Locator: 48690DOW.
Locator: 48690SCCO.
Showing posts with label Investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Investing. Show all posts
Saturday, July 26, 2025
Thursday, January 12, 2023
TSM -- What A Wild Day -- January 12, 2023
Locator: 10010TSM.
Update: this is where we will track TSM.
Updates
April 21, 2025: the Phoenix story.
January 27, 2023: Buffett reportedly bought $4 billion in TSM in 3Q23.
January 27, 2023: Before we get started, correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe TSM manufactures --
- Apple chips
- Intel chips
- Nvidia graphic boards
Themes.
Themes -- 2023.
- Global energy: the 21st century is America's century.
- Medicine: it's all about CRISPR, mRNA
- Information: it's all about semi-conductors, automation, robotics
Now, back to the charts.
After posting the TSM chart earlier today (see below), this popped up on my social media feed:
So, what did NVDA do today?
NVDA was up 3% during the day and then after the close popped $58 (35%)
before dropping 0.62% or $1.20. Very, very volatile. Look at the graph:
NVDA was up 3% during the day and then after the close popped $58 (35%) before dropping 0.62% or $1.20. Very, very volatile.
Let's do the 5-day:
I'm not sure what Matteo and all his friends are thinking but somehow it appears they're misreading the numbers. LOL.
Matteo was responding to TSM's posted results. I have no idea how Matteo interpreted TSM's results, but the one thing that jumped out at me was TSM's margins: 62%.
Original Post
This was posted about 2:25 p.m. EST today:
Earlier this morning:
TSM: only one number to watch! Link here. Shares could surge today. [Posted at 7:14 a.m. CST -- well before the market opened. Whoo-hoo!]
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The Headlines
Mixed. LOL.
Friday, September 10, 2021
Why US Shale Companies Are So Undervalued -- David Messler -- September 10, 2021
Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.
As an example let’s compare the cash generation between Occidental Petroleum, (NYSE: OXY) and NextEra Energy, (NYSE: NEE). One company produces oil and gas primarily, and the other participates in the “Green Energy” sector building windmill farms for electricity generation.Devon:
Investors in NextEra are looking past a mountain of debt to award the company a capitalization of $168 bn at the current share price of ~$85. Some of this is understandable given the figurative, “wind at the back,” of this industry. Windfarms could be the “tulip craze” of the modern era, and are endorsed and sanctioned by local, state, and the Federal government. However, if dividend security is analyzed using conventional metrics in the table above, investors in OXY should be sleeping much better at night, than those holding shares of NEE.
At some point, investors in NEE may have to come to grips with the fact that as attractive as this sector is socially, it is not generating returns sufficient to maintain generous dividends being offered.
Another company, Devon Energy, has already begun returning capital to shareholders in the form of an innovative dividend policy and share repurchases. Jeff Ritenour, CFO of DVN commented in their recent analyst call about capital allocation-
“I would say the share repurchases is certainly moving up the list of options for us, potential options for us as we move through the back half of this year. We could absolutely supplement it with some incremental variable dividends and potentially some incremental share repurchases. I think the other thing we'll look at as we get further into the year and probably into 2022 is the potential to increase the fixed dividend as well.”
DVN’s newly implemented dividend policy includes a modest regular dividend of $0.44 per share combined with a special dividend that constitutes a plan to return as much as 50% of excess cash to investors.
Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.
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Paddle Boarding -- Grapevine Lake, DFW, North Texas
Sophia and Her Mom
Friday, October 29, 2010
For Investor's Only: Seeking Alpha 10 Bakken Shale Stocks, 2010 Guide
I missed this article which was posted at Seeking Alpha back in August, 2010. Better late, than never.
This is a nice list of ten Bakken shale stocks. I can't disagree with any of Hunter Austin's recommendations. He goes from big cap to speculative.
I don't know if his list is ordered in any way, but he lists Oasis as number one, then QEP, KOG, VYOG, WLL, EOG, XOM, CLR, MRO, COP, and AXAS.
I find it interesting that he includes XOM. XOM's position in Bakken is due to its purchase of XTO. It's hard to believe that the Bakken is even more than a single pixel on XOM's radar scope. It will be interesting to watch.
I don't have time to show all the calculations, but it might be fun to see where you would be if you had put together a market basket of Bakken stocks based on this list.
The story was published on August 6, 2010. Suppose you decided to study the list, make the decision to invest in those stocks, and raise the money. So, maybe about August 16th you would have gotten around to "pulling the trigger." Had you placed $1,000 in each of those ten stocks on August 16, 2010, for a total investment of $10,000, your portfolio would be worth $11,182 at the close of the market, Friday, October 29, 2010. (These calculations were based on Yahoo!Financial interactive tables based on the closing price on those two dates.)
Almost all of the companies went up 10% in that period (about $100). KOG was an outlier, having gone up exactly $400 (on that initial $1,000 investment). OAS was second best with a $224 gain. VYOG was the only company to have gone down in share price, valued at $860 at the end of the period. EOG was up only $17. Everyone else, about a $100 gain.
This is a nice list of ten Bakken shale stocks. I can't disagree with any of Hunter Austin's recommendations. He goes from big cap to speculative.
I don't know if his list is ordered in any way, but he lists Oasis as number one, then QEP, KOG, VYOG, WLL, EOG, XOM, CLR, MRO, COP, and AXAS.
I find it interesting that he includes XOM. XOM's position in Bakken is due to its purchase of XTO. It's hard to believe that the Bakken is even more than a single pixel on XOM's radar scope. It will be interesting to watch.
I don't have time to show all the calculations, but it might be fun to see where you would be if you had put together a market basket of Bakken stocks based on this list.
The story was published on August 6, 2010. Suppose you decided to study the list, make the decision to invest in those stocks, and raise the money. So, maybe about August 16th you would have gotten around to "pulling the trigger." Had you placed $1,000 in each of those ten stocks on August 16, 2010, for a total investment of $10,000, your portfolio would be worth $11,182 at the close of the market, Friday, October 29, 2010. (These calculations were based on Yahoo!Financial interactive tables based on the closing price on those two dates.)
Almost all of the companies went up 10% in that period (about $100). KOG was an outlier, having gone up exactly $400 (on that initial $1,000 investment). OAS was second best with a $224 gain. VYOG was the only company to have gone down in share price, valued at $860 at the end of the period. EOG was up only $17. Everyone else, about a $100 gain.
Sunday, June 20, 2010
Investing in the Bakken
The Motley Fools have said exactly what I've been thinking for the past year or so: amass your fortune in the Bakken. Years ago I started investing in energy because I enjoyed following the industry, and to a great extent, I felt it was fairly stable, if not exciting. But now I think a young investor could do well by picking a few companies in the North Dakota Bakken and investing regularly.
The more I follow the Bakken, the more I think one could dollar cost average with any number of Bakken players and do very well over the long term. I agree with the Motley Fools: consistently invest -- that means on a monthly basis. If nothing else, put a little away each month and don't get worried about the day-to-day volatility.
It appears companies in the Bakken are being valued based on their assets in the Middle Bakken, and to some extent, perhaps, their assets in the Three Forks Sanish.
Among the bigger players, I like the following companies in the order given: WLL, CLR, EOG, BEXP.
Among the smaller players, I like the following companies in the order given: NOG, KOG (two different business models), and now OAS.
Among pipelines: MDU and Enbridge.
There are many, many more ways to play the Bakken and many companies in the Bakken to invest in. My intent is not to step on anyone's toes, just to give readers a general idea of what I'm thinking at this point in time.
Of the Bakken companies, I am dollar-cost averaging in CLR and NOG, and ENB, but to a lesser extent. I take advantage of dividends offered by EEP. I think I missed opportunities in EOG, KOG, and WLL. But I can't complain about how things have gone in the big picture.
I am most intrigued by Slawson but it is not publicly traded. I think MDU is perhaps the best long-term, most conservative (safe) company out there. It's had a couple of tough years, but when (if) the economy turns, it should do very well. Right now it's trading not far above it's 52-week lows. It has never (?) missed a dividend payment and has increased dividends for the past five years. I do not own MDU yet but for a conservative investor with a long horizon, it might not be a bad choice. I certainly think it is one of the best utilities nationwide. Cap and trade won't hurt it (it has plenty of wind energy to offset carbon footprint).
The more I follow the Bakken, the more I think one could dollar cost average with any number of Bakken players and do very well over the long term. I agree with the Motley Fools: consistently invest -- that means on a monthly basis. If nothing else, put a little away each month and don't get worried about the day-to-day volatility.
It appears companies in the Bakken are being valued based on their assets in the Middle Bakken, and to some extent, perhaps, their assets in the Three Forks Sanish.
Among the bigger players, I like the following companies in the order given: WLL, CLR, EOG, BEXP.
Among the smaller players, I like the following companies in the order given: NOG, KOG (two different business models), and now OAS.
Among pipelines: MDU and Enbridge.
There are many, many more ways to play the Bakken and many companies in the Bakken to invest in. My intent is not to step on anyone's toes, just to give readers a general idea of what I'm thinking at this point in time.
Of the Bakken companies, I am dollar-cost averaging in CLR and NOG, and ENB, but to a lesser extent. I take advantage of dividends offered by EEP. I think I missed opportunities in EOG, KOG, and WLL. But I can't complain about how things have gone in the big picture.
I am most intrigued by Slawson but it is not publicly traded. I think MDU is perhaps the best long-term, most conservative (safe) company out there. It's had a couple of tough years, but when (if) the economy turns, it should do very well. Right now it's trading not far above it's 52-week lows. It has never (?) missed a dividend payment and has increased dividends for the past five years. I do not own MDU yet but for a conservative investor with a long horizon, it might not be a bad choice. I certainly think it is one of the best utilities nationwide. Cap and trade won't hurt it (it has plenty of wind energy to offset carbon footprint).
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