Friday, December 25, 2020

Updating Slawson Submariner Federal Wells; One Goes Over 500K Bbls Crude Oil Cumulative -- December 25, 2020

This page won't be updated.

The Slawson Submariner Federal wells are tracked here. 

Three Slawson Submariner Federal wells are updated; not show are two Submariner Federal wells on "inactive" status since earlier this year (January, 2020, timeframe).

Note: #19368 has just gone over 500K bbls crude oil cumulative. 

The well:

  • 19368, 115, Slawson, Submariner Federal 1-23-24H, Van Hook, t8/11; cum 508K 10/20; nice jump in production in 5/19; and then again, 6/19; see this post; TD = 19,587 feet; a two-section lateral; 40 stages; 4 million lbs;
  • 34958, 2,075, Submariner Federal 4-23-20H, Big Bend, t12/18; cum 435K 10/20; see this post; TD = 26,329 feet; three-section lateral; 92 stages; 14.4 million lbs;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-20203025055251472215019003176781175
BAKKEN9-2020292331623417224171498314227611
BAKKEN8-202020165371545216536774557881858
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-2020001010000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-20205456150321083277327444
BAKKEN3-2020312990129692230721339384124826
BAKKEN2-2020293060131719250681442597074573

  • 31562, 2,514, Submariner Federal 3-23-29H, Big Bend, t6/19; cum 52K in one month; cum 252K 10/20; TD=27,488 feet; three-section lateral; 96-stages; 15.22 million lbs. Note, 11,966 bbls over 8 days extrapolates to 45,000 bbls over 30 days:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-202081196610930119651052652055282
BAKKEN9-2020110060904
BAKKEN8-202071960165417981742743964
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-202010001380
BAKKEN4-2020105396604213
BAKKEN3-20201513843136161378712272110211097
BAKKEN2-20202928746294742599025008595318910
BAKKEN1-2020232307122857233442005291818279

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Apple iCloud Overwhelmed? -- Christmas Day -- 2020

Link here.
The issue seems likely to be related to activation issues users having been experiencing on our forums. Most notably are a number of users complaining that their new Apple Watch is failing verification upon setup. 
Users have been reporting this issue in our forums. BeatCrazy writes: 
I realize it's Christmas morning and Apple's activation servers are probably on overload, but this still seems unnecessarily frustrating. I got my two kids (< 18 y/o) Apple Watch SE + Cellular, with plans to activate via Family Setup/sharing. They each already have Apple IDs that are used on iPads regularly.

I'm able to start the pairing process using my iPhone, sign into their Apple IDs with their passwords, but I keep getting hung when Apple wants me to enter the passcode of another device. I'm given options like their iPad passcodes, or one of my Macs. After entering any of these, the watch spins for about 2 minutes and I get the error "Verification Failed - There was an error verifying the passcode of your (or insert family member name here) ‌iPhone‌ (or insert ‌iPad‌/Mac)." Apple gives me a choice to "reset encrypted data", which I take as an offer to destroy all their existing Apple ID passwords and data - not a good option IMO.

A number of users have responded with similar issues in that thread. Meanwhile, another user reports having trouble with HomePod setup today.


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A Nine-Year-Old CLR Well Produces 631,528 Bbls Of Oil Over The Last 25 Months -- December 25, 2020

This page will not be updated. Wells mentioned in this post are tracked elsewhere. See this post for background.

This well has had a long and rocky history. Let's see how it is doing. The full production profile is at this post.  

The well:

  • 20212, 482, CLR, Whitman 3-34H, 33-025-01261, Oakdale, t9/11; cum 818K 10/20; recent production below. FracFocus has data for only one frack, 9/23/17 - 10/5/17. I don't know the exact month/year but wells fracked before 2012, or thereabouts, are not captured by FracFocus. NDIC sundry forms show the following fracks:
    • stimulated, 9/22/17: 61 stages; 14.5 million lbs proppant; with an IP of 1,008 bbls over 24 hours;
    • test date, no other stim data, 9/12/11: an IP of 482;

Remember, this well was first drilled back in 2011. The following production is only from September, 2018. In those twenty-five months (it was off line for the entire month of June, 2020) this well produced 631,528 bbls of crude oil.

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-2020312050320420391334521341130
BAKKEN9-20203020612205653945324733202958
BAKKEN8-2020312341523393454834091337030
BAKKEN7-202030254972525040642902728102520
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-2020312506925630538438095376840
BAKKEN4-202024182831813136652361923099253
BAKKEN3-2020312610525993566835857354380
BAKKEN2-202028232832328652253058729735493
BAKKEN1-2020312671026794633333634332150
BAKKEN12-2019312759727551651334966345490
BAKKEN11-201930275972760376773039129150843
BAKKEN10-201925196151931767822010519254574
BAKKEN9-201927194581975859322095620086592
BAKKEN8-201931279222778010332296982921665
BAKKEN7-2019312575226021127962886328109349
BAKKEN6-20193027902279081290329790293890
BAKKEN5-20193027570276701120328086255222193
BAKKEN4-2019302842728258124863008629312382
BAKKEN3-201931286282868614764312543081923
BAKKEN2-20192825683253191420226821264500
BAKKEN1-20191613734136011012813831136280
BAKKEN12-2018221621616649926018218165941334
BAKKEN11-2018293205032060798233651307742503
BAKKEN10-20183137074369921081339302356113272
BAKKEN9-20183036826366251433138670340104265
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MRO Reporting Huge Wells In Reunion Bay -- December 25, 2020

The page will not be updated. The MRO P-R-S-4W pad is tracked here. 

Completion strategies tracked at the sidebar at the right. 

Two of the older wells are still inactive, due to fracking the newer wells.

The newer wells:

  • 33945, loc/NC, MRO, Walcel USA  42-8H, Reunion Bay, 33-061-04123; first production, 9/20; t--; cum 64K over 28 days; recent production, 63,483 bbls over 28 days extrapolates to 68,000 bbls over 30 days; cum 175K 1/21;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-20202863483630355281079947730243133
BAKKEN9-20203812761112610280983
  • 33946, loc/NC, MRO, Ranum USA  44-8TFH-2B, Reunion Bay, 33-061-04124; first production, 9/20; t--; cum 36K over 28 days; recent production, 65,439 bbls over 27 days extrapolates to 39,000 bbls over 30 days: fracked 8/26/20- 9/9/20; 8.8 million gallons of water; 67.6% water by mass; cum 121K 1/21;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-20202836216363356071339208357401330
BAKKEN9-202036379597515657892070341463
  • 33947, loc/NC, MRO, Prior USA  44-8TFH-2B, Reunion Bay, 33-061-04125; first production, 9/20; t--; cum 65K over 27 days; recent production, 65,439 bbls over 27 days extrapolates to 72,000 bbls over 30 days; cum 173K 1/21;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-20202765439649347716871581645073211
BAKKEN9-202021591499425170508
  • 37395, loc/NC, MRO, Wallentinson USA  44-8H, Reunion Bay, 33-061-04684; first production, 9/20; t--; cum 49K over 19 days; recent production, 49,943 bbls over 19 days extrapolates to 78,000 bbls over 30 days; cum 204K 1/21;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-20201949493508513886756516511052480
BAKKEN9-20201027585258382162232614297221069
  • 37403, loc/NC-->A/AL, MRO, Stanfest USA  42-8H, Reunion Bay, 33-061-04685; first production, 10/20; t--; cum 60K over 20 days; recent production, 59,973 bbls over 20 days extrapolates to 90,000 bbls over 30 days, fracked 8/27/20 - 9/14/20; 9.9 million gallons of water; water79.7% by mass;cum 190K 2/21;
    PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
    BAKKEN2-20212837394373561814467384650892057
    BAKKEN1-20213137512374861997547976456922077
    BAKKEN12-20202130168301891773636569347450
    BAKKEN11-20201125088251731969332424308710
    BAKKEN10-20202059973595014953971840632575026
    9999999999999999
  • 21631, 1,463, MRO, Waljen USA 43-8H, Reunion Bay, t9/12; cum 472K 1/21; 
  • 21630, 1,378, MRO, Waltom  USA 43-8TFH, Reunion Bay, Reunion Bay, t9/12; cum 430K 1/21;
  • 36921, conf, MRO, Vickall USA 34-5H, Reunion Bay,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20216406099574
12-20202961839272
11-20204561556518
  • 36922, conf, MRO, Lang USA 41-8TFH, Reunion Bay,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20212648439050
12-20205548670260
11-20202653928983
10-20206360744020
  • 36923, conf, Thorson USA 41-8H, Reunion Bay,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20213377048418
12-20206198274423
11-20204755859299
10-20202128218886
  • 37323, conf, Oscar Thorson USA 41-8TFH-2B, Reunion Bay,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20214573267215
12-20205796173471
11-20206760
10-20204919443525
  • 36919, conf, Klemstead USA 44-5TFH, Reunion Bay,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20212688538136
12-20202829636816
11-20203949851019
  • 36918, conf, Kolbo USA 34-5H, Reunion Bay,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20216571887636
12-20204387354626
11-20205410264625
10-20201694914901
  • 37515, conf, Pelarske USA 44-5TFH, Reunion Bay,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20212812539890
12-20203454843312
11-20204716355128
10-20202855332402
  • 18692, IA/781, MRO, Jasper L USA 34-5H, Reunon Bay, t11/10; cum 368K 3/20; remains off line 1/21;
  • 36920, conf, Adonijah USA 44-5TFH-2B, Reunion Bay,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20214775265107
12-20206632082551
11-20205958361263
  • 18693, 560, MRO, Betty Shobe USA 41-8H, Reunion Bay, t9/10; cum 346K 1/21; 
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Another Incredible XTO Well -- December 25, 2020

This page will not be updated.

XTO's Little Pete Federal wells are tracked here.

The well:

  • 32218, 888, XTO, Little Pete Federal 41X-3D, Bear Creek, t7/17; cum 341K 10/20; off line as of 7/18; on-line; stimulated 4/21/17 with 10.9 million lbs of proppant, 60 stages; according to FracFocus, fracked this one time only; 4/7/17 - 4/21/17; 9.2 million gallons of water; 86.7% water by mass;
Full production profile here. Fracked only once. Multiple instances of significant jump in production. Completion strategies tracked at the sidebar at the right.
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Batteries

Locator: 100010BATTERIES.

The discussion of batteries will center around five or six issues, at least.

  • commercial vs residential vs individual
  • household vs wearable
  • cost
  • efficiency / technology
  • time between charging

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Panasonic nixes EV battery plant planned for Oklahoma. December 23, 2023.

Koch Industries: big interest in batteries, The WSJ exclusive. March 22, 2022.

GM: looking to build second battery factory in US; Tennessee eyed for plant; March 4, 2021;

China: TP exports surge. January 1, 2021. 

NYC: New York City is about to buy 45 seconds of back-up power for a half-billion dollars. December 27, 2020.

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Notes From All Over -- The Apple Page -- December 25, 2020

On December 9, 2020, this was posted:
  • Link here.  TSMC. There are three chip companies / SoC companies that intrigue me -- TSMC, AWS, and Apple. Apparently Apple is continuing to work on a self-driving car. 
  • Link here. Tim Cook teases the future of Apple Watch: "Think about the amount of sensors in your car." 
  • Link here. AirPods Max development took four years. 

Then this: record number of transistors on a chip, posted November 23, 2020:

  • Apple, Amazon, TSMC competing for bragging rights on number of transistors on a chip.

This is a huge story.

Apple was the first to get the chip down to 5 nm. When announced, Intel admitted they were still working on a 7-mn chip. 

Now, look at this story, from December 22, 2020:

Industry sources claim that TSMC's initial production of chips built on the new 3-nanometer process have been ordered by Apple for use in both its iOS and Apple Silicon devices. 
Following previous reports that TSMC was close to finalizing its new 3-nanometer process, a new report says that Apple has placed an order for its M-series and A-series processors using it. 
According to Money.UDN, supply chain sources say that trials are progressing smoothly. The sources estimate that TSMC's 3nm line is on course to produce 600,000 processors annually, or 50,000 per month, with mass production starting in 2022. 
Those numbers are presumably expected to increase, as the publication also reports an estimate that TSMC must sell at least 300 million processors to return a profit. 
It's not reported how many units Apple has ordered, or over what precise timescale. However, the sources say that the order is chiefly for producing the M-series processors for the Mac.

So, we have Apple, Amazon, and TSMC competing for bragging rights with regard to chips and SoC, and here we have a story of Apple buying the entire market supply of the 3-nm chips being made by TSMC.

For investors, Apple is tracked here.   

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

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Notes From All Over -- The Southeast US Edition -- December 25, 2020

For the most part, Nashville, TN, was quiet this morning. 

Tea leaves: the blast in downtown Nashville was designed to draw as many law enforcement officers to the scene prior to the blast, and to inflict as much injury as possible to as many police officers as possible. This is not rocket science. Law enforcement agencies in Nashville have said the blast was most likely intentional. Well, duh. Time line:

  • early morning: gunshots fired in the area to draw police to the scene:
  • suspicious RV identified (raises questions how it was identified as suspicious)
    • the identified RV (before it blew up) looks like an ordinary RV; nothing suspicious about it)
    • obviously authorities were tipped off to this specific vehicle
  • police immediately call in reinforcements to go door-to-door to warn residents to flee
  • an audio warning goes off via a public address system
  • "countdown" of some sort described
  • blast goes off
  • officials: suggest blast may have been intentional
  • before investigation has gained any traction, Nashville mayor says it appears to be a "one-off"
    • in other words, for the most part, Nashville was quiet this morning
  • the big question: were the police wearing masks when they responded to the scene? Tennessee is currently a "hot spot" for Covid-19 (see link below).

By the way, if the suspects are rounded up within a few hours, this will speak volumes.

And we move on.

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Chinese Flu Watch

Tennessee, on a per capita basis, remains in the #1 position for most active cases on Christmas Day:

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The Mideast

Saudi Arabia reports a cargo ship in the "gulf" was hit by a mine today. Details sparse.

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In Other News

In Florida, residents (actually first-time visitors) are being warned that iguanas are falling from trees. This is a fairly seasonal event, perhaps even a Christmas tradition. Who knows?


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Hess Reports Two New Bakken Wells On Christmas Day -- 2020

 Active rigs: 

$48.23
12/25/202012/25/201912/25/201812/25/201712/25/2016
Active Rigs1356695341

Two wells coming off the confidential list, Christmas Day, 2020, --

Friday, December 25, 2020:

  • 36682, drl/NC,  Hess, BL-Iverson C-155-96-2314H-9, 33-105-05252, Beaver Lodge, first production, 6/20; t--; cum 64K 10/20; fracked 5/15/20 - 5/21/20; 8.2 million gallons of water; 86.2% water by mass;
  • 36531, drl/A, Hess, EN-Sorenson B-LW-155-94-3527H-2, 33-061-04499, Alkali Creek, first production, 6/20; t--; cum 81K 10/20; fracked 3/2/20- 3/11/20; 6.5 million gallons of water; 84.1% water by mass;

RBN Energy: Pembina follows midstream expansion spree with financial discipline. Archived.

To succeed over the long term in the music business, professional sports, or the midstream sector, you need to learn from your successes and failures, and — most important — continue adapting and evolving. For many North American midstreamers, a key to success has been a thoughtful combination of expansion and diversification, plus an affinity for financial discipline, especially when the broader energy industry is going through tough, uncertain times. A prime example of that strategy is Canadian midstreamer Pembina Pipeline Corp., which after C$14 billion in acquisitions over the last four years is instituting a more cautious approach to new investment that’s largely based on self-funding and a new, more rigorous return criteria for new projects. Today, we preview our new Spotlight report, which focuses on the risks and rewards of Pembina’s new strategy.

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An SI/IA CLR Holstein Federal Well Is Now On The SI/A List -- December 25, 2020

The CLR Holstein Federal wells are tracked here. 

This page won't be updated. 

This well last reported as SI/IA is now active and producing but is now SI/A:

  • 33930, SI/IA, CLR, Holstein Federal 14-24H2, Elm Tree, t--; cum 31K 2 months; full production profile to date:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-2020312277422476294373346933060191
BAKKEN9-2020301842218355250062489424489216
BAKKEN8-202031138501365623047140971382764
BAKKEN7-20202867151924291053100917
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-2020271251512296138541535915053103
BAKKEN3-2020271770117223219662393623229436
BAKKEN2-2020865265240456020602

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The Clog Dance


The Clog Dance, Violinski

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