The Media Is Primed To Report A Cold, Harsh Winter Even If Winter Is Not Out Of The Ordinary This Year -- October 24, 2021

Updates

October 25, 2021: right on cue, CNBC is now talking about a "warmer" winter. LOL. When I was growing up in North Dakota, it was difficult to tell the difference between -40°F and -42°F during the month of February.

Original Post 

Sophia and I are tracking the global energy crisis, 2021 - 2022, at this site. 

News tonight: a colder winter threatens to worse Asia's energy crisis. 

Right now, there is a segment of the media that is primed to talk about the energy crisis this winter. "Everyone" agrees that if this winter is "colder than normal," there will be a crisis of historic proportions. 

I think that's all wrong.

The facts are:

• winters are cold. Period. Dot. Cold. Some winters are worse than others, but all winters are cold.
• there is already an energy deficit and prices are already high. And, according to my calendar, winter has not even begun. 

So, I think it's all wrong to suggest / imply that only if we have a colder winter than usual there will be a crisis of historic proportions.

Just "having winter" will be enough to cause huge problems. I guess the only question is when do the problems "really" begin? In November, or December? Or in January or  February?

The Farmers' Almanac, by the way, doesn't see a particularly unusual winter.  I suppose, looking at the map, The Farmers' Almanac suggests the winter in general will be typically cold, perhaps worse than usual over the Great Plains, extending into Texas. But nowhere does the Almanac suggest warmer than usual.

On top of that, as noted above, the media is primed to start reporting those stories, so even typical winter events, typical winter temperatures are likely to result in "the sky is falling" reporting. And unlike really hot weather, really cold weather -- especially with lots of snow -- provides great video for the evening network news programs.

Already, as noted above, we have China, Japan and South Korea already anticipating colder weather sooner. 

I think this will be fascinating to watch.

If there is no new Covid-19 surge, one might see "ice age" stories take Covid-19 off the front page. 

*****************************
The Day Of The Dead

One of the fastest-growing -- perhaps the fastest-growing -- fiestas in the United States right now. 

"I Told You So" -- October 24, 2021

There's a lot of "I told you so" in the graphics at this Powerline blog tonight. I'm sure everyone can find at least one graphic that says "I told you so."

The Bakken Never Ceases To Amaze Me -- Production Data For Two Incredible CLR Wells -- October 24, 2021

The wells: 

• 37988, conf, CLR, Harms Federal 18-33H, Antelope, huge well, first production, 6/21, t--; cum 128K 8/21:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	39038	39827
7-2021	46760	48736
6-2021	39593	3810

• 37989, conf, CLR, Harms Federal 17-33H1, Antelope, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 115K 8/21;

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	31740	32511
7-2021	52978	54981
6-2021	30326	31054
5-2021	705	0

The Bakken Never Ceases To Amaze Me -- October 24, 2021

This page won't be updated.

Wow, the Bakken never ceases to amaze me.

October 24, 2021: new production data available -- 

• 37029, conf, Enerplus, Fiddle 149-94-02C-01H-TF, McKenzie County, Mandaree, incredibly good well; scout ticket not updated; first production, 3/21; t--; cum 227K 8/21 (less than six months)

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	27143	31994
7-2021	40934	47735
6-2021	50910	58674
5-2021	53268	58213
4-2021	42843	31028
3-2021	17104	11787

Predicting The Price Of Oil Is A Fool's Errand -- So, Let's Go Brandon -- October 24, 2021

WTI: we'll see overnight trading begin in about an hour or so. Will open just under $84. Cushing is almost empty (FWTW). From last week, last trade: up 1.53%, up $1.26, closed at $83.76. Later: 5:36 p.m. CT -- WTI opens right at $84.04. Later: 8:26 p.m. CT -- it looks like WTI will struggle to move much higher, quickly, now $84.39. Later: 9:17 p.m. CT, $48.57. Later: 9:26 p.m. CT, $84.68.

And now this, from Irina Slav. "Peak oil demand forecasts turn sour as demand keeps growing." I think this is fascinating. The #1 story: will Saudi Arabia respond? Readers know my position on that. What's Irina got to say?

The short-term price outlook is quite fascinating. Crude oil inventories are being drawn down across the world, and OPEC+ is sticking to its original decision to add just 400,000 bpd to combined monthly output. It is, however, not doing even that because some of its members are struggling to fill their production quotas due to underinvestment that has been plaguing them for years.

Demand, meanwhile, is rising, with the energy crunch seen adding anywhere between 500,000 bpd and 750,000 bpd to the global daily average. This, combined with reports that U.S. crude oil inventories are some 6 percent below the five-year average for this time of the year, and that OECD inventories are 162 million barrels below the pre-COVID five-year average, has been very effective in keeping prices above $80 per barrel and spurring forecasts for three-digit prices. My hunch: the Saudis probably like Biden as much as the rest of us, and are already trying to translate "let's go Brandon" into Farsi.

The second story I'm following: "the Bakken's" response to increasing demand. "The Bakken," of course, is a metonym for the US shale revolution. Is it still a revolution now that the revolution began in 2000, over two decades ago?

Odds and ends:

• California gasoline prices: spiking. Link to Julianne Geiger.
• And here. Link.
  
• Nigeria is still producing under OPEC oil quota; the country has technical problems with oil output, OPEC+ needs to wait before raising production faster, OPEC+ needs to be very cautious -- oil minister. Source.
• EIA: the source of American electricity, 2020. Source.
• Fools: link to The WSJ.
• Cushing is empty. Didn't I just say that? Cushing is empty sweet crude and North Sea is next. Refining margins are good and crude stocks will resume draws in November, 2021. Covid can increase but deaths will not, limiting impact. Only shale/OPEC+ can add oil and neither is inclined to add enough. Source.

************************************
Tesla

Tesla: see this post, following Tesla's 3Q21 earnings. Is Tesla on to something bigger and better. Oilprice has a number of great contributors; Alex Kimani is one of them. And now today: "Why Tesla's latest battery decision is a gamechanger." From the linked article:

There is more to come from the trailblazing electric vehicle company, however, with its move to cheap, cobalt-free batteries.

Tesla now boasts one of the highest operating margins in the vehicle manufacturing business at nearly 15%.

But the EV company might be able to expand its already impressive margins by pulling off another nifty trick: Deploying cheap, cobalt-free batteries in its cars.

In its latest investor presentation, Tesla revealed that it's switching battery chemistry for all standard-range Models 3 and Y from nickel cobalt aluminum (NCA) chemistry to an alternative, older technology that uses a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) chemistry.

LFP cells not only have much longer useful lifetimes but are also cheaper than NCA or nickel manganese cobalt (NMC) cells. The biggest trade-off is that LFP batteries have a lower energy density. However, LFP batteries are still able to compensate for this shortcoming by dramatically cutting on thermal runaway in the event of a crash, meaning an LFP battery pack requires much less volume on cooling and structural protection to keep the cells separated.

Many electric buses in China already use LFP batteries. Last year, Tesla introduced LFP batteries in its standard range Model 3s in China and dropped the starting price from 309,900 yuan ($48,080) to 249,900 yuan ($38,773). CEO Elon Musk has revealed that the improving energy density of LFP batteries now makes it possible to use the cheaper, cobalt-free batteries in its lower-end vehicles so as to free up more battery supply of lithium-ion chemistry cells for Tesla's other models.

Up to now, intellectual property restrictions have kept LFP cells mostly within China. But Tesla will now be able to deploy them in its pivotal U.S. market after it won approval from the Chinese government to start using LFP batteries in Chinese-made BEVs in 2020. Indeed, Tesla is making the switch to LFP mandatory in all its markets after a positive reception in the U.S.

Last December, Bloomberg NEF, a clean energy researcher that has been, among other things, tracking battery costs, announced that battery costs had dipped below the $100 per kWh threshold for the first time ever. The crucial milestone was achieved for battery packs designed for electric buses in China.

In the EV industry, the $100 per kWh battery cost price point is generally regarded as the Holy Grail critical for the wider adoption of electric vehicles by making them cost-competitive at the sticker price, which remains an important psychological barrier for many buyers. The powertrain typically accounts for more than 70% of the cost of an EV. Tesla's LFP switch not only means fatter margins but can fast track the company in the race to $100 per kWh leading to longer growth runways.

More at the linked article.

Think about that: Mr Elon Musk has the pricing power to raise the prices on his vehicles (he just did) and now he's building a cheaper battery, the most expensive piece of hardware in the EV.  

**************************
U.S. Electricity

Renewable energy: after decades of promotion, investments, and tax benefits --

• solar: 0.023 * 0.20 = 0.0046 or 0.46%
• wind: 0..084 * 0.20 = 0.0168 = 1.68%

Off The Blog For An Hour Or So -- October 24, 2021

NASCAR: today, 2:00 p.m. Second of three for the group of eight.

Hit a wall: I wanted to post another few blog entries, but I need to take a break, but wow, take a look at the initial production for wells coming off the confidential list this next week. It's hard to believe we won't see a significant jump in production in the Bakken when the September, 2021, data is posted.

Enerplus continues to report a number of incredible wells, and again, this pad drilling / completion is incredible. Yes, I know, I use "incredible" too often. Same with "awesome." And "staggering." And "wow." There seems to be a trend. Oh, that's right. This is the "Bakken blog." LOL. 

Early on several fields in the Bakken were identified as particularly notable. Never, never, never did I think much of the Manitou oil field northeast of Williston. But all of a sudden, wow. I thought it was only Enerplus that cracked the Manitou code, but now I see Hess with an EN-Joyce well has a huge Manitou well. I had to take another look to make sure there was not a content or typographical error. But I think it's all correct. If not, we'll sort it out later. But if I'm correct, it speaks volumes about the Bakken. 

So, anyway, I have a lot of housekeeping to do on the blog, but for now, I have to take a break. Baseball is "off" for a few days before the World Series begins. I haven't watched the PGA in such a long time -- lost interest -- don't know why -- maybe the high point for the year was the Ryder Cup. But NASCAR and NFL today. What a great country. 

Lana Del Rey: I wish the language was a bit less "adult," so I could post a few more videos, but she simply amazes me, like the Bakken. 

NFL today: nothing interests me. Maybe Bears / Buccaneers later this afternoon. Seahawks play tomorrow night. I guess the Cowboys -- how 'bout them Cowboys? -- are off this week. Their next game? At Minnesota Vikings, October 31, 2021. Halloween. 

Traveling: I'll be mentioning this again. I'll be traveling again this week. I hate the "thought" of traveling, but once I get started it's not so bad. 

For investors: Piper Sandler's latest investor report. The interesting thing: much of this matches Jim Cramer's "inflation winners": energy, financials (banks). Among energy, highlighted: XOM (yawn), CVX, TTE, COP, BP (cough), Equinor (surprising), EOG (nice), ENI (pass), Ecopetrol, RDS (no). 

Just uploaded: the full album, The Beatles, Abbey Road. Uploaded on YouTube September 7, 2021. Album released 1969, the best year ever (in my lifetime, so far) for music.

Initial Production Data For Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- October 24, 2021

The wells:

• 36772, conf,  Hess, BL-A Iverson-155-96-1312H-10, Beaver Lodge,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	14399	10811
7-2021	20373	14051
6-2021	8887	14211
5-2021	18246	27764
4-2021	5	812

• 36069, conf,  Enerplus, Gabbro 147-93-16B-21H, Moccasin Creek, this well is tracked here;
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	31795	21165
7-2021	27800	19030
6-2021	30927	20890
5-2021	28213	12767

• 36066, conf, Enerplus, Pumice 147-93-16B-21H, Moccasin Creek, this well is tracked here;

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	17349	11524
7-2021	18884	12879
6-2021	15655	10574
5-2021	9677	4332
4-2021	2773	1476

• 37978, conf, Hess, EN-Joyce-LE-156-94-1721H-5, Manitou,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	19396	28144
7-2021	29954	45812
6-2021	26031	35283
5-2021	63032	102218
4-2021	5259	776

• 36817, conf, Whiting, S-Bar 12-2-2H, Sanish,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	16508	4909
7-2021	11488	3029
6-2021	8312	5024
5-2021	2225	1191

• 37478, conf, Whiting, Sorenson 21-6-2HR, Bully,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	11379	25346
7-2021	17616	31027
6-2021	18332	36242
5-2021	25360	46492
4-2021	3690	6413

• 36931, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X27G, Heart Butte, this well is tracked here;
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	16943	8376
7-2021	1012	0

• 36930, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X-27C, Heart Butte, this well is tracked here;

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	45257	23668
7-2021	744	0

• 36770, conf, Hess, BL-A Iverson-155-96-1312H-8, Beaver Lodge,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	12876	8258
7-2021	25660	19034
6-2021	20423	32419
5-2021	26847	44117
4-2021	5331	6796

• 36929, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X-27H, Heart Butte, this well is tracked here;

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	51217	26835
7-2021	1533	554

• 36928, conf, Rimrock, FBIR Guybalckhawk 24X-27D, Heart Butte, this well is tracked here;

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	74347	41869
7-2021	4011	1513

• 36917, conf, Whiting, Satterthwaite 14-35HU, Robinson Lake, see this note;
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	20514	6761
7-2021	14926	9202
6-2021	5363	0
5-2021	4826	0

• 36065, conf, Enerplus, Obsidian 147-93-16B-21H-TF, Manitou, this well is tracked here;

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	14305	9498
7-2021	11941	8123
6-2021	11712	7911
5-2021	798	311
4-2021	2948	1569

• 37977, conf, Hess, EN-Joyce-LE-156-94-1721H-6, Manitou,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	14705	20260
7-2021	17104	20791
6-2021	19891	26554
5-2021	51160	58241
4-2021	18287	25524

• 36769, conf, Hess, CA-Russell Smith-155-96-2425H-10, Capa,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
8-2021	11237	11355
7-2021	14290	9173
6-2021	5054	9661
5-2021	20062	37150
4-2021	4516	6796

New Wells Reporting 4Q21

Locator: 100014Q21.

Friday, December 31, 2021: 87 for the month, 116 for the quarter, 342 for the year:

• None.

Thursday, December 30, 2021: 87 for the month, 116 for the quarter, 342 for the year:

• 36995, conf-->loc/drl, CLR, LCU Ralph 9-27H1, Long Creek, nice well; t--; cum 132K 8/23;
  

Wednesday, December 29, 2021: 86 for the month, 115 for the quarter, 341 for the year:

• 37032, conf--loc/A, Whiting, KR State 13-16-2TFHU, Sanish, first production, 9/21; t--; cum 30K 11/21; cum 54K 5/22; wow, talk about a lousy well; TD = 17,982 feet; Three Forks 1st bench; 28 stagees; 7.7 million lbs proppant; permit said it would be 17,750 feet; cum 57K 8/22; cum 68K 3/23; cum 72K 8/23; a lousy well, so far;
  

Tuesday, December 28, 2021: 85 for the month, 114 for the quarter, 340 for the year:

• 36996, conf-->loc/drl, CLR, LCU Ralph Federal 8-27H, Long Creek, t--; cum 67K 3/23; nice well;
  

Monday, December 27, 2021: 84 for the month, 113 for the quarter, 339 for the year:

• 38379, conf, Rampart Energy, Coteau 1, wildcat, no production data;

Sunday, December 26, 2021: 83 for the month, 112 for the quarter, 338 for the year:

• 36997, conf-->loc/drl, CLR, LCU Ralph Federal 7-27H1, Long Creek, t--; cum 43K 3/23; nice well;
  

Saturday, December 25, 2021: 82 for the month, 111 for the quarter, 337 for the year:

• 36998, conf-->loc/drl, CLR, LCU Ralph Federal 6-27H, Long Creek, t--; cum 45K 3/23; nice well;
  

Friday, December 24, 2021: 81 for the month, 110 for the quarter, 336 for the year:

• 38279, conf-->F/A, Rimrock, FBIR Johnson 13X-7H, Heart Butte, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 60K 11/21; cum 164K 5/22; cum 188K 8/22;
  

Thursday, December 23, 2021: 80 for the month, 109 for the quarter, 335 for the year:

• 38280, conf-->F/A, Rimrock, FBIR Johnson 13X-7C, Heart Butte, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 61K 11/21; cum 187K 8/22; t--; cum 237K 8/23; F;
  

Wednesday, December 22, 2021: 79 for the month, 108 for the quarter, 334 for the year:

• 38282, conf, Rimrock, FBIR Johnson 13X-7B, Heart Butte, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 36K 10/21; cum 195K 8/22;
  
• 38281, conf, Rimrock, FBIR Johnson 13X-7G, Heart Butte, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 33K 10/21; cum 188K 8/22;
  

Tuesday, December 21, 2021: 77 for the month, 106 for the quarter, 332 for the year:

• 38301, PA/conf-->drl, Armstrong, Fugere 31-23, South Camel Hump, no production data,
• 38283, conf, Rimrock, FBIR Johnson 13X-7F, Heart Butte, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 35K 10/21; cum 195K 8/22;
  

Monday, December 20, 2021: 75 for the month, 104 for the quarter, 330 for the year:

• None.

Sunday, December 19, 2021: 75 for the month, 104 for the quarter, 330 for the year:

• 38185, conf-->drl/NC, CLR, Tallahassee FIU 7-21H, Baker, 33-035-0659,  minimal production, 11/21; cum 91K 5/22; cum 164K 9/22;
  
• 37189, conf-->loc/A, Whiting, Feehan 11-9HU, Sanish, 33-061-04634, first production, 9/21; t--; cum 78K 11/21; cum 121K 5/22; cum 129K 8/22;
  

Saturday, December 18, 2021: 73 for the month, 102 for the quarter, 328 for the year:

• 36302, conf-->SI/A, Bruin, FB Belford 148-95-22D-15-14B-LL, Eagle Nest, 33-025-03775, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 123K 10/21; cum 206K 5/22;
  

Friday, December 17, 2021: 72 for the month, 101 for the quarter, 327 for the year:

• 38186, conf, CLR, Tallahassee FIU k6-21H, Baker, t--; cum 130K 7/22;
• 36771, conf, Hess, BL-A Iverson-155-96-1312H-9, Beaver Lodge, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 42K 11/21; cum 79K 8/22;
  

Thursday, December 16, 2021: 70 for the month, 99 for the quarter, 325 for the year:

• 36303, conf-->SI/A, Enerplus/Bruin, FB Belford 148-95-22D-15-13T-LL, Eagle Nest, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 143K 11/21; cum 224K 9/22;
  

Wednesday, December 15, 2021: 69 for the month, 98 for the quarter, 324 for the year:

• 38187, conf, CLR, Tallahassee FIU 5-21H, Baker, t--; cum 108K 7/22;

Tuesday, December 14, 2021: 68 for the month, 97 for the quarter, 323 for the year:

• None.

Monday, December 13, 2021: 68 for the month, 97 for the quarter, 323 for the year:

• 38188, conf, CLR, Tallahassee FIU 4-21HSL, Baker, t--; cum 135K 7/22;
  
• 37352, conf-->loc/A, Oasis, Wold 5397 44-34 12TX, Sand Creek, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 74K 11/21;k cum 108K 5/22;
  
• 36862, conf-->loc/A, Whiting, Satterthwaite 13-7-2H, Sanish, first production, 8/21; t--; cum 30K 10/21; cum 104K 5/22;
  
• 36304, conf-->SI/A, Bruin, FB Belford 148-95-22D-15-10B, Eagle Nest, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 86K 10/21; cum 137K 5/22;
  

Sunday, December 12, 2021: 64 for the month, 93 for the quarter, 319 for the year:

• 37416, conf-->loc/A,  Oasis, Wold 5397 43-34 5B, Sand Creek, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 108K 10/21; cum 167K 5/22;
  
• 37381, conf-->drl/A,  Oasis, Wold 5397 43-34 4B, Sand Creek, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 89K 10/21; cum 142K 5/22;
  
• 37030, conf-->loc/A, Whiting, KR State 13-16HU, Sanish, first production, 9/21; t--; cum 43K 10/21; cum 98K 5/22;
  
• 36305, conf-->SI/A, Enerplus/Bruin, FB Belford 148-95-22D-15-8T, Eagle Nest, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 113K 11/21; cum 154K 5/22;
  

Saturday, December 11, 2021: 60 for the month, 89 for the quarter, 314 for the year:

• None.

Friday, December 10, 2021: 60 for the month, 89 for the quarter, 314 for the year:

• 36306, conf-->SI/A, Enerplus/Bruin, FB Belford 148-95-22D-15-7B, Eagle Nest, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 173K 11/21; cum 253K 9/22;
  

Thursday, December 9, 2021: 59 for the month, 87 for the quarter, 313 for the year:

• 38189, conf,  CLR, Tallahassee FIU 8-21HSL, Baker, t--; cum 79K 7/22;
  
• 36307, conf,-->SI/A, Enerplus/Bruin, FB Belford 148-95-22D-15-6T, Eagle Nest, first production, 10/21; cum 7k 11/21;
  

Wednesday, December 8, 2021: 57 for the month, 85 for the quarter, 311 for the year:

• None.

Tuesday, December 7, 2021: 57 for the month, 85 for the quarter, 311 for the year:

• 38249, conf-->drl/A, CLR, Candee 9-9HSL, Chimney Butte, first production, 21K; t--; cum 21K 11/21; cum 200K 9/22;
  
• 37439, loc/A, Oasis, Wold 5397 43-34 6B, Sand Creek, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 129K in less than five months; cum 208K 8/22;
  

Monday, December 6, 2021: 55 for the month, 83 for the quarter, 309 for the year:

• 38250, conf, CLR, Candee 10-9H1, Chimney Butte, t--; cum 113K 7/22;
  
• 36863, conf, Whiting, Satterthwaite 13-7XH, Sanish, t--; cum 134K 7/22;
  

Sunday, December 5, 2021: 53 for the month, 81 for the quarter, 307 for the year:

• 38251, drl/A, CLR, Kukla 8-16HSL, Chimney Butte, t--; cum 152K 7/22;
  
• 37624, loc/A, Oasis, Nikolai Federal 5297 11-6 10BX, Banks, t--; cum 174K 7/22;

Saturday, December 4, 2021: 51 for the month, 79 for the quarter, 305 for the year:

• 38252, drl/A, CLR, Kukla 9-16H1, Chimney Butte, t--; cum 46K 7/22;
• 37440, loc/A, Oasis, Wold 5297 11-6 2B, Sand Creek, a big well, t--; cum 183K 7/22;
  

Friday, December 3, 2021: 49 for the month, 77 for the quarter, 303 for the year:

• 38046, loc/A, Slawson, Muskrat Federal 3-28-33H, Big Bend, t--; cum 168K 7/22;
  

Thursday, December 2, 2021: 48 for the month, 76 for the quarter, 302 for the year:

• 38266, F/A, CLR, Dvirnak 12-7HSL1, Chimney Butte, t--; cum 181K 7/22;
  
• 38047-->loc/A, Slawson, Muskrat Federal 5-28-33TFH, Big Bend, t--; cum 147K 8/22;
  

Wednesday, December 1, 2021: 46 for the month, 74 for the quarter, 300 for the year:

• 38267, conf-->F/A, CLR, Pletan 12-18HS1, Chimney Butte, t--; cum 170K 8/22;
  
• 38048, conf,-->loc/A, Slawson, Muskrat Federal 4-28-33TFH, Big Bend, t--;  cum 87K 8/22;
  
• 37623, conf, Oasis, Nikolai Federal 5297 11-6 6B, Banks, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 107K 9/21; cum 204K 9/22;
  
• 36816, conf, Whiting, S-Bar 12-2H, Sanish, first production, 6/21; t--; cum 50K 9/21;

Tuesday, November 30, 2021: 42 for the month, 70 for the quarter, 296 for the year:

• 38268, F/A, CLR, Jensen 8-8HSL, Chminey Butte, t--; cum 198K 7/22; cum 307K 8/23;
• 38236, drl/A, CLR, Mittlestadt 10-17HSL1, Chimney Butte, t--; cum 70K 7/22;
  

Monday, November 29, 2021: 40 for the month, 68 for the quarter, 294 for the year:

• 38269, conf-->drl/A, CLR, Jensen 9-H1, Chimney Butte, t--; cum 174K 8/22;
  
• 38237, conf-->drl/A, CLR, Jensen 11-8HSL1, Chimney Butte, t--; cum 191K 8/22;
  
• 36897, loc/A, Whiting, Satterthwaite 14-7XH, Sanish, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 123K 7/22;

Sunday, November 28, 2021: 37 for the month, 65 for the quarter, 291 for the year:

• 38270, conf-->drl/A, CLR, Middlestadt 9-17H1, Chimney Butte, t--; cuum 102K 8/22;
  
• 36818, conf, Whiting, S-Bar 12-2-3H, Sanish, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 55K 9/21;
  

Saturday, November 27, 2021: 35 for the month, 63 for the quarter, 289 for the year:

• None.

Friday, November 26, 2021: 35 for the month, 63 for the quarter, 289 for the year:

• None.

Thursday, November 25, 2021: 35 for the month, 63 for the quarter, 289 for the year:

• None.

Wednesday, November 24, 2021: 35 for the month, 63 for the quarter, 289 for the year:

• None.

Tuesday, November 23, 2021: 35 for the month, 63 for the quarter, 289 for the year:

• 38238, conf-->drl/A, CLR, Jensen 10-8H, Chimney Butte, no production data; t--; cum 221K 8/22;
  
• 37082, conf, Whiting, S-Bar 11-7TFHU, Sanish, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 26K 9/21;
• 35483, conf-->drl/A, Oasis, Nikolai Federal 5397 42-33B, Banks, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 139K 11/21;
  

Monday, November 22, 2021: 32 for the month, 60 for the quarter, 286 for the year:

• 36231, conf-->drl/A, Enerplus, Argillite 147-93-08D-95H, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 117K 11/21; cum 167K 7/22;
  

Sunday, November 21, 2021: 31 for the month, 59 for the quarter, 285 for the year:

• 37658, conf, CLR, Harrisburg 5-27H, Indian Hill, no production data,

********Saturday, November 20, 2021: 30 for the month, 58 for the quarter, 284 for the year:

• *********38082, conf-->drl/drl, Ovintiv, Rolla 152-97-1-12-5HLW, Westberg, first production, 11/21; t--; cum 15K over first eight days; see this note; see this note;
  
• 36229, conf-->loc/A, Enerplus, Slate 147-93-08D-05H-TF, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 158K 11/21; see this note;
  
• 35484, conf-->drl/A, Oasis, Nikolia Federal 5397 42-33 4B, Banks, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 147K 11/21: see this note;
  

Friday, November 19, 2021: 27 for the month, 55 for the quarter, 281 for the year:

• 37659, loc/A, CLR, Harrisburg 4-27H, Indian Hill, t--; cum 154K 8/22;
  
• 36895, loc/IA, Whiting, Satterthwaite 14-7HU, Sanish, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 192K 6/23;

Thursday, November 18, 2021: 25 for the month, 53 for the quarter, 279 for the year:

• 36226, loc/A, Enerplus, Mylonite 147-93-08D-05H-TF, Moccasin Creek, t--; cum 250K 8/23;
  

Wednesday, November 17, 2021: 24 for the month, 52 for the quarter, 278 for the year:

• None.

Tuesday, November 16, 2021: 24 for the month, 52 for the quarter, 278 for the year:

• 37660, conf, CLR, Harrisburg 3-27H, Indian Hill, t--; cum 195K 3/23;
  
• 37083, conf, Whiting, S-Bar 11-7HU, Sanish, t--,  161K 3/23;
• 36225, conf, Enerplus, Horfels 147-93-08D-05H, Moccasin Creek, t--; cum 126K 3/23;

Monday, November 15, 2021: 21 for the month, 49 for the quarter, 275 for the year:

• 37366, conf, Enerplus, Amphibolite, 147-93-08D-05H, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 71K 9/21; cum 204K 3/23;

Sunday, November 14, 2021: 20 for the month, 48 for the quarter, 274 for the year:

• 37661, conf, CLR, Harrisburg 2-27HSL, Indian Hill, t--; cum 244K 3/23;
  

Saturday, November 13, 2021: 19 for the month, 47 for the quarter, 273 for the year:

• 37383, conff-->loc/A, Petro-Hunt, Jorgenson 158-94-12D-1-2H, East Tioga, t--; cum 122K 3/23;
  
• 36073, conf, Enerplus, Scoria 147-93-09C-04H-LL, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 110K 9/21;

Friday, November 12, 2021: 17 for the month, 45 for the quarter, 271 for the year:

• 37500, conf,  CLR, Harrisburg 7-34HSL, Indian Hill, t--; cum 231K 3/23;
  
• 37384, conf-->loc/A, Petro-Hunt, Jorgenson 158-94-12D-1-3H, East Tioga, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 28K 11/21;
  

Thursday, November 11, 2021: 15 for the month, 43 for the quarter, 269 for the year:

• 37394, conff-->loc/A, Petro-Hunt, Blikre 158-94-13A-24-2H, East Tioga, t--; cum 158K 3/23;
  
• 36072, conf-->SI/A,  Enerplus, Basalt 147-93-09C-04H-TF, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 144K 9/21; cum 382K 3/23;
  
• 35485, conf, Oasis, Nikolai Federal 5397 42-33 3B, Banks, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 130K 9/21;

Wednesday, November 10, 2021: 12 for the month, 40 for the quarter, 266 for the year:

• 37393, loc/A, Petro-Hunt, Blikre 158-94-13A-24-3H, East Tioga, t--; cum 92K 8/22;
  

Tuesday, November 9, 2021: 11 for the month, 39 for the quarter, 265 for the year:

• 37499, conf-->loc/A, CLR, Harrisburg 6-34H, Indian Hill, t--; cum 210K 3/23;
  

Monday, November 8, 2021: 10 for the month, 38 for the quarter, 264 for the year:

• 36071, conf, Enerplus, Andesite 147-93-09C-04H, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 70K 9/21;

Sunday, November 7, 2021: 9 for the month, 37 for the quarter, 263 for the year:

• 37979, conf, Hess, EN-Joyce-LE-156-94-1721H-6, Manitou, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 150K 9/21;
• 35486, conf, Oasis, Nikolai Federal 5397 42-33 2B, Banks, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 110K 9/21;

Saturday, November 6, 2021: 7 for the month, 35 for the quarter, 261 for the year:

• 36070, conf, Enerplus, Granite 147-93-09C-04H, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 100K 9/21;

Friday, November 5, 2021: 6 for the month, 34 for the quarter, 260 for the year:

• 37365, conf, Whiting, Sorenson 21-6-3H, Bully, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 80K 9/21;
• 36773, conf, Hess, CA-Russell Smith-155-96-2425H-8, Capa, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 55K 9/21;

Thursday, November 4, 2021: 4 for the month, 32 for the quarter, 258 for the year:

• 36068, conf, Enerplus, Rhyolite 147-93-09C-04H-TF, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 70K 9/21;

Wednesday, November 3, 2021: 3 for the month, 31 for the quarter, 257 for the year:

• None.

Tuesday, November 2, 2021: 3 for the month, 31 for the quarter, 257 for the year:

• None.

Monday, November 1, 2021: 3 for the month, 31 for the quarter, 254 for the year:

• 36772, conf, Hess, BL-A Iverson-155-96-1312H-10, Moccasin Creek, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 70K 9/21;
• 36069, conf, Enerplus, Gabbro 147-93-16B-21H, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 145K 9/21;
• 36066, conf, Enerplus, Pumice 147-93-16B-21H, Moccasin Creek, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 90K 9/21;

Sunday, October 31, 2021: 28 for the month, 28 for the quarter, 251 for the year:

• None.

Saturday, October 30, 2021: 28 for the month, 28 for the quarter, 251 for the year:

• None.

Friday, October 29, 2021: 28 for the month, 28 for the quarter, 251 for the year:

• 37978, conf, Hess, EN-Joyce-LE-156-94-1721H-5, Manitou, HUGE WELL, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 286K 8/21; see this note; cum 266K 8/22;
  

Thursday, October 28, 2021: 27 for the month, 27 for the quarter, 250 for the year:

• 36817, conf, Whiting, S-Bar 12-2-2H, Sanish, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 38K 8/21;
• 37478, conf, Whiting, Sorenson 21-6-2HR, Bully, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 76K 8/21; cum 172K 8/22;
  

Wednesday, October 27, 2021: 25 for the month, 25 for the quarter, 248 for the year:

• 36931, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X27G, Heart Butte, first production, 7/21; t--; cum 17K 8/21; cum 238K 8/22;
  
• 36930, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X-27C, Heart Butte, another huge well, first production, 7/21; t--; cum 45K 8/21; cum 277K 8/22;
  
• 36770, conf, Hess, BL-A Iverson-155-96-1312H-8, Beaver Lodge, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 90K 8/21; 166K 8/22;
  

Tuesday, October 26, 2021: 22 for the month, 22 for the quarter, 245 for the year:

• 36929, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X-27H, another huge well, first production, 7/21; t--; cum 51K 8/21; cum 304K 8/22;
  

Monday, October 25, 2021: 21 for the month, 21 for the quarter, 244 for the year:

• 36928, conf, Rimrock, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X-27D, Heart Butte, HUGE WELL, 74K 8/21; first production, 7/21; t--; cum 78K 8/21; cum 383K 8/22;
  
• 36917, conf, Whiting, Satterthwaite 14-35HU, Robinson Lake, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 45K 8/21; cum 213K 8/22;
  
• 36065, conf, Enerplus, Obsidian 147-93-16B-21H-TF, Moccasin Creek, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 40K 8/21; cum 151K 8/22;
  

Sunday, October 24, 2021: 18 for the month, 18 for the quarter, 241 for the year:

• 37977, conf, Hess, EN-Joyce-LE-156-94-1721H-6, Manitou, 51K in 5/21, a huge well, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 121K 8/21; cum 283K 8/22;
  
• 36769, conf, Hess, CA-Russell Smith-155-96-2425H-10, Capa; first production, 4/21; t--; cum 55K 8/21; cum 116K 8/22;
  

Saturday, October 23, 2021: 16 for the month, 16 for the quarter, 239 for the year:

• None.

Friday, October 22, 2021: 16 for the month, 16 for the quarter, 239 for the year:

• 38193, conf-->drl/A, Ovintiv, Rolfsrud 152-96-29-32-7HLW, Westberg, first production, 8/21; t--; cum 219K 4/22;
  

Thursday, October 21, 2021: 15 for the month, 15 for the quarter, 239 for the year:

• 37228, conf-->drl/A, Whiting, Sorenson 21-6H, Bully, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 75K 8/21; cum 156K 4/22;
  

Wednesday, October 20, 2021: 14 for the month, 14 for the quarter, 238 for the year:

• None.

Tuesday, October 19, 2021: 14 for the month, 14 for the quarter, 238 for the year:

• 37987, conf-->loc/A, Petro-Hunt, Zabolotny 144-98-4A-9-1H, Little Knife, first production, 7/21; t--; cum 12K 8/21; cum 94K 4/22;
  
• 36768, conf-->drl/A, Hess, CA-Russell Smith-155-96-2425H-10, Capa, a nice well, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 121K 8/21; cum 183K 4/22;
  

Monday, October 18, 2021: 12 for the month, 12 for the quarter, 236 for the year:

• None.

Sunday, October 17, 2021: 12 for the month, 12 for the quarter, 236 for the year:

• None.

Saturday, October 16, 2021: 12 for the month, 12 for the quarter, 236 for the year:

• None.

Friday, October 15, 2021: 12 for the month, 12 for the quarter, 236 for the year:

• None.
  

Thursday, October 14, 2021: 12 for the month, 12 for the quarter, 236 for the year:

• 37917, conf-->loc/A, Slawson, Whirlcat Federal 4-31-19TFH, Big Bend, first production, 1/22; t--; cum 71K 4/22;
  

Wednesday, October 13, 2021: 11 for the month, 11 for the quarter, 235 for the year:

• None.

Tuesday, October 12, 2021: 11 for the month, 11 for the quarter, 235 for the year:

• 36916, conf-->SI/A, Whiting, Satterthwaite 14-35TFHU, Robinson Lake, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 36K 8/21; cum 164K 4/22;
  

Monday, October 11, 2021: 10 for the month, 10 for the quarter, 234 for the year:

• None.

Sunday, October 10, 2021: 10 for the month, 10 for the quarter, 234 for the year:

• None.

Saturday, October 9, 2021: 10 for the month, 10 for the quarter, 234 for the year:

• None.

Friday, October 8, 2021: 10 for the month, 10 for the quarter, 234 for the year:

• None.

Thursday, October 7, 2021: 10 for the month, 10 for the quarter, 234 for the year:

• 37197, conf-->loc/A, Slawson, Mauser Federal 5-18-17H, North Fork, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 88K 4/22;
  
• 30201, conf-->loc/A, Whiting, Klose 21-27-3H, Glass Bluff, nice production, this one is really on the Bakken fringe; south of the river, to the far west; not much out there; not even sage grouse; PNC, 12/10/15; then, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 156K 4/22;
  

Wednesday, October 6, 2021: 8 for the month, 8 for the quarter, 232 for the year:

• 37196, conf-->loc/A, Slawson, Mauser Federal 8-18-17TFH, North Fork, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 92K 4/22;
  
• 37024, conf-->drl/A, Enerplus, Ukulele 149-94-02C-01H, Mandaree, early production looks good; first production, 7/21; t--; cum 186K 4/22;
  

Tuesday, October 5, 2021: 6 for the month, 6 for the quarter, 230 for the year:

• 37195, conf-->loc/A, Slawson, Mauser Federal 6-18-17H, North Fork, no production data, first production, 10/21; t--; cum 102K 4/22;
  

Monday, October 4, 2021: 5 for the month, 5 for the quarter, 229 for the year:

• None.

Sunday, October 3, 2021: 5 for the month, 5 for the quarter, 229 for the year:

• 37025, conf-->loc/A, Enerplus, Harp 149-94-02C-01H-TF, Mandaree, early production looks good; first production, 4/21; t--; cum 188K 4/22;
  

Saturday, October 2, 2021: 4 for the month, 4 for the quarter, 228 for the year:

• 37026, conf-->loc/A, Enerplus, Guitar 149-94-02C-01H, Mandaree, early production looks okay; first production, 9/21; t--; cum 168K 4/22;
  

Friday, October 1, 2021: 4 for the month, 4 for the quarter, 228 for the year:

• 35456, con-->drl/A, QEP, MHA 5-29-30H-150-92, Van Hook, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 302K 4/22; see production profile here;
  
• 35454, conf-->drl/A, QEP, MHA 5-27-26H-150-92, Van Hook, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 199K 4/22;
  
• 35451, conf-->loc/A, QEP, MHA 4-29-30H-150-92, Van Hook, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 342K 4/22;
  
• 35449, conf-->loc/A, QEP, MHA 4-27-26H-150-92, Van Hook, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 239K 4/22;
  

*********************************

 Data for 4Q21: This Page
Data for 3Q21: 3Q21
Data for 2Q21: 2Q21
Data for 1Q21:  1Q21

 Data for 4Q20: 4Q20

Data for 3Q20: 3Q20

Data for 2Q20: 2Q20

Data for 1Q20: 1Q20

Data for 4Q19: 4Q19

Data for 3Q19:  3Q19

Data for 2Q19: 2Q19

Data for 1Q19: 1Q19 Data for 4Q18: 4Q18 Data for 3Q18: 3Q18 Data for 2Q18: 2Q18 Data for 1Q18: 1Q18 Data for 4Q17: 4Q17 Data for 3Q17: 3Q17

Data for 2Q17: 2Q17

Data for 1Q17: 1Q17

Data for 4Q16: 4Q16
Data for 3Q16: 3Q16
Data for 2Q16: 2Q16

Data for 1Q16: 1Q16

Data for 4Q15: 4Q15

Data for 3Q15: 3Q15

Data for 2Q15: 2Q15

Data for 1Q15: 1Q15
Data for 4Q14: 4Q14

Data for 3Q14: 3Q14
Data for 2Q14: 2Q14

Data for 1Q14: 1Q14

Data for 4Q13: 4Q13

Data for 3Q13: 3Q13

Data for 2Q13: 2Q13

Data for 1Q13: 1Q13

Data for 4Q12: 4Q12

Data for 3Q12: 3Q12

Data for 2Q12: 2Q12

  Data for 1Q12: 1Q12   

Data for 4Q11: 4Q11 

Data for 3Q11: 3Q11 

Data for 2Q11: 2Q11 

 Data for 1Q11: 1Q11  

 Data for 2H10: 2H10 

Through 1H10: 1H10

Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- October 24, 2021

Monday, November 1, 2021: 3 for the month, 3 for the quarter, 254 for the year:
36772, conf,  Hess, BL-A Iverson-155-96-1312H-10,
36069, conf,  Enerplus, Gabbro 147-93-16B-21H
36066, conf, Enerplus, Pumice 147-93-16B-21H,

Sunday, October 31, 2021: 28 for the month, 28 for the quarter, 251 for the year:
None.

Saturday, October 30, 2021: 28 for the month, 28 for the quarter, 251 for the year:
None.

Friday, October 29, 2021: 28 for the month, 28 for the quarter, 251 for the year:
37978, conf, Hess, EN-Joyce-LE-156-94-1721H-5,

Thursday, October 28, 2021: 27 for the month, 27 for the quarter, 250 for the year:
36817, conf, Whiting, S-Bar 12-2-2H,
37478, conf, Whiting, Sorenson 21-6-2HR,

Wednesday, October 27, 2021: 25 for the month, 25 for the quarter, 248 for the year:
36931, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X27G,
36930, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X-27C,
36770, conf, Hess, BL-A Iverson-155-96-1312H-8,

Tuesday, October 26, 2021: 22 for the month, 22 for the quarter, 245 for the year:
36929, conf, Rimrock Oil & Gas, FBIR Guyblackhawk 24X-27H,

Monday, October 25, 2021: 21 for the month, 21 for the quarter, 244 for the year:
36928, conf, Rimrock, FBIR Guybalckhawk 24X-27D,
36917, conf, Whiting, Satterthwaite 14-35HU,
36065, conf, Enerplus, Obsidian 147-93-16B-21H-TF,

Sunday, October 24, 2021: 18 for the month, 18 for the quarter, 241 for the year:
37977, conf, Hess, EN-Joyce-LE-156-94-1721H-6,
36769, conf, Hess, CA-Russell Smith-155-96-2425H-10,

Saturday, October 23, 2021: 16 for the month, 16 for the quarter, 239 for the year:
None.