funding through November 21, 2025, but the Senate has not been able to pass it."

So, now that we are heading toward a fourth week and late in October, some politicos are now suggesting that the current US-House-passed CR to fund through the government needs to be "re-done" to take us through the end of the year. US Congressmen/women and US senators have no desire to be doing this through Thanksgiving and Christmas and Kwanzaa. The tea leaves suggest the US House will pass a CR that provides funding through the end of January, 2026. 

That will get Schumer's attention. LOL. 
 

Link here

This is absolutely fascinating. Congressmen -- US Congress and US Senate -- huge egos .... and all of a sudden ... irrelevant. 

Totally irrelevant.  

Re-making government.

************************
Politics: Trump's Inner Circle Of Those We Know

Adding Russell Vought to the list.

From August 23, 2025:

I doubt we will ever see another president like Trump in my lifetime. Doesn't waste time. Has a rogue gallery for his cabinet. And they're learning. Among his twenty or thirty lieutenants, there are tier 1 lieutenants, tier 2 lieutenants, etc. 

  • Tier 1: Scott Bessent, Marco Rubio, Doug Burgum, Karoline Leavitt, Howard Lutnik, Pam Bondi, Tom Homan, Susie Wiles, Kevin Hassett. Sean Duffy moved to Tier 1, November 9, 2025.
    • first among equals: Doug Burgum
  • Tier 2: RFK, Jr.
  • Not ready for prime time: Pete Hegseth, JD Vance (?).
  • Jury is still out: Chris Wright, Tulsi Gabbard, Kristi Noem.
  • Wall flowers: most of the rest.

I'm adding Russell Vought to the Tier 1 group. 

With recent action against drug cartels in the Caribbean; "all hands on deck”  (Washington, DC); and, new rules for journalists, I'm moving Pete Hegseth from "not ready for prime time, to Tier 2. RFK, JR, has outlived his fifteen minutes of fame, and is moving to Tier 3. Chris Wright can move to Tier 2.

The revised list:

  • Tier 1: Scott Bessent, Marco Rubio, Doug Burgum, Karoline Leavitt, Howard Lutnik, Pam Bondi, Tom Homan, Susie Wiles, Kevin Hassett, Russell Vought.  
    • first among equals: Doug Burgum -- energy, advisor
    • first among equals: to carry the torch: Marco Rubio. 
  • Tier 2Pete Hegseth; Chris Wright.
  • Tier 3RFK, Jr.
  • Not ready for prime time: JD Vance (?).
  • Jury is still out: Tulsi Gabbard, Kristi Noem.
  • Wall flowers: most of the rest.

Huge: 3Q25 Was To Be The Last Huge Quarter For EVs As Incentives In The US Disappear. Tesla's 3Q25 Profits: Drop A Whopping 37% -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49474TESLA.

Link here to The New York Times.  

Natural Gas Volumes And Natural Gas Requirements -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49473NATURALGASJARGON.

It looks like we're going to have to get conversant with BCFE per day, or simply BCF per day for tracking natural gas discussions.

This page in the blog will track some of these data points.

We will start here:

Largest natural gas pipeline in North Dakota in volume natural gas

What is the biggest natural gas pipeline in North Dakota in natural gas BCF per day? 

Answer: The largest planned natural gas pipeline in North Dakota is the proposed Intensity Pipeline, with a potential capacity of up to 1.5 Bcf/d, according to Intensity Infrastructure Partners. 

Currently, the largest operational pipeline is the Greenholly Gathering Pipeline at up to 1.15 Bcf/d, reports Kinder Morgan. 

AI prompt:

For a 2-GW AI large data center, in energy requirements for natural gas on a daily basis, how much natural gas  -- in BCFE per day -- would be required? Answer: to get this answer, ChatAI provides all the calculations -- way more than I need.

Natural gas. In BCF per day volumes what's the largest natural gas pipeline in the United States. 

The largest natural gas pipeline in the United States by capacity is the Transcontinental (Transco) Pipeline, with a design capacity of 17.388 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d). 
Another contender for the largest system, though not for single pipeline capacity, is the Northern Natural Gas Company, which operates the largest overall interstate pipeline system in the U.S., consisting of 14,200 miles of pipe, as noted by Berkshire Hathaway Energy. 
Transcontinental (Transco) Pipeline: This pipeline has a design capacity of 17.388 Bcf/d, making it the single largest pipeline by capacity. 
Northern Natural Gas Company: The U.S.'s largest interstate pipeline system is operated by the Northern Natural Gas Company. It stretches 14,200 miles, from southern Texas to Michigan's Upper Peninsula, but is a large system, not a single pipeline, as stated by Berkshire Hathaway Energy.

Who will be paying the most, in dollars, for natural gas in the near future: Tokyo or Frankfurt?

That's a trick question: in the near future, the two cities who will be paying the most for natural gas: NYC and Boston. 

This was stated at CNBC at ~3:30 p.m. CT, Wednesday, October 22, 2025. Time to ask ChatGPT. 

ChatGPT: perhaps a kernel of truth but not verifiable. And way too many variables. 

But, pressing ChatGPT to provide some kind of answer, after a very exhaustive re-look:

ChatGPT:  

North Dakota, right now: for industrial customers in North Dakota, the natural gas price was $4.64 per thousand cubic feet in February 2025. While this is the latest price available for the state, commercial rates are often different and vary based on the specific provider and contract.

Natural gas prices in the US: link here

AI In North Dakota -- With Some Advanced Math -- An Update -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49472AI_ND.

Huge story earlier today and then lost in all the other news today. I will come back to this later, if necessary. 

AI prompt:

For a 2-GW AI large data center, in energy requirements for natural gas on a daily basis, how much natural gas  -- in BCFE per day -- would be required? Answer: to get this answer, ChatAI provides all the calculations -- way more than I need.

Put this in perspective, AI prompt

What is the biggest natural gas pipeline in North Dakota in natural gas BCF per day? 

Answer: The largest planned natural gas pipeline in North Dakota is the proposed Intensity Pipeline, with a potential capacity of up to 1.5 Bcf/d, according to Intensity Infrastructure Partners. 

Currently, the largest operational pipeline is the Greenholly Gathering Pipeline at up to 1.15 Bcf/d, reports Kinder Morgan. 

0.3 / 1.5 = 20% 

North Dakota update today


The map:

OpenAI Atlas: First To Apple -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49471CHATBOTS.

Note: on a completely different note -- Perplexity's browser Comet with embedded AI was also in the news today but was launched some months ago (in 2025).  

Major news surrounding Perplexity's Comet browser on October 22, 2025, centers on a new wave of vulnerability reports, and fresh competition from OpenAI with its own AI browser, ChatGPT Atlas. 
This comes shortly after Perplexity made Comet free for all users on October 2, intensifying the "AI browser wars." This reminds me of The Pubic Wars during the 1960s and the 1970s. This was probably not lost upon chatbots. LOL. 

Disclaimer: I often misread, often misunderstand, often make huge errors in breaking news / often accuse of hyperbole. This could be another such case. But this is where I'm starting and will correct / edit as we go along.  

Lost in all the news today, note that this OpenAI Atlas browser came first to Apple Mac.

Or stated another way, Apple got the new Open AI Atlas browser before anyone else. No pre-announcement.  

The new ChatAI browser with built in search: OpenAI Atlas. Link here. Same link, download here for MacUsers.

In the browsing world, this announcement is equal to at least an earthquake intensity of 8.0. The San Francisco earthquake in 1906 registered 7.9 on the generally familiar earthquake scale of intensity.

I understand the technical part of this but I honestly do not know what this means for Apple, Inc.; Apple users; Safari: Siri, and the rest of the browsers, particularly Google Gemini and Chrome. This really seems to have caught everyone off guard. At least I was not aware of any pre-announcement or "tease." The announcement / news just popped up. 

Tim Cook has been saying repeatedly that the computers being released with the new M5 chip are "AI-ready." This may have been what he was telling us and no one put two and two together. To this blog's credit, the blog has posted all along that Apple needs to do it exactly in this fashion. But the question is, how does this dovetail with Siri AI? Wow, this will take awhile to unravel. 

AI prompt 

What’s going on with the OpenAI browser on Apple platforms? What is the exact status and how does one tap into this new OpenAI search? 

Supposedly unrelated, Apple shares dropped $5.00 today, down 2%. There is a new EU lawsuit against Apple, announced today, but I think it will be easy for Apple to reconcile this new challenge. And there's new questions about exactly how good Apple iPhone sales are in China. And now, this new browser, a lot of uncertainty and investors don't like uncertainty. 

So, first, the CNBC link which doesn't say much about Apple and this new announcement. 

And, then the MacRumors link which says a bit more.

Other links:


Apparently this is immediately available to Apple users today but only for desktops with the new M5 chip. At least that's how I read it. 

I am sure there is going to be much, much more to swallow.

My first takeaway: a lot of folks that are in the business of AI, cutting edge tech, etc, who were putting off upgrading to the new Apple M5 desktops, that changes immediately.

The fact that this seems to be getting so little attention compared to the magnitude of what I'm seeing suggests analysts and talking heads on CNBC don't know what to make of it.

Right now, CNBC  is focused on IBM's earnings. Yeah, important, but ... IBM off 4% in after-hours trading after missing some estimates.

**********************************
Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

Briefly:

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 
  • All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Many posts are not proofread for several days after they've been posted.  
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • And Oracle. 
  • Longer version here.  

US Savings Rate -- Strong -- October 22, 205

Locator: 49470SAVINGS.

And with the price of gasoline dropping significantly -- down to less than $2.40 / gallon in north Texas -- Americans will either spend more elsewhere or save more.

By the way, did others notice that bonds to pay for Meta's new LDC in Louisiana are paying almost double what the US government will pay, almost 7% (rounded) vs 3.5% (rounded), and the "Meta" bonds are rated A+ by the rating agency?


Tech Jargon: TPUs -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49469TPUS.

OpenAI: ChatGPT will be "embedded" in the Chrome's default browser. 

  • Google (Alphabet) is up 2% in early morning trading 
  • jargon: TPUs. 

Jargon -- TPUs

AI prompt

Does Apple use (or is there even a place) for TPUs in Apple's AI architecture?

Reply: no. 

Excellent question — and very insightful, because it touches the core of Apple’s unique approach to AI hardware design. 

TPUs (Tensor Processing Units) are Google-designed ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits) optimized for tensor math — the matrix operations that dominate deep learning workloads. They’re especially good at:

  • Massive matrix multiplications

  • Quantized (e.g., 8-bit) neural network inference

  • Large-scale training efficiency in Google Cloud

They were built for data-center scale AI, not personal devices.

Apple does not use TPUs — and there’s no place for them in Apple’s current architecture.

Apple has built its own dedicated AI accelerator hardware called the Neural Engine.

  • Introduced in 2017 with the A11 Bionic chip (in iPhone X).

  • Integrated into A-series (iPhones/iPads) and M-series (Macs) chips.

  • Designed for on-device machine learning — not large-scale training.

The Neural Engine is Apple’s equivalent to a TPU, but for the edge, not the cloud.

Apple avoids external TPU-type data centers for most user interactions.

  • It runs on-device inference with Neural Engines wherever possible.

  • For heavier AI (e.g., Apple Intelligence summarizations, complex Siri tasks), Apple offloads to a private Apple Cloud, running servers built with Apple Silicon.

  • Apple doesn’t use TPUs, GPUs from NVIDIA, or Google infrastructure — everything is vertically integrated.

So TPUs don’t fit Apple’s model — they’re Google’s solution for massive shared compute, whereas Apple focuses on personalized, privacy-preserving on-device compute.

 Summary:

WTI Climbing The Wall Of Worry -- October 22, 2025

Locator: 49468B.

OpenAI: ChatGPT will be "embedded" in the Chrome's default browser. 

  • Google (Alphabet) is up 2% in early morning trading 
  • jargon: TPUs. 

EVs: GM to stop making electric vans in Canada. Link to The New York Times. [By the way, this journalistic style of the NY Times story was quite unusual. The Times says it was written by a human (Ian Austen from Ottawa) but every other mention of General Motors was identified differently. I have no idea what to make of this?

  • General Motors
  • G.M. (per The New York Times stylebook)
  • General Motors
  • G.M.
  • G.M.
  • and, never, "GM" as The WSJ would use
    • The Wall Street Journal does not use periods for proper-name acronyms of four letters or fewer. 

Canada: the bigger story is this however, Canada has lost significant automobile production in as many weeks:

  • yesterday, the GM BrightDrop delivery van -- Canada -- production ends; 
    • a loss of 1,200 jobs;
  • last week, Stellantis announced that it would move production of a new Jeep model from the Toronto are to a plant in Illinois; 
    • a loss of 3,000 jobs;
  • "previously," it was announced that GM would eliminate a shift at a pickp factor in Oshawa, Ontario;
    • a loss of 2,000 jobs.

***************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $58.39. Link here. Up over 2%; up $1.15 / bbl.

New wells: link here

RBN Energy: Phillips 66, Kinder Morgan Plan New ‘Gateway’ to Move Refined Products West: link here

Link here.

Less than two months after ONEOK unveiled plans for a big new refined products pipeline from El Paso to Phoenix, Phillips 66 and Kinder Morgan have proposed an even more extensive project of their own that would enable refined products flows from the St. Louis area to Southern California. The company’s newly proposed, 1,300-mile Western Gateway Pipeline — now the focus of a binding open season — would involve the construction of a greenfield pipeline from Borger, TX, to Phoenix and the reversal of part of Kinder’s existing SFPP pipeline system to move product west from Phoenix to Colton, CA. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss the project and what’s driving the race to move more refined products west from PADDs 2 and 3 to PADD 5.

Another long pipeline?  Much of it's already in place; some of it will be in Texas. But for a pipeline to work, there can't even be a one-foot gap.